Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 5251.03 ONDO at 0.38$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3832 (0.82 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3786 (0.39 %)
Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 5251.03 ONDO at 0.38$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3832 (0.82 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3786 (0.39 %)
Position
Entry 0.3801$
Qty 5251.0322 ONDO
Size 1996.0223$ (margin 100$) (leverage 20)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3832 (+0.82%)
TP $ 16.28$
SL 0.3786 (-0.39%)
SL $ 7.88$
RR 2.07
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5568
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.99×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.29×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.75×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 03:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.582513 15m : 0.664374 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 05/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 05/08 03:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5774 | r1h: -0.507% · r4h: 1.223% · r1d: 4.19% · r3d: -2.60% · ema21_slope: 0.1028% · dist_ema21: 2.003% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5182 | rs_1h: -0.429% · rs_4h: 1.339% · rs_1d: 3.22% · rs_3d: -3.85% · beta_24h: 2.588 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2697 | rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.269 · trend: -2.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6612 | ADX: 23.4 (weak) · Chop: 42.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.238% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.921% | 2.3R | -0.108% | 0.3R | 8.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.921% | 2.3R | -0.339% | 0.9R | 2.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.921% | 2.3R | -0.339% | 0.9R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.413% | 6.1R | -1.066% | 2.7R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.413% | 6.1R | -1.066% | 2.7R | 2.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -4.07% | +0.46 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.56 | range_high | +0.44% | -0.18 | 05/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.63 | range_medium | +0.74% | +0.16 | 05/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.63 | range_low | +0.00% | +0.09 | 05/08 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.828×ATR | p0 | +0.062×ATR | p10 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 1.952×ATR | p0 | +0.747×ATR | p72 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.488×ATR | p38 | +0.468×ATR | p44 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.386×ATR | p72 | -0.669×ATR | p58 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64217
-0.00309911
64018
0.582513
64058.6
-0.000228327
64044
0.664374
63565.2
0.00753234
64044
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0.36983
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0.4933
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0.91
0.6003
0.3718
0.1197
0.0434
1
0.8805
0.9737
0.4
0.6
1
11
1
0.4294
0.3643
3.0446
0.5
0.6574
2.0015
0.9737
0.517
0.2797
0.88
0.273
0.6365
0.4151
0.7934
0.3718
-5.6124
3.3214
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:39 | 0.38012000 | +0.005% |
| 2 | 03:44 | 0.37977000 | -0.087% |
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 23:20:00 | 0.3771 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:50:00 | 0.36983 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 02:30:00 | 0.38105 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 03:10:00 | 0.38051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 03:30:00 | 0.376 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 04:00:00 | 0.376 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 04:30:00 | 0.37848 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 04:50:00 | 0.37636 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:10:00 | 0.38683 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:30:00 | 0.38004 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 19:00:00 | 0.3761 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:15:00 | 0.37173 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 20:30:00 | 0.37862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 22:45:00 | 0.37754 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:45:00 | 0.36983 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 02:30:00 | 0.38105 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 03:30:00 | 0.376 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 04:00:00 | 0.376 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 0.38683 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:30:00 | 0.38004 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 0.39117 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 06:00:00 | 0.36579 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 0.37921 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 0.36845 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 0.36437 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 11:00:00 | 0.37435 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 16:00:00 | 0.36525 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 0.37862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 0.36983 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 0.38683 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3801 | 0.3786 | 0.3832 | 2.07 | 0.4149 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3786 - 0.3801 = -0.0015
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3801 - 0.3832 = -0.0031
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0031 / -0.0015 = 2.0667
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1996.0223 | 100 | 5251.0322 | 20.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0015 = -5333.33
Taille de position USD = -5333.33 x 0.3801 = -2027.2
Donc, tu peux acheter -5333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.3786
Avec un position size USD de -2027.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5333.33 x -0.0015 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5333.33 x -0.0031 = 16.53
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.53$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.82 % | 16.28 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.39 % | 7.88 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.28 $ | 0.82 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1079 % | 27.34 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3801 | 0.3786 | 0.3832 | 2.07 | 0.4149 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3786 - 0.3801 = -0.0015
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3801 - 0.3832 = -0.0031
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0031 / -0.0015 = 2.0667
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.921% | 2.3R | -0.108% | 0.3R | 8.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.921% | 2.3R | -0.339% | 0.9R | 2.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.921% | 2.3R | -0.339% | 0.9R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.413% | 6.1R | -1.066% | 2.7R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.413% | 6.1R | -1.066% | 2.7R | 2.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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