Short Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 625.83 ETHFI at 0.36$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3512 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.373 (3.55 %)
05 Aug 2026 at 00:10:04
hyperliquid
ETHFI
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
05 Aug 2026 00:10
→ 03:10
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.3602$
Qty 625.8268 ETHFI
Size 225.4103$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3512 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.63$
SL 0.373 (-3.55%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.7
Status
loss
PnL
-1.70%
/ -3.84$
MAE -2.30%
MFE +0.73%
0.2R
expires
05 Aug 03:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=31 <= threshold=33/43
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 58969)
#40 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 05/08/2026 00:00
score du 05/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1844
Quality Score
0.447
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
05/08 00:01
05/08 00:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#40 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#40 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 3.77×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.01×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 05/08 00:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 04/08 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 05/08 00:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4471
Score SMA
0.4868
Rank
#40
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1844
Rank Norm SMA
0.3031
Calculé le
05/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2815 | r1h: -0.451% · r4h: 1.223% · r1d: -9.63% · r3d: -11.06% · ema21_slope: -0.3822% · dist_ema21: -2.165% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2940 | rs_1h: -0.096% · rs_4h: 1.156% · rs_1d: -10.16% · rs_3d: -12.12% · beta_24h: 0.517 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2515 | rvol_20: 0.17× · zscore_50: -0.522 · trend: 14.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9260 | ADX: 52.5 (trend) · Chop: 39.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.497% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
3.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.554%
(0.0128)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.727% | 0.2R | -0.031% | 0.0R | 23.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.727% | 0.2R | -1.932% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 3.2h ★ | +0.727% | 0.2R | -2.296% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 37 |
| 4h | +0.727% | 0.2R | -2.296% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.727% | 0.2R | -2.296% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.727% | 0.2R | -3.409% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.51
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.62 | bear_high | -4.59% | -0.94 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +0.77% | -0.82 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 50% | early | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.42 | range_medium | +0.74% | -0.74 | 04/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
48%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.20% | +0.02 | 04/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 4.693×ATR | p53 | -1.438×ATR | p96 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 5.05×ATR | p86 | -1.258×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.081×ATR | p34 | -0.103×ATR | p9 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.41×ATR | p0 | -0.073×ATR | p5 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.37296309
- tp_price: 0.3511755
- atr: 0.00511324
- expires_at: 2026-08-05T10:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 43
- total: 44
- score: 0.2815
- delta_2h: -0.0155
- extension_atr: -1.28
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1844
- confidence: 0.977
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:10 | 0.36018000 | -0.006% |
| 2 | 01:10 | 0.35885000 | -0.375% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3602 | 0.373 | 0.3512 | 0.7 | 0.6774 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3602
- Stop Loss: 0.373
- Take Profit: 0.3512
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.373 - 0.3602 = 0.0128
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3602 - 0.3512 = 0.009
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.009 / 0.0128 = 0.7031
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 225.4103 | 100 | 625.8268 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0128
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0128 = 625
Taille de position USD = 625 x 0.3602 = 225.13
Donc, tu peux acheter 625 avec un stoploss a 0.373
Avec un position size USD de 225.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 625 x 0.0128 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 625 x 0.009 = 5.63
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.63$
Résumé
- Taille de position 625
- Taille de position USD 225.13
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.63
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7031
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.63 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.55 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.84 $ | -1.70 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.2959 % | 64.61 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3602 | 0.373 | 0.3512 | 0.7 | 0.6774 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3602
- Stop Loss: 0.373
- Take Profit: 0.3512
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.373 - 0.3602 = 0.0128
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3602 - 0.3512 = 0.009
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.009 / 0.0128 = 0.7031
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
3.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.554%
(0.0128)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.727% | 0.2R | -0.031% | 0.0R | 23.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.727% | 0.2R | -1.932% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 3.2h ★ | +0.727% | 0.2R | -2.296% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 37 |
| 4h | +0.727% | 0.2R | -2.296% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.727% | 0.2R | -2.296% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.727% | 0.2R | -3.409% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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