Long Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 310.44 ZRO at 0.784$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8041 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7587 (3.28 %)
05 Aug 2026 at 02:10:08
hyperliquid
ZRO
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
05 Aug 2026 02:10
→ 06:00
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 0.7844$
Qty 310.4405 ZRO
Size 243.5251$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8041 (+2.51%)
TP $ 6.12$
SL 0.7587 (-3.28%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.77
Status
win
PnL
+0.39%
/ +0.95$
MAE -0.82%
MFE +2.20%
0.7R
expires
05 Aug 06:20
Exit
rank_decay: long rank=11 > threshold=10/43
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 59048)
#10 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 05/08/2026 02:00
score du 05/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8326
Quality Score
0.577
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
05/08 02:00
05/08 02:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#10 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.28 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#10 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.28 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.44×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 23.03×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 02:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 05/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 01:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 05/08 02:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5767
Score SMA
0.6256
Rank
#10
/ 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8326
Rank Norm SMA
0.8768
Calculé le
05/08/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6583 | r1h: 0.276% · r4h: -0.892% · r1d: 4.83% · r3d: 8.44% · ema21_slope: 0.1890% · dist_ema21: 0.471% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5890 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.925% · rs_1d: 3.97% · rs_3d: 7.04% · beta_24h: 0.969 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1664 | rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.762 · trend: -37.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6577 | ADX: 30.3 (trend) · Chop: 49.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.389% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.276%
(0.0257)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.200% | 0.7R | -0.390% | 0.1R | 5.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.200% | 0.7R | -0.390% | 0.1R | 5.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.200% | 0.7R | -0.390% | 0.1R | 5.6× | 48 |
| 4.2h ★ | +2.200% | 0.7R | -0.820% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 49 |
| 8h | +2.200% | 0.7R | -0.977% | 0.3R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.200% | 0.7R | -2.123% | 0.7R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.17
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -4.59% | -0.40 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.40 | range_high | +0.54% | +0.54 | 05/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.38 | bull_medium | +1.04% | +0.16 | 05/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.3ATR | near 0.5ATR | — | range_low | +0.49% | -0.10 | 05/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 3.168×ATR | p15 | +0.2×ATR | p22 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 3.572×ATR | p53 | +0.746×ATR | p67 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.3×ATR | p0 | -0.109×ATR | p9 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.27×ATR | p0 | +0.125×ATR | p12 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.75868017
- tp_price: 0.80406125
- atr: 0.01030793
- expires_at: 2026-08-05T12:10:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 6
- total: 45
- score: 0.6583
- delta_2h: 0.0119
- extension_atr: 0.45
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8326
- confidence: 0.886
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7844 | 0.7587 | 0.8041 | 0.77 | 1.5027 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7844
- Stop Loss: 0.7587
- Take Profit: 0.8041
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7587 - 0.7844 = -0.0257
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7844 - 0.8041 = -0.0197
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0197 / -0.0257 = 0.7665
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 243.5251 | 100 | 310.4405 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0257
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0257 = -311.28
Taille de position USD = -311.28 x 0.7844 = -244.17
Donc, tu peux acheter -311.28 avec un stoploss a 0.7587
Avec un position size USD de -244.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -311.28 x -0.0257 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -311.28 x -0.0197 = 6.13
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.13$
Résumé
- Taille de position -311.28
- Taille de position USD -244.17
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.13
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7665
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 6.12 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.28 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.95 $ | 0.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3901 % | 11.91 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7844 | 0.7587 | 0.8041 | 0.77 | 1.5027 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7844
- Stop Loss: 0.7587
- Take Profit: 0.8041
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7587 - 0.7844 = -0.0257
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7844 - 0.8041 = -0.0197
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0197 / -0.0257 = 0.7665
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.276%
(0.0257)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.200% | 0.7R | -0.390% | 0.1R | 5.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.200% | 0.7R | -0.390% | 0.1R | 5.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.200% | 0.7R | -0.390% | 0.1R | 5.6× | 48 |
| 4.2h ★ | +2.200% | 0.7R | -0.820% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 49 |
| 8h | +2.200% | 0.7R | -0.977% | 0.3R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.200% | 0.7R | -2.123% | 0.7R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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