05 Aug 2026 at 01:45:14 hyperliquid

Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 1678.86 FARTCOIN at 0.136$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1478 (8.76 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1311 (3.53 %)

FARTCOIN LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 05 Aug 2026 01:45 → 13:40 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.1359$

Qty 1678.8629 FARTCOIN

Size 228.0903$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1478 (+8.76%)

TP $ 19.98$

SL 0.1311 (-3.53%)

SL $ 8.06$

RR 2.48

Status loss PnL -0.92% / -2.1$ MAE -3.42% MFE +1.10% 0.3R expires 05 Aug 13:45 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 59016)
#14 / 43 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 05/08/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7898

Quality Score
0.552
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
75 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
05/08 01:31

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#14 / 43 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
75 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.53 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#14 / 43 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
75 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.53 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear
4h near 0.21×ATR
1d clear 12.24×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : range_low

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1)

05/08 01:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

04/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

05/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

05/08 01:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.5515
Score SMA
0.5644
Rank
#14 / 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7898
Rank Norm SMA
0.6799
Calculé le
05/08/2026 01:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6068 r1h: 0.267% · r4h: 0.408% · r1d: 1.65% · r3d: 3.04% · ema21_slope: 0.1866% · dist_ema21: 0.848%
Force Relative 25% 0.5490 rs_1h: 0.273% · rs_4h: 0.110% · rs_1d: 1.42% · rs_3d: 2.12% · beta_24h: 1.944
Volume 20% 0.1321 rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -1.019 · trend: -50.20%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7056 ADX: 25.5 (trend) · Chop: 39.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.382% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.532% (0.0048)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.096% 0.3R -0.397% 0.1R 2.8× 12
2h +1.096% 0.3R -0.397% 0.1R 2.8× 24
4h +1.096% 0.3R -0.397% 0.1R 2.8× 48
8h +1.096% 0.3R -3.422% 1.0R 0.3× 96
12h ★ +1.096% 0.3R -3.422% 1.0R 0.3× 143
24h +1.096% 0.3R -3.422% 1.0R 0.3× 288

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.46
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 36% mid 0.62 bear_high -4.59% -0.11 04/08 20:00
4h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 40% mid near 0.2ATR 0.65 range_high +0.54% +0.52 05/08 00:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate balanced expansion bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 45% early 0.64 bull_medium +0.99% +0.22 05/08 01:00
15m ↑ up range range strong fading compression bull_medium
60%
noisy_chop 50% late near -0.5ATR range_low +0.60% +0.07 05/08 01:15
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 33b 5.14×ATR p71 +0.638×ATR p63
4h ↑ up mid 12b 3.052×ATR p37 +0.711×ATR p66
1h ↓ down early 8b 1.681×ATR p7 +0.4×ATR p40
15m ↑ up late 4b 3.174×ATR p63 +1.707×ATR p97

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.7514
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.01×ATR dur=38b phase=extending
  4. stop_price: 0.13109487
  5. tp_price: 0.14777283
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.7514092039134
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-05T17:45:06.974053
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.7514092039134
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.1343
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0972
  15. micro_price : 0.13600554
  16. spread_pct : 0.073529
  17. mid_price : 0.13605
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.135
  19. bid_wall_size : 2076586.72
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.137
  22. ask_wall_size : 1828583.14
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.1395
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0067
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7039
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.13314
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.12942
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.13128
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1785772800
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1785906000
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.0094
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    38
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7514
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1785870000
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.13314
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.6316
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    10
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    1.4692
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    6
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    2
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00185133
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
38
inside_close_ratio
0.6316
bars_since_breakout
10
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4692

Signaux confirmants (24)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 01:45 0.13586000 -0.029%
2 01:51 0.13607000 +0.125%
3 01:57 0.13607000 +0.125%
4 02:04 0.13607000 +0.125%
5 02:09 0.13569000 -0.155%
6 02:15 0.13569000 -0.155%
7 02:21 0.13565000 -0.184%
8 02:27 0.13565000 -0.184%
9 02:34 0.13565000 -0.184%
10 02:39 0.13634000 +0.324%
11 02:45 0.13634000 +0.324%
12 02:51 0.13630000 +0.294%
13 02:57 0.13630000 +0.294%
14 03:04 0.13630000 +0.294%
15 03:09 0.13599000 +0.066%
16 03:15 0.13599000 +0.066%
17 03:22 0.13599000 +0.066%
18 03:27 0.13599000 +0.066%
19 03:34 0.13599000 +0.066%
20 03:40 0.13569000 -0.155%
21 03:46 0.13569000 -0.155%
22 03:51 0.13556000 -0.25%
23 03:57 0.13556000 -0.25%
24 04:04 0.13556000 -0.25%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7039ms Confidence avant OB : 75%75%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.134
avg 0.140 ± 0.007
OBI Top 10 0.097

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1361
Micro Price
0.1360
Spread
0.0735%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.1350
Size
2,076,586.72

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.1370
Size
1,828,583.14

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1359 0.1311 0.1478 2.48 0.1814
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1359
  • Stop Loss: 0.1311
  • Take Profit: 0.1478

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1311 - 0.1359 = -0.0048

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1359 - 0.1478 = -0.0119

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0119 / -0.0048 = 2.4792

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
228.0903 100 1678.8629 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0048

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0048 = -1666.67

Taille de position USD = -1666.67 x 0.1359 = -226.5

Donc, tu peux acheter -1666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.1311

Avec un position size USD de -226.5$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1666.67 x -0.0048 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1666.67 x -0.0119 = 19.83

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.83$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1666.67
  • Taille de position USD -226.5
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.83
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4792

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
8.76 % 19.98 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.53 % 8.06 $
PNL PNL %
-2.1 $ -0.92
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.4216 % 96.87 % 17
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1359 0.1311 0.1478 2.48 0.1814
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1359
  • Stop Loss: 0.1311
  • Take Profit: 0.1478

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1311 - 0.1359 = -0.0048

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1359 - 0.1478 = -0.0119

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0119 / -0.0048 = 2.4792

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.532% (0.0048)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.096% 0.3R -0.397% 0.1R 2.8× 12
2h +1.096% 0.3R -0.397% 0.1R 2.8× 24
4h +1.096% 0.3R -0.397% 0.1R 2.8× 48
8h +1.096% 0.3R -3.422% 1.0R 0.3× 96
12h ★ +1.096% 0.3R -3.422% 1.0R 0.3× 143
24h +1.096% 0.3R -3.422% 1.0R 0.3× 288

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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