Long Trade on ZRO (CatchTheWave)
With 1976.81 ZRO at 0.779$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7876 (1.04 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7755 (0.51 %)
Long Trade on ZRO (CatchTheWave)
With 1976.81 ZRO at 0.779$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7876 (1.04 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7755 (0.51 %)
Position
Entry 0.7795$
Qty 1976.8071 ZRO
Size 1540.9211$ (margin 100$) (leverage 15)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7876 (+1.04%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 0.7755 (-0.51%)
SL $ 7.91$
RR 2.03
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9170
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.29×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 15.06×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 23.03×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 04/08 22:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.192228 15m : 0.122853 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 04/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 04/08 22:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6963 | r1h: 0.123% · r4h: -0.006% · r1d: 6.70% · r3d: 9.36% · ema21_slope: 0.2907% · dist_ema21: 1.305% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6328 | rs_1h: -0.172% · rs_4h: 0.012% · rs_1d: 6.19% · rs_3d: 7.49% · beta_24h: 0.789 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2408 | rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.469 · trend: -6.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7773 | ADX: 35.3 (trend) · Chop: 40.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.433% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.694% | 1.4R | -0.371% | 0.7R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.694% | 1.4R | -0.418% | 0.8R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.843% | 5.5R | -0.418% | 0.8R | 6.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.843% | 5.5R | -0.418% | 0.8R | 6.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.843% | 5.5R | -0.418% | 0.8R | 6.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -4.59% | -0.40 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.40 | bull_high | +0.77% | +0.48 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 49% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.38 | bull_medium | +1.25% | +0.45 | 04/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.22 | range_low | +0.68% | -0.08 | 04/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 3.168×ATR | p15 | +0.2×ATR | p22 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 3.246×ATR | p42 | +0.64×ATR | p58 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0.729×ATR | p0 | -0.265×ATR | p22 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.158×ATR | p21 | -0.324×ATR | p22 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64216.4
0.00284234
64399
0.192228
64020.2
0.00677566
64454
0.122853
63471.7
0.0152552
64440
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1
0.3315
1.8765
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1
6
0.9474
0.552
0.7771
4.5348
0.75
0.8542
3.8737
1.8765
0
0.2186
0.86
0.3885
0.5454
0.6671
0.8189
0.6929
-2.9123
6.5711
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:44 | 0.77950000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:50 | 0.77881000 | -0.089% |
| 3 | 22:56 | 0.77841000 | -0.14% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 19:30:00 | 0.81447 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 0.807 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 20:10:00 | 0.81613 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 22:05:00 | 0.78406 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 22:25:00 | 0.7917 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:35:00 | 0.7753 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 00:35:00 | 0.78982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:55:00 | 0.7832 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 01:15:00 | 0.79617 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 02:40:00 | 0.7795 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 0.739 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 06:00:00 | 0.74835 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:15:00 | 0.73304 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 10:30:00 | 0.75327 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 14:30:00 | 0.78489 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 15:00:00 | 0.76833 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 0.81613 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:30:00 | 0.7753 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 01:15:00 | 0.79617 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 02:00:00 | 0.78145 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 0.73068 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 08:00:00 | 0.71304 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 14:00:00 | 0.71414 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 15:00:00 | 0.7457 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 23:00:00 | 0.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 21:00:00 | 0.76425 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 01:00:00 | 0.73168 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 0.73304 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 0.81613 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:00:00 | 0.7753 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7795 | 0.7755 | 0.7876 | 2.03 | 1.5159 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7755 - 0.7795 = -0.004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7795 - 0.7876 = -0.0081
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0081 / -0.004 = 2.025
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1540.9211 | 100 | 1976.8071 | 15.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.004 = -2000
Taille de position USD = -2000 x 0.7795 = -1559
Donc, tu peux acheter -2000 avec un stoploss a 0.7755
Avec un position size USD de -1559$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2000 x -0.004 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2000 x -0.0081 = 16.2
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.2$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.04 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.51 % | 7.91 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 1.04 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4182 % | 81.5 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7795 | 0.7755 | 0.7876 | 2.03 | 1.5159 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7755 - 0.7795 = -0.004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7795 - 0.7876 = -0.0081
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0081 / -0.004 = 2.025
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.694% | 1.4R | -0.371% | 0.7R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.694% | 1.4R | -0.418% | 0.8R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.843% | 5.5R | -0.418% | 0.8R | 6.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.843% | 5.5R | -0.418% | 0.8R | 6.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.843% | 5.5R | -0.418% | 0.8R | 6.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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