Short Trade on XRP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 835.05 XRP at 1.067$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0425 (2.25 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0761 (0.9 %)
05 Aug 2026 at 00:07:49
hyperliquid
XRP
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
05 Aug 2026 00:07
→ 12:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.0665$
Qty 835.0452 XRP
Size 890.5757$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 1.0425 (+2.25%)
TP $ 20.04$
SL 1.0761 (-0.9%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.40%
/ +3.59$
MAE -0.55%
MFE +1.14%
1.3R
expires
05 Aug 12:07
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 58954)
#35 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 05/08/2026 00:00
score du 05/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1804
Quality Score
0.466
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
12.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
05/08 00:00
05/08 00:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#35 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#35 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.95×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.36×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.40×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 05/08 00:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 04/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 04/08 23:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 05/08 00:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4660
Score SMA
0.4659
Rank
#35
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1804
Rank Norm SMA
0.1663
Calculé le
05/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4546 | r1h: -0.652% · r4h: -0.615% · r1d: -0.95% · r3d: -0.93% · ema21_slope: -0.0136% · dist_ema21: -0.679% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4384 | rs_1h: -0.298% · rs_4h: -0.682% · rs_1d: -1.47% · rs_3d: -1.99% · beta_24h: 0.771 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2851 | rvol_20: 1.00× · zscore_50: -0.327 · trend: -29.95% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4197 | ADX: 9.0 (weak) · Chop: 57.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.504% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.900%
(0.0096)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.056% | 0.1R | -0.234% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.056% | 0.1R | -0.553% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.291% | 0.3R | -0.553% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.628% | 0.7R | -0.553% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.144% | 1.3R | -0.553% | 0.6R | 2.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.550% | 2.8R | -0.572% | 0.6R | 4.5× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.04
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -1.4ATR | — | 0.86 | bear_high | -4.59% | -0.16 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.4ATR | near 0.5ATR | 0.84 | bull_high | +0.77% | -0.12 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.79 | range_medium | +0.74% | -0.17 | 04/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.20% | -0.06 | 04/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 15b | — | 3.093×ATR | p20 | -0.184×ATR | p24 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 0.892×ATR | p0 | -0.387×ATR | p44 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.768×ATR | p12 | -1.059×ATR | p80 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 3.565×ATR | p61 | -1.303×ATR | p86 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.9465
- reason: down_bo width=2.31×ATR dur=29b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.07608032
- tp_price: 1.0425492
- atr:
- score: 0.9464584959954
- expires_at: 2026-08-05T16:07:41.983028
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.9464584959954
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0783
- obi_top10 : 0.0783
- micro_price : 1.06731002
- spread_pct : 0.009369
- mid_price : 1.06735
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0765
- obi_top5_std : 0.001
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6861
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.0814
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.06975
- balance_zone_mid:
1.075575
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785801600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785902400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.3055
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
29
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9465
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785898800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.06975
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8966
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6432
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00505321 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
29
inside_close_ratio
0.8966
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6432
Signaux confirmants (48)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:07 | 1.06650000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:13 | 1.06650000 | 0% |
| 3 | 00:19 | 1.06640000 | -0.009% |
| 4 | 00:25 | 1.06640000 | -0.009% |
| 5 | 00:32 | 1.06640000 | -0.009% |
| 6 | 00:37 | 1.06750000 | +0.094% |
| 7 | 00:43 | 1.06750000 | +0.094% |
| 8 | 00:49 | 1.06670000 | +0.019% |
| 9 | 00:55 | 1.06670000 | +0.019% |
| 10 | 01:02 | 1.06670000 | +0.019% |
| 11 | 01:07 | 1.06780000 | +0.122% |
| 12 | 01:13 | 1.06780000 | +0.122% |
| 13 | 01:19 | 1.06820000 | +0.159% |
| 14 | 01:25 | 1.06820000 | +0.159% |
| 15 | 01:32 | 1.06820000 | +0.159% |
| 16 | 01:49 | 1.06960000 | +0.291% |
| 17 | 01:55 | 1.06960000 | +0.291% |
| 18 | 02:02 | 1.06960000 | +0.291% |
| 19 | 02:07 | 1.06910000 | +0.244% |
| 20 | 02:13 | 1.06910000 | +0.244% |
| 21 | 02:19 | 1.06860000 | +0.197% |
| 22 | 02:25 | 1.06860000 | +0.197% |
| 23 | 02:32 | 1.06860000 | +0.197% |
| 24 | 02:37 | 1.06880000 | +0.216% |
| 25 | 02:43 | 1.06880000 | +0.216% |
| 26 | 02:49 | 1.06890000 | +0.225% |
| 27 | 02:55 | 1.06890000 | +0.225% |
| 28 | 03:02 | 1.06890000 | +0.225% |
| 29 | 03:07 | 1.06730000 | +0.075% |
| 30 | 03:13 | 1.06730000 | +0.075% |
| 31 | 03:19 | 1.06610000 | -0.038% |
| 32 | 03:25 | 1.06610000 | -0.038% |
| 33 | 03:32 | 1.06610000 | -0.038% |
| 34 | 03:37 | 1.06430000 | -0.206% |
| 35 | 03:43 | 1.06430000 | -0.206% |
| 36 | 03:49 | 1.06490000 | -0.15% |
| 37 | 03:55 | 1.06490000 | -0.15% |
| 38 | 04:02 | 1.06490000 | -0.15% |
| 39 | 04:07 | 1.06600000 | -0.047% |
| 40 | 04:13 | 1.06600000 | -0.047% |
| 41 | 04:19 | 1.06530000 | -0.113% |
| 42 | 04:25 | 1.06530000 | -0.113% |
| 43 | 04:32 | 1.06530000 | -0.113% |
| 44 | 04:37 | 1.06590000 | -0.056% |
| 45 | 04:43 | 1.06590000 | -0.056% |
| 46 | 04:49 | 1.06480000 | -0.159% |
| 47 | 04:55 | 1.06480000 | -0.159% |
| 48 | 05:02 | 1.06480000 | -0.159% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6861ms
Confidence avant OB :
95%
→
95%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.078
avg 0.077
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.078
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.0674
Micro Price
1.0673
Spread
0.0094%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0665 | 1.0761 | 1.0425 | 2.5 | 1.5123 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.0665
- Stop Loss: 1.0761
- Take Profit: 1.0425
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0761 - 1.0665 = 0.0096000000000001
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0665 - 1.0425 = 0.024
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.024 / 0.0096000000000001 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 890.5757 | 100 | 835.0452 | 9.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0096000000000001
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0096000000000001 = 833.33
Taille de position USD = 833.33 x 1.0665 = 888.75
Donc, tu peux acheter 833.33 avec un stoploss a 1.0761
Avec un position size USD de 888.75$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 833.33 x 0.0096000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 833.33 x 0.024 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 833.33
- Taille de position USD 888.75
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.25 % | 20.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.9 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.59 $ | 0.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5532 % | 61.46 % | 17 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0665 | 1.0761 | 1.0425 | 2.5 | 1.5123 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.0665
- Stop Loss: 1.0761
- Take Profit: 1.0425
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0761 - 1.0665 = 0.0096000000000001
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0665 - 1.0425 = 0.024
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.024 / 0.0096000000000001 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.900%
(0.0096)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.056% | 0.1R | -0.234% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.056% | 0.1R | -0.553% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.291% | 0.3R | -0.553% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.628% | 0.7R | -0.553% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.144% | 1.3R | -0.553% | 0.6R | 2.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.550% | 2.8R | -0.572% | 0.6R | 4.5× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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