Long Trade on TAO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.95 TAO at 199.8$ per unit. Take profit: 220.9166 (10.57 %) & Stop Loss: 191.3533 (4.23 %)
04 Aug 2026 at 22:38:59
hyperliquid
TAO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
04 Aug 2026 22:38
→ 10:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 199.8$
Qty 0.9471 TAO
Size 189.2347$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 220.9166 (+10.57%)
TP $ 20$
SL 191.3533 (-4.23%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.24%
/ -2.35$
MAE -2.79%
MFE +0.16%
0.0R
expires
05 Aug 10:38
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 58881)
#9 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 04/08/2026 22:00
score du 04/08/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8826
Quality Score
0.582
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
04/08 22:31
04/08 22:31
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#9 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#9 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.05×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.72×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 11.22×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 04/08 22:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 04/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
04/08/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.5817
Score SMA
0.5443
Rank
#9
/ 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8826
Rank Norm SMA
0.5196
Calculé le
04/08/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5802 | r1h: 0.275% · r4h: -0.142% · r1d: 2.77% · r3d: 1.95% · ema21_slope: 0.1527% · dist_ema21: 1.143% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5254 | rs_1h: -0.020% · rs_4h: -0.124% · rs_1d: 2.26% · rs_3d: 0.08% · beta_24h: 1.146 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3027 | rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -0.011 · trend: 13.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7717 | ADX: 32.6 (trend) · Chop: 30.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.000% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.228%
(8.4467)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.160% | 0.0R | -1.722% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.160% | 0.0R | -1.722% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.160% | 0.0R | -1.722% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.160% | 0.0R | -1.962% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.160% | 0.0R | -2.793% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.160% | 0.0R | -2.793% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.12
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 32% | late | — | — | 0.59 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.23 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.70 | bull_high | +0.77% | +0.08 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.63 | bull_medium | +1.25% | +0.28 | 04/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near -1.8ATR | 0.59 | range_low | +0.68% | +0.14 | 04/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 51b | — | 10.577×ATR | p92 | +0.274×ATR | p30 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 3.147×ATR | p58 | +1.096×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.736×ATR | p8 | +0.793×ATR | p69 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 4.928×ATR | p93 | +2.157×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7547
- reason: up_bo width=1.96×ATR dur=54b phase=extending
- stop_price: 191.35334648
- tp_price: 220.91663381
- atr:
- score: 0.75467664584497
- expires_at: 2026-08-05T14:38:51.941669
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.75467664584497
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0071
- obi_top10 : 0.007
- micro_price : 199.43911081
- spread_pct : 0.010029
- mid_price : 199.44
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0038
- obi_top5_std : 0.0018
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6935
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
193.64
- balance_zone_bottom:
189.49
- balance_zone_mid:
191.565
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785704400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785895200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.9608
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
54
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7547
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785866400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
193.64
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6667
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
8
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.9104
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 2.11653525 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
54
inside_close_ratio
0.6667
bars_since_breakout
8
distance_to_edge_atr
2.9104
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:38 | 199.80000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:45 | 199.80000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 22:51 | 199.17000000 | -0.315% |
| 4 | 22:57 | 199.17000000 | -0.315% |
| 5 | 23:04 | 199.17000000 | -0.315% |
| 6 | 23:09 | 198.17000000 | -0.816% |
| 7 | 23:14 | 198.17000000 | -0.816% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6935ms
Confidence avant OB :
75%
→
75%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.007
avg 0.004
± 0.002
OBI Top 10
0.007
Microstructure
Mid Price
199.4400
Micro Price
199.4391
Spread
0.0100%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.8 | 191.3533 | 220.9166 | 2.5 | 304.77 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 199.8
- Stop Loss: 191.3533
- Take Profit: 220.9166
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 191.3533 - 199.8 = -8.4467
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 199.8 - 220.9166 = -21.1166
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -21.1166 / -8.4467 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 189.2347 | 100 | 0.9471 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -8.4467
Taille de position = 8 / -8.4467 = -0.95
Taille de position USD = -0.95 x 199.8 = -189.81
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.95 avec un stoploss a 191.3533
Avec un position size USD de -189.81$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.95 x -8.4467 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.95 x -21.1166 = 20.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.95
- Taille de position USD -189.81
- Perte potentielle 8.02
- Gain potentiel 20.06
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.57 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.23 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.35 $ | -1.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.7928 % | 66.06 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.8 | 191.3533 | 220.9166 | 2.5 | 304.77 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 199.8
- Stop Loss: 191.3533
- Take Profit: 220.9166
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 191.3533 - 199.8 = -8.4467
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 199.8 - 220.9166 = -21.1166
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -21.1166 / -8.4467 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.228%
(8.4467)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.160% | 0.0R | -1.722% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.160% | 0.0R | -1.722% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.160% | 0.0R | -1.722% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.160% | 0.0R | -1.962% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.160% | 0.0R | -2.793% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.160% | 0.0R | -2.793% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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