Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 13.14 TAO at 197.02$ per unit. Take profit: 198.2376 (0.62 %) & Stop Loss: 196.4112 (0.31 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 13.14 TAO at 197.02$ per unit. Take profit: 198.2376 (0.62 %) & Stop Loss: 196.4112 (0.31 %)
Position
Entry 197.02$
Qty 13.1408 TAO
Size 2588.9983$ (margin 100$) (leverage 26)
Risk Setup
TP 198.2376 (+0.62%)
TP $ 16$
SL 196.4112 (-0.31%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8448
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.03×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.89×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 10.60×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 03:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.562216 15m : 0.60104 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 05/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 02:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6029 | r1h: 0.106% · r4h: 0.020% · r1d: 4.11% · r3d: 2.11% · ema21_slope: 0.1675% · dist_ema21: 1.368% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5570 | rs_1h: 0.184% · rs_4h: 0.135% · rs_1d: 3.14% · rs_3d: 0.87% · beta_24h: 1.402 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2443 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.334 · trend: -0.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8030 | ADX: 38.5 (trend) · Chop: 40.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.993% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.254% | 0.8R | -0.579% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.365% | 1.2R | -0.579% | 1.9R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.741% | 2.4R | -0.579% | 1.9R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.741% | 2.4R | -1.421% | 4.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.041% | 3.4R | -1.421% | 4.6R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 33% | late | — | — | 0.59 | bear_high | -4.07% | +0.29 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.71 | range_high | +0.58% | +0.09 | 05/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.63 | bull_medium | +0.93% | +0.31 | 05/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | near -0.5ATR | — | range_low | +0.36% | +0.11 | 05/08 02:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 51b | — | 9.977×ATR | p92 | +0.485×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 3.293×ATR | p58 | +1.012×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.066×ATR | p2 | +0.443×ATR | p48 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.854×ATR | p63 | +1.051×ATR | p80 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64224.2
-0.000345726
64202
0.562216
64072
0.00202769
64202
0.60104
63568.1
0.00984494
64194
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200.4
194
0.6997
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0.3634
0.2413
0.4633
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0.6265
0.832
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0.0829
1
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1.6854
0.45
0.55
1
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1
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2.6132
1.6854
0.7684
0.2938
0.72
0.5118
0.5314
0.4618
0.8526
0.7117
-2.1058
5.1978
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:09 | 197.02000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:15 | 196.58000000 | -0.223% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 23:30:00 | 195.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 00:05:00 | 195.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 00:35:00 | 197.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:15:00 | 195.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 02:25:00 | 200.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 03:35:00 | 196.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 04:00:00 | 197.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 05:00:00 | 196.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:40:00 | 199.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:05:00 | 197.02 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 14:15:00 | 190.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 15:00:00 | 192.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 201.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:00:00 | 197.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 195.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 02:15:00 | 200.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 03:30:00 | 196.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 05:00:00 | 196.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:30:00 | 199.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:00:00 | 197.02 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 195.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 191.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 194.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 13:00:00 | 187.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 193.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 01:00:00 | 189.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 09:00:00 | 189.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 201.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 195.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 02:00:00 | 200.4 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 197.02 | 196.4112 | 198.2376 | 2 | 288.49 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 196.4112 - 197.02 = -0.6088
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 197.02 - 198.2376 = -1.2176
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.2176 / -0.6088 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2588.9983 | 100 | 13.1408 | 26.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.6088 = -13.14
Taille de position USD = -13.14 x 197.02 = -2588.84
Donc, tu peux acheter -13.14 avec un stoploss a 196.4112
Avec un position size USD de -2588.84$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -13.14 x -0.6088 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -13.14 x -1.2176 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.62 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.31 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3553 % | 114.98 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 197.02 | 196.4112 | 198.2376 | 2 | 288.49 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 196.4112 - 197.02 = -0.6088
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 197.02 - 198.2376 = -1.2176
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.2176 / -0.6088 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.254% | 0.8R | -0.579% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.365% | 1.2R | -0.579% | 1.9R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.741% | 2.4R | -0.579% | 1.9R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.741% | 2.4R | -1.421% | 4.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.041% | 3.4R | -1.421% | 4.6R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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