Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 2288.25 DOT at 0.844$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8515 (0.83 %) & Stop Loss: 0.841 (0.41 %)
Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 2288.25 DOT at 0.844$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8515 (0.83 %) & Stop Loss: 0.841 (0.41 %)
Position
Entry 0.8445$
Qty 2288.251 DOT
Size 1932.4051$ (margin 100$) (leverage 19)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8515 (+0.83%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 0.841 (-0.41%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8815
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.54×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.24×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 04/08 23:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.202701 15m : 0.268254 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 04/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6001 | r1h: -0.049% · r4h: -0.962% · r1d: 1.59% · r3d: 7.31% · ema21_slope: 0.1607% · dist_ema21: 1.500% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5217 | rs_1h: -0.212% · rs_4h: -1.222% · rs_1d: 0.64% · rs_3d: 5.77% · beta_24h: 0.125 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2127 | rvol_20: 0.14× · zscore_50: -0.897 · trend: 4.32% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8476 | ADX: 41.7 (trend) · Chop: 31.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.960% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.362% | 0.9R | -0.184% | 0.4R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.473% | 1.1R | -0.184% | 0.4R | 2.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.088% | 2.6R | -0.184% | 0.4R | 5.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.583% | 3.8R | -0.184% | 0.4R | 8.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.583% | 3.8R | -0.359% | 0.9R | 4.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.05 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | — | 0.72 | bull_high | +0.77% | +0.65 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.61 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.22% | +0.17 | 04/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.68% | +0.13 | 04/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.569×ATR | p33 | +1.51×ATR | p94 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 27b | — | 8.653×ATR | p100 | +1.45×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.391×ATR | p2 | +0.434×ATR | p42 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.455×ATR | p41 | -0.21×ATR | p21 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64228.7
-0.000898874
64171
0.202701
64041.6
0.00201943
64171
0.268254
63493.4
0.0131124
64326
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0.86893
194
0.7813
0.6277
0.395
0.2769
0.4917
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0.5934
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0.6772
0.8299
0.1468
0.1268
1
0.2398
1.9356
0.75
0.25
1
5
1
0.4462
0.5227
5.4812
0.55
1.9803
7.1212
1.9356
0.2181
0.2287
0.88
0.3175
0.6101
0.479
0.8297
0.8299
-2.3807
11.6121
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (14)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:20 | 0.84449000 | -0.001% |
| 2 | 23:26 | 0.84340000 | -0.13% |
| 3 | 23:32 | 0.84488000 | +0.045% |
| 4 | 23:38 | 0.84551000 | +0.12% |
| 5 | 23:44 | 0.84493000 | +0.051% |
| 6 | 23:50 | 0.84589000 | +0.165% |
| 7 | 23:56 | 0.84698000 | +0.294% |
| 8 | 00:03 | 0.84530000 | +0.095% |
| 9 | 00:08 | 0.84584000 | +0.159% |
| 10 | 00:14 | 0.84550000 | +0.118% |
| 11 | 00:20 | 0.84524000 | +0.088% |
| 12 | 00:26 | 0.84452000 | +0.002% |
| 13 | 00:32 | 0.84477000 | +0.032% |
| 14 | 00:38 | 0.84493000 | +0.051% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 21:00:00 | 0.85038 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 21:45:00 | 0.861 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 22:30:00 | 0.86893 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:20:00 | 0.86831 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:05:00 | 0.85525 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 00:35:00 | 0.8681 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:45:00 | 0.85654 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 02:15:00 | 0.85657 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 02:25:00 | 0.86027 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 03:15:00 | 0.84449 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 02:30:00 | 0.84703 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 08:30:00 | 0.82969 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 09:30:00 | 0.83796 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 14:15:00 | 0.82469 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 16:15:00 | 0.84486 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 17:45:00 | 0.83574 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 22:30:00 | 0.86893 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 0.85525 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 03:15:00 | 0.84449 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.76317 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.79923 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 0.80063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.79096 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 0.7871 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 02:00:00 | 0.84703 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 14:00:00 | 0.82469 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 22:00:00 | 0.86893 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 03:00:00 | 0.84761 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8445 | 0.841 | 0.8515 | 2 | 1.1631 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.841 - 0.8445 = -0.0035000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8445 - 0.8515 = -0.007
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.007 / -0.0035000000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1932.4051 | 100 | 2288.251 | 19.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0035000000000001 = -2285.71
Taille de position USD = -2285.71 x 0.8445 = -1930.28
Donc, tu peux acheter -2285.71 avec un stoploss a 0.841
Avec un position size USD de -1930.28$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2285.71 x -0.0035000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2285.71 x -0.007 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.83 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.02 $ | 0.83 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1835 % | 44.28 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8445 | 0.841 | 0.8515 | 2 | 1.1631 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.841 - 0.8445 = -0.0035000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8445 - 0.8515 = -0.007
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.007 / -0.0035000000000001 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.362% | 0.9R | -0.184% | 0.4R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.473% | 1.1R | -0.184% | 0.4R | 2.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.088% | 2.6R | -0.184% | 0.4R | 5.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.583% | 3.8R | -0.184% | 0.4R | 8.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.583% | 3.8R | -0.359% | 0.9R | 4.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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