Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 692.99 LDO at 0.281$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2735 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2921 (4.1 %)
Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 692.99 LDO at 0.281$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2735 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2921 (4.1 %)
Position
Entry 0.2806$
Qty 692.9935 LDO
Size 194.4263$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2735 (+2.53%)
TP $ 4.92$
SL 0.2921 (-4.1%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 0.62
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0202
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.19×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.38×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 05/08 01:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 05/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 05/08 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2007 | r1h: -0.619% · r4h: 1.070% · r1d: -14.68% · r3d: -15.48% · ema21_slope: -0.5366% · dist_ema21: -3.220% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2406 | rs_1h: -0.613% · rs_4h: 0.772% · rs_1d: -14.90% · rs_3d: -16.40% · beta_24h: -1.667 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1848 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -0.227 · trend: -51.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6404 | ADX: 52.3 (trend) · Chop: 74.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.745% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.730% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.730% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 14 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.717% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -6.023% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.299% | 1.8R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -8.742% | 2.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.69 | bear_high | -4.59% | -0.99 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | — | 0.39 | range_high | +0.30% | -0.93 | 05/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
choppy 50% | early | — | — | 0.37 | bull_medium | +0.79% | -0.89 | 05/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | — | range_low | +0.25% | -0.08 | 05/08 00:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 5.529×ATR | p69 | -1.8×ATR | p97 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 33b | — | 11.081×ATR | p100 | -1.438×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 0.833×ATR | p0 | -0.292×ATR | p23 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.379×ATR | p18 | -0.321×ATR | p25 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2806 | 0.2921 | 0.2735 | 0.62 | 0.3904 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2921 - 0.2806 = 0.0115
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2806 - 0.2735 = 0.0071
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0071 / 0.0115 = 0.6174
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 194.4263 | 100 | 692.9935 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0115 = 695.65
Taille de position USD = 695.65 x 0.2806 = 195.2
Donc, tu peux acheter 695.65 avec un stoploss a 0.2921
Avec un position size USD de 195.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 695.65 x 0.0115 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 695.65 x 0.0071 = 4.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.94$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.53 % | 4.92 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.1 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.65 $ | -1.88 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.7299 % | 66.61 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2806 | 0.2921 | 0.2735 | 0.62 | 0.3904 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2921 - 0.2806 = 0.0115
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2806 - 0.2735 = 0.0071
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0071 / 0.0115 = 0.6174
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.730% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.730% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 14 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.717% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -6.023% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.299% | 1.8R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -8.742% | 2.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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