Long Trade on ONDO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 579.11 ONDO at 0.385$ per unit. Take profit: 0.42 (8.98 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3716 (3.58 %)
05 Aug 2026 at 02:14:54
hyperliquid
ONDO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
05 Aug 2026 02:14
→ 14:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.3854$
Qty 579.1075 ONDO
Size 223.2054$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.42 (+8.98%)
TP $ 20.04$
SL 0.3716 (-3.58%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-1.17%
/ -2.62$
MAE -2.43%
MFE +1.00%
0.3R
expires
05 Aug 14:14
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 59054)
#7 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 05/08/2026 02:00
score du 05/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5442
Quality Score
0.602
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
05/08 02:01
05/08 02:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#7 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.58 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#7 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.58 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.62×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.71×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.37×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 02:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 05/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 01:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 05/08 02:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6020
Score SMA
0.5040
Rank
#7
/ 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5442
Rank Norm SMA
0.3937
Calculé le
05/08/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6081 | r1h: 1.700% · r4h: 1.773% · r1d: 2.95% · r3d: -1.87% · ema21_slope: 0.0868% · dist_ema21: 2.222% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5944 | rs_1h: 1.424% · rs_4h: 1.740% · rs_1d: 2.09% · rs_3d: -3.28% · beta_24h: 2.593 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3922 | rvol_20: 1.17× · zscore_50: 0.268 · trend: 0.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6170 | ADX: 21.4 (weak) · Chop: 45.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.218% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.581%
(0.0138)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.156% | 0.0R | -1.217% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.156% | 0.0R | -1.482% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.156% | 0.0R | -1.710% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.004% | 0.3R | -2.426% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.004% | 0.3R | -2.426% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.004% | 0.3R | -4.159% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.36
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -4.59% | +0.23 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.56 | range_high | +0.54% | -0.27 | 05/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.63 | bull_medium | +1.04% | +0.27 | 05/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.49% | +0.26 | 05/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.457×ATR | p0 | -0.384×ATR | p46 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 18b | — | 2.185×ATR | p4 | +0.451×ATR | p43 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 2.809×ATR | p50 | +1.259×ATR | p90 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.42×ATR | p71 | +2.113×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8622
- reason: up_bo width=2.88×ATR dur=49b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.37161564
- tp_price: 0.4199659
- atr:
- score: 0.86221677248744
- expires_at: 2026-08-05T18:14:46.972516
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.86221677248744
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0932
- obi_top10 : 0.0615
- micro_price : 0.38523142
- spread_pct : 0.025961
- mid_price : 0.38525
- bid_wall_price : 0.383
- bid_wall_size : 1101918.26
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.388
- ask_wall_size : 1276722.12
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0941
- obi_top5_std : 0.0005
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7043
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.37862
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.36552
- balance_zone_mid:
0.37207
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785736800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785909600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8832
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
49
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8622
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785906000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.37862
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9592
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4988
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00454358 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
49
inside_close_ratio
0.9592
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4988
Signaux confirmants (10)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:14 | 0.38543000 | +0.008% |
| 2 | 02:20 | 0.38475000 | -0.169% |
| 3 | 02:26 | 0.38475000 | -0.169% |
| 4 | 02:33 | 0.38475000 | -0.169% |
| 5 | 02:38 | 0.38451000 | -0.231% |
| 6 | 02:44 | 0.38451000 | -0.231% |
| 7 | 02:50 | 0.38307000 | -0.605% |
| 8 | 02:56 | 0.38307000 | -0.605% |
| 9 | 03:03 | 0.38307000 | -0.605% |
| 10 | 03:08 | 0.38195000 | -0.895% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7043ms
Confidence avant OB :
86%
→
86%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.093
avg 0.094
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.062
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.3853
Micro Price
0.3852
Spread
0.0260%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.3830
Size
1,101,918.26
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.3880
Size
1,276,722.12
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3854 | 0.3716 | 0.42 | 2.51 | 0.4135 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3854
- Stop Loss: 0.3716
- Take Profit: 0.42
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3716 - 0.3854 = -0.0138
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3854 - 0.42 = -0.0346
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0346 / -0.0138 = 2.5072
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 223.2054 | 100 | 579.1075 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0138
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0138 = -579.71
Taille de position USD = -579.71 x 0.3854 = -223.42
Donc, tu peux acheter -579.71 avec un stoploss a 0.3716
Avec un position size USD de -223.42$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -579.71 x -0.0138 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -579.71 x -0.0346 = 20.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$
Résumé
- Taille de position -579.71
- Taille de position USD -223.42
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.06
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5072
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.98 % | 20.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.58 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.62 $ | -1.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.4261 % | 67.75 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3854 | 0.3716 | 0.42 | 2.51 | 0.4135 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3854
- Stop Loss: 0.3716
- Take Profit: 0.42
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3716 - 0.3854 = -0.0138
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3854 - 0.42 = -0.0346
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0346 / -0.0138 = 2.5072
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.581%
(0.0138)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.156% | 0.0R | -1.217% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.156% | 0.0R | -1.482% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.156% | 0.0R | -1.710% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.004% | 0.3R | -2.426% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.004% | 0.3R | -2.426% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.004% | 0.3R | -4.159% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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