Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 9.41 TAO at 196.94$ per unit. Take profit: 198.6396 (0.86 %) & Stop Loss: 196.0902 (0.43 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 9.41 TAO at 196.94$ per unit. Take profit: 198.6396 (0.86 %) & Stop Loss: 196.0902 (0.43 %)
Position
Entry 196.94$
Qty 9.4138 TAO
Size 1853.9482$ (margin 100$) (leverage 19)
Risk Setup
TP 198.6396 (+0.86%)
TP $ 16$
SL 196.0902 (-0.43%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8851
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.31×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.72×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 11.22×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 04/08 23:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.504034 15m : 0.601269 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 04/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6492 | r1h: 0.932% · r4h: 1.107% · r1d: 3.81% · r3d: 2.81% · ema21_slope: 0.1677% · dist_ema21: 2.183% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5960 | rs_1h: 0.769% · rs_4h: 0.847% · rs_1d: 2.85% · rs_3d: 1.27% · beta_24h: 1.197 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8555 | rvol_20: 2.51× · zscore_50: 2.342 · trend: 83.56% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7870 | ADX: 34.4 (trend) · Chop: 32.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.063% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.386% | 0.9R | -0.295% | 0.7R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.386% | 0.9R | -0.295% | 0.7R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.209% | 2.8R | -0.533% | 1.2R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.209% | 2.8R | -0.538% | 1.3R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.209% | 2.8R | -1.381% | 3.2R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 32% | late | — | — | 0.59 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.23 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.70 | bull_high | +0.77% | +0.08 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.63 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.22% | +0.31 | 04/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | — | range_low | +0.68% | +0.11 | 04/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 51b | — | 10.577×ATR | p92 | +0.274×ATR | p30 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 3.147×ATR | p58 | +1.096×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.909×ATR | p18 | +0.932×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 4.245×ATR | p88 | +1.66×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64226.7
-0.00195745
64101
0.504034
64040.2
0.000932756
64100
0.601269
63493.4
0.0131124
64326
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200.4
198
0.6998
0.7335
0.3657
0.226
0.48
0.8769
0.5355
0.4943
0.6265
0.916
0.7301
0.7423
0.1095
0.0702
1
1.0375
1.8111
0.45
0.55
1
7
1
0.5479
0.719
5.5054
0.6
0.8769
2.6132
1.8111
0.7684
0.2788
0.86
0.625
0.5288
0.5168
0.8593
0.7423
-1.5272
4.4
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:20 | 196.94000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:26 | 196.84000000 | -0.051% |
| 3 | 23:33 | 196.59000000 | -0.178% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 20:15:00 | 197.47 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 22:00:00 | 197.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 22:15:00 | 196.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 23:00:00 | 197.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:30:00 | 195.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 00:05:00 | 195.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 00:35:00 | 197.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:15:00 | 195.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 02:25:00 | 200.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 03:15:00 | 196.62 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 05:45:00 | 191.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:15:00 | 189.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 09:45:00 | 189.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 14:15:00 | 190.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 15:00:00 | 192.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 201.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:00:00 | 197.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 195.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 02:15:00 | 200.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 03:15:00 | 196.62 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 195.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 191.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 194.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 13:00:00 | 187.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 193.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 01:00:00 | 189.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 09:00:00 | 189.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 201.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 195.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 02:00:00 | 200.4 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196.94 | 196.0902 | 198.6396 | 2 | 298.33 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 196.0902 - 196.94 = -0.84979999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 196.94 - 198.6396 = -1.6996
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.6996 / -0.84979999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1853.9482 | 100 | 9.4138 | 19.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.84979999999999 = -9.41
Taille de position USD = -9.41 x 196.94 = -1853.21
Donc, tu peux acheter -9.41 avec un stoploss a 196.0902
Avec un position size USD de -1853.21$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -9.41 x -0.84979999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -9.41 x -1.6996 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.86 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.43 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.86 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2945 % | 68.25 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196.94 | 196.0902 | 198.6396 | 2 | 298.33 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 196.0902 - 196.94 = -0.84979999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 196.94 - 198.6396 = -1.6996
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.6996 / -0.84979999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.386% | 0.9R | -0.295% | 0.7R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.386% | 0.9R | -0.295% | 0.7R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.209% | 2.8R | -0.533% | 1.2R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.209% | 2.8R | -0.538% | 1.3R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.209% | 2.8R | -1.381% | 3.2R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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