Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 654.9 LIT at 2.102$ per unit. Take profit: 2.126 (1.16 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0894 (0.58 %)
Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 654.9 LIT at 2.102$ per unit. Take profit: 2.126 (1.16 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0894 (0.58 %)
Position
Entry 2.1016$
Qty 654.8981 LIT
Size 1376.3339$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 2.126 (+1.16%)
TP $ 15.98$
SL 2.0894 (-0.58%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6618
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.14×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.54×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 05/08 09:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.507833 15m : 0.499331 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 05/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 08:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6225 | r1h: 0.723% · r4h: 0.235% · r1d: 3.91% · r3d: 3.30% · ema21_slope: 0.1766% · dist_ema21: 1.317% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5494 | rs_1h: 0.149% · rs_4h: -0.259% · rs_1d: 3.08% · rs_3d: 1.22% · beta_24h: 1.985 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2192 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.174 · trend: -36.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5805 | ADX: 22.7 (weak) · Chop: 51.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.437% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.475% | 2.5R | -1.194% | 2.1R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.475% | 2.5R | -1.194% | 2.1R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.684% | 2.9R | -1.266% | 2.2R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.503% | 4.3R | -1.266% | 2.2R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.306% | 9.1R | -1.266% | 2.2R | 4.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -4.32% | -0.68 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.38 | range_high | +0.27% | -0.17 | 05/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.47 | bull_medium | +1.07% | +0.22 | 05/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.41 | range_low | +0.46% | -0.07 | 05/08 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 30b | — | 3.499×ATR | p43 | +0.098×ATR | p9 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.138×ATR | p9 | +0.432×ATR | p46 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 0.855×ATR | p0 | +0.344×ATR | p25 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +0.408×ATR | p42 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64192.4
-0.000521142
64159
0.507833
64134.7
0.000705866
64180
0.499331
63622.4
0.0075684
64104
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2.1566
192
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1.0131
0.5
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0.5768
0.5382
3.5038
0.55
1.3979
3.3244
1.0131
0.3911
0.3178
0.24
-0.1649
0.407
0.4733
0.8349
0.755
-1.715
5.2836
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:22 | 2.10160000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:28 | 2.09720000 | -0.209% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 08:25:00 | 2.1467 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 08:40:00 | 2.1199 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 09:20:00 | 2.1321 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:15:00 | 2.0915 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:40:00 | 2.1291 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:50:00 | 2.1033 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 11:30:00 | 2.1241 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 12:05:00 | 2.1104 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:15:00 | 2.1339 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:20:00 | 2.1016 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 18:00:00 | 2.0571 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 2.1219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:15:00 | 2.0646 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 2.0347 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 03:00:00 | 2.145 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 06:30:00 | 2.1566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 08:30:00 | 2.1199 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:15:00 | 2.0915 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:15:00 | 2.1339 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 2.1037 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 07:00:00 | 2.1541 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 17:00:00 | 2.0169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:00:00 | 2.0758 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 1.9648 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 13:00:00 | 2.1292 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 2.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 2.1219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 2.0347 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 2.1566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:00:00 | 2.0915 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1016 | 2.0894 | 2.126 | 2 | 4.8142 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0894 - 2.1016 = -0.0122
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1016 - 2.126 = -0.0244
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0244 / -0.0122 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1376.3339 | 100 | 654.8981 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0122 = -655.74
Taille de position USD = -655.74 x 2.1016 = -1378.1
Donc, tu peux acheter -655.74 avec un stoploss a 2.0894
Avec un position size USD de -1378.1$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -655.74 x -0.0122 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -655.74 x -0.0244 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.16 % | 15.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.58 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9088 % | 156.55 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1016 | 2.0894 | 2.126 | 2 | 4.8142 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0894 - 2.1016 = -0.0122
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1016 - 2.126 = -0.0244
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0244 / -0.0122 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.475% | 2.5R | -1.194% | 2.1R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.475% | 2.5R | -1.194% | 2.1R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.684% | 2.9R | -1.266% | 2.2R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.503% | 4.3R | -1.266% | 2.2R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.306% | 9.1R | -1.266% | 2.2R | 4.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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