Long Trade on GRIFFAIN

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04 Aug 2026 at 21:10:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on GRIFFAIN (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 30525.03 GRIFFAIN at 0.00885$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00907 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.008587 (2.96 %)

GRIFFAIN LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 04 Aug 2026 21:10 → 01:00 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.008849$

Qty 30525.0305 GRIFFAIN

Size 270.116$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.00907 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.75$

SL 0.008587 (-2.96%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.84

Status win PnL +0.54% / +1.47$ MAE -0.32% MFE +1.54% 0.5R expires 05 Aug 01:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=11 > threshold=10/43

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 58842)

#7 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 04/08/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7520

Quality Score

0.577

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

2 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.2M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
04/08 21:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#7 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#7 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	near	0.01×ATR
1d	near	-0.59×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↑ up	early	OK
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2	ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 21:00 Score : 0

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : range_low

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

04/08 21:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 04/08 20:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

04/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

04/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

04/08 20:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1297

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	range	compression	—	0
Tactical	bull	expansion	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.50

Transition risk : 0.50

Score contribution (this trade) 0

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.70

Snapshot évalué : 04/08 21:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 04/08/2026 21:00

Score brut

0.5771

Score SMA

0.5911

Rank

#7 / 45

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7520

Rank Norm SMA

0.8116

Calculé le

04/08/2026 21:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6506	r1h: 0.760% · r4h: 0.748% · r1d: 4.51% · r3d: 5.84% · ema21_slope: 0.1021% · dist_ema21: 0.888%
Force Relative	25%	0.6334	rs_1h: 0.808% · rs_4h: 1.185% · rs_1d: 3.41% · rs_3d: 3.89% · beta_24h: -0.107
Volume	20%	0.1752	rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -0.372 · trend: -77.49%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5905	ADX: 33.0 (trend) · Chop: 61.0 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.204% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4.2h) Initial Risk: -2.961% (0.0003)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.492%	0.5R	-0.316%	0.1R	4.7×	12
2h	+1.537%	0.5R	-0.316%	0.1R	4.9×	24
4h	+1.537%	0.5R	-0.316%	0.1R	4.9×	48
4.2h ★	+1.537%	0.5R	-0.316%	0.1R	4.9×	49
8h	+1.537%	0.5R	-1.582%	0.5R	1.0×	96
12h	+1.537%	0.5R	-1.582%	0.5R	1.0×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 4.48

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	near -0.1ATR	near -0.6ATR	0.45	bear_high	-4.59%	+0.63	04/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high_confirmed	63%	noisy_chop 37%	early	—	near 0.0ATR	0.45	range_high	+0.12%	+0.31	04/08 20:00
1h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 36%	early	—	—	0.18	range_medium	+0.68%	+0.24	04/08 20:00
15m	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	expansion	bull_medium	60%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	—	—	—	range_low	+0.19%	+0.06	04/08 20:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	7b	—	2.528×ATR	p0	+0.677×ATR	p66
4h	↑ up	early	12b	—	2.429×ATR	p15	+0.646×ATR	p57
1h	↑ up	early	1b	—	1.053×ATR	p0	+0.419×ATR	p48
15m	↓ down	mid	2b	—	1.403×ATR	p0	+0.937×ATR	p77

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.00858692
tp_price: 0.00907022
atr: 0.00010483
expires_at: 2026-08-05T07:10:05+00:00

Details

rank: 5
total: 45
score: 0.6506
delta_2h: 0.0533
extension_atr: 1.44
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.752
confidence: 0.959

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	21:10	0.00884900	0%
2	22:10	0.00889600	+0.531%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.008849	0.008587	0.00907	0.84	0.01561

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.008849
Stop Loss: 0.008587
Take Profit: 0.00907

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.008587 - 0.008849 = -0.000262
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.008849 - 0.00907 = -0.000221
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000221 / -0.000262 = 0.8435

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
270.116	100	30525.0305	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.000262

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000262 = -30534.35

Taille de position USD = -30534.35 x 0.008849 = -270.2

Donc, tu peux acheter -30534.35 avec un stoploss a 0.008587

Avec un position size USD de -270.2$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -30534.35 x -0.000262 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -30534.35 x -0.000221 = 6.75

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.75$

Résumé

Taille de position -30534.35
Taille de position USD -270.2
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 6.75
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8435

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	6.75 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.96 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
1.47 $	0.54

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.3164 %	10.69 %	1

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.008849	0.008587	0.00907	0.84	0.01561

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.008849
Stop Loss: 0.008587
Take Profit: 0.00907

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.008587 - 0.008849 = -0.000262
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.008849 - 0.00907 = -0.000221
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000221 / -0.000262 = 0.8435

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4.2h) Initial Risk: -2.961% (0.0003)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.492%	0.5R	-0.316%	0.1R	4.7×	12
2h	+1.537%	0.5R	-0.316%	0.1R	4.9×	24
4h	+1.537%	0.5R	-0.316%	0.1R	4.9×	48
4.2h ★	+1.537%	0.5R	-0.316%	0.1R	4.9×	49
8h	+1.537%	0.5R	-1.582%	0.5R	1.0×	96
12h	+1.537%	0.5R	-1.582%	0.5R	1.0×	144

computed 1 month ago

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