Long Trade on SKR (CatchTheWave)
With 34701.14 SKR at 0.0089$ per unit. Take profit: 0.009362 (5.18 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00867 (2.6 %)
Long Trade on SKR (CatchTheWave)
With 34701.14 SKR at 0.0089$ per unit. Take profit: 0.009362 (5.18 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00867 (2.6 %)
Position
Entry 0.008901$
Qty 34701.1365 SKR
Size 308.8748$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.009362 (+5.18%)
TP $ 16$
SL 0.00867 (-2.6%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9489
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.08×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.80×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 03:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.096847 15m : 0.05225 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 05/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 05/08 03:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8817 | r1h: 4.638% · r4h: 7.116% · r1d: 54.86% · r3d: 43.48% · ema21_slope: 1.4521% · dist_ema21: 20.379% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 1.0000 | rs_1h: 4.716% · rs_4h: 7.231% · rs_1d: 53.89% · rs_3d: 42.23% · beta_24h: -5.128 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6938 | rvol_20: 1.73× · zscore_50: 1.450 · trend: 141.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8704 | ADX: 44.4 (trend) · Chop: 10.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6146 | ATR%: 4.156% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.224% | 1.2R | -2.910% | 1.1R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.224% | 1.2R | -2.910% | 1.1R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +4.640% | 1.8R | -2.910% | 1.1R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.640% | 1.8R | -6.718% | 2.6R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.640% | 1.8R | -6.887% | 2.7R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | — | bear_high | -4.07% | +0.76 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.18 | range_high | +0.44% | +1.00 | 05/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
72%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | 0.11 | range_medium | +0.74% | +0.99 | 05/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.2ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.00% | +0.38 | 05/08 03:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 4.227×ATR | p33 | +2.728×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 5.686×ATR | p92 | +3.302×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 0.185×ATR | p0 | +0.607×ATR | p48 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.067×ATR | p13 | -0.406×ATR | p32 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64245.5
-0.00332337
64032
0.096847
64058.3
-0.000411947
64032
0.05225
63565.2
0.00753234
64044
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0.928
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0.8154
0.298
0.1685
1
1.9634
3.4559
0.4
0.6
1
3
1
0.5114
0.6957
7.551
0.55
0.2149
1.6227
3.4559
0.5079
0.3138
0.88
2.231
0.6785
0.4531
0.7149
0.8154
-1.3489
5.9568
1
1
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 02:00:00 | 0.0088 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 03:25:00 | 0.009413 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 03:45:00 | 0.009065 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 04:00:00 | 0.009571 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 04:30:00 | 0.009652 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 04:55:00 | 0.009139 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 05:35:00 | 0.00903 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 05:50:00 | 0.009411 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 06:40:00 | 0.00976 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:30:00 | 0.008772 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 14:15:00 | 0.00686 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 16:45:00 | 0.007389 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 19:00:00 | 0.007121 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 19:45:00 | 0.007253 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:15:00 | 0.006757 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 01:30:00 | 0.009249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 04:30:00 | 0.009652 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 05:30:00 | 0.00903 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:30:00 | 0.00976 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:30:00 | 0.008772 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.006658 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 00:00:00 | 0.006593 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 0.007007 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 06:00:00 | 0.006389 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 11:00:00 | 0.006547 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:00:00 | 0.006444 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 0.006207 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 13:00:00 | 0.007568 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 0.006757 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 0.00976 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.008901 | 0.00867 | 0.009362 | 2 | 0.02051 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00867 - 0.008901 = -0.000231
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.008901 - 0.009362 = -0.000461
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000461 / -0.000231 = 1.9957
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 308.8748 | 100 | 34701.1365 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000231 = -34632.03
Taille de position USD = -34632.03 x 0.008901 = -308.26
Donc, tu peux acheter -34632.03 avec un stoploss a 0.00867
Avec un position size USD de -308.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -34632.03 x -0.000231 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -34632.03 x -0.000461 = 15.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.18 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.6 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -2.60 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.9098 % | 112.12 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.008901 | 0.00867 | 0.009362 | 2 | 0.02051 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00867 - 0.008901 = -0.000231
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.008901 - 0.009362 = -0.000461
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000461 / -0.000231 = 1.9957
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.224% | 1.2R | -2.910% | 1.1R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.224% | 1.2R | -2.910% | 1.1R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +4.640% | 1.8R | -2.910% | 1.1R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.640% | 1.8R | -6.718% | 2.6R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.640% | 1.8R | -6.887% | 2.7R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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