Short Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 14706.42 DOGE at 0.0697$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06834 (1.95 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07025 (0.79 %)
05 Aug 2026 at 00:06:55
hyperliquid
DOGE
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
05 Aug 2026 00:06
→ 12:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.0697$
Qty 14706.423 DOGE
Size 1025.0818$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06834 (+1.95%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.07025 (-0.79%)
SL $ 8.09$
RR 2.47
Status
loss
PnL
-0.18%
/ -1.79$
MAE -0.74%
MFE +0.66%
0.8R
expires
05 Aug 12:06
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 58948)
#37 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 05/08/2026 00:00
score du 05/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2833
Quality Score
0.454
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
05/08 00:00
05/08 00:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#37 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#37 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.75×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.04×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 05/08 00:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 04/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 04/08 23:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 05/08 00:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4535
Score SMA
0.4855
Rank
#37
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2833
Rank Norm SMA
0.2734
Calculé le
05/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4641 | r1h: -0.746% · r4h: -0.501% · r1d: -0.81% · r3d: -0.45% · ema21_slope: -0.0076% · dist_ema21: -0.682% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4425 | rs_1h: -0.392% · rs_4h: -0.568% · rs_1d: -1.33% · rs_3d: -1.52% · beta_24h: 0.685 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2132 | rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: -0.309 · trend: -45.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4070 | ADX: 11.4 (weak) · Chop: 61.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.528% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.789%
(0.0006)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.429% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.613% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.166% | 0.2R | -0.613% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.166% | 0.2R | -0.613% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.663% | 0.8R | -0.737% | 0.9R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.663% | 0.8R | -1.195% | 1.5R | 0.6× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.44
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late_trend | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -4.59% | -0.35 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.0ATR | near -0.7ATR | 0.82 | bull_high | +0.77% | -0.06 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
36%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.67 | range_medium | +0.74% | -0.15 | 04/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_low |
32%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.20% | -0.05 | 04/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 32b | — | 4.107×ATR | p43 | -0.154×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.533×ATR | p0 | -0.06×ATR | p9 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.896×ATR | p12 | -1.055×ATR | p86 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -1.038×ATR | p81 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8849
- reason: down_bo width=2.30×ATR dur=36b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.07024698
- tp_price: 0.06834305
- atr:
- score: 0.88494933798583
- expires_at: 2026-08-05T16:06:47.760816
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.88494933798583
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0155
- obi_top10 : 0.0779
- micro_price : 0.06977614
- spread_pct : 0.014333
- mid_price : 0.069775
- bid_wall_price : 0.0686
- bid_wall_size : 38579897
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0709
- ask_wall_size : 32929837
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0152
- obi_top5_std : 0.0002
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6977
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.070611
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.0698135
- balance_zone_mid:
0.07021225
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785776400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785902400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2962
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
36
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8849
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785898800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.0698135
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9444
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3182
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00034731 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
36
inside_close_ratio
0.9444
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3182
Signaux confirmants (13)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:06 | 0.06970300 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 00:12 | 0.06970300 | +0.004% |
| 3 | 00:18 | 0.06973200 | +0.046% |
| 4 | 00:24 | 0.06973200 | +0.046% |
| 5 | 00:31 | 0.06973200 | +0.046% |
| 6 | 03:19 | 0.06969500 | -0.007% |
| 7 | 03:25 | 0.06969500 | -0.007% |
| 8 | 03:31 | 0.06969500 | -0.007% |
| 9 | 03:37 | 0.06964600 | -0.077% |
| 10 | 03:42 | 0.06964600 | -0.077% |
| 11 | 03:48 | 0.06963900 | -0.088% |
| 12 | 03:54 | 0.06963900 | -0.088% |
| 13 | 04:01 | 0.06963900 | -0.088% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6977ms
Confidence avant OB :
88%
→
88%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.016
avg -0.015
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.078
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0698
Micro Price
0.0698
Spread
0.0143%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0686
Size
38,579,897.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0709
Size
32,929,837.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0697 | 0.07025 | 0.06834 | 2.47 | 0.09606 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0697
- Stop Loss: 0.07025
- Take Profit: 0.06834
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07025 - 0.0697 = 0.00055000000000001
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0697 - 0.06834 = 0.00136
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00136 / 0.00055000000000001 = 2.4727
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1025.0818 | 100 | 14706.423 | 10.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00055000000000001
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00055000000000001 = 14545.45
Taille de position USD = 14545.45 x 0.0697 = 1013.82
Donc, tu peux acheter 14545.45 avec un stoploss a 0.07025
Avec un position size USD de 1013.82$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 14545.45 x 0.00055000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 14545.45 x 0.00136 = 19.78
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.78$
Résumé
- Taille de position 14545.45
- Taille de position USD 1013.82
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.78
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4727
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.95 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.79 % | 8.09 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.79 $ | -0.18 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7374 % | 93.45 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0697 | 0.07025 | 0.06834 | 2.47 | 0.09606 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0697
- Stop Loss: 0.07025
- Take Profit: 0.06834
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07025 - 0.0697 = 0.00055000000000001
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0697 - 0.06834 = 0.00136
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00136 / 0.00055000000000001 = 2.4727
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.789%
(0.0006)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.429% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.613% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.166% | 0.2R | -0.613% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.166% | 0.2R | -0.613% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.663% | 0.8R | -0.737% | 0.9R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.663% | 0.8R | -1.195% | 1.5R | 0.6× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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