Long Trade on SKR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 7777.56 SKR at 0.00854$ per unit. Take profit: 0.008759 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.007516 (12.04 %)
05 Aug 2026 at 10:10:04
hyperliquid
SKR
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
05 Aug 2026 10:10
→ 12:15
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.008545$
Qty 7777.5617 SKR
Size 66.4593$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.008759 (+2.5%)
TP $ 1.66$
SL 0.007516 (-12.04%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.21
Status
loss
PnL
-1.39%
/ -0.93$
MAE -3.01%
MFE +0.82%
0.1R
expires
05 Aug 12:20
Exit
rank_decay: long rank=18 > threshold=10/42
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 59421)
#8 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 05/08/2026 10:00
score du 05/08/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8982
Quality Score
0.636
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
05/08 10:03
05/08 10:03
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#8 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#8 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.52×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.01×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 10:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 05/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 09:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | transition | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 05/08 10:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6358
Score SMA
0.6975
Rank
#8
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8982
Rank Norm SMA
0.9084
Calculé le
05/08/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7673 | r1h: 0.231% · r4h: -1.318% · r1d: 18.41% · r3d: 26.26% · ema21_slope: 1.3501% · dist_ema21: 3.325% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7400 | rs_1h: 0.441% · rs_4h: -1.363% · rs_1d: 17.62% · rs_3d: 24.58% · beta_24h: -4.973 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2695 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.336 · trend: 18.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8665 | ADX: 44.0 (trend) · Chop: 23.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3672 | ATR%: 4.898% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -12.042%
(0.0010)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.819% | 0.1R | -2.528% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.819% | 0.1R | -3.008% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.819% | 0.1R | -3.008% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 25 |
| 4h | +1.451% | 0.1R | -3.008% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.451% | 0.1R | -6.495% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.451% | 0.1R | -10.708% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.33
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | — | bear_high | -4.32% | +0.37 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.18 | range_high | +0.48% | +0.97 | 05/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.10 | range_medium | +0.66% | +0.94 | 05/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.07 | range_low | +0.10% | -0.23 | 05/08 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 3.399×ATR | p11 | +2.006×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.322×ATR | p8 | +1.046×ATR | p80 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.443×ATR | p2 | -0.138×ATR | p13 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 15b | — | 2.853×ATR | p48 | -0.316×ATR | p25 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.008545 | 0.007516 | 0.008759 | 0.21 | 0.01946 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.008545
- Stop Loss: 0.007516
- Take Profit: 0.008759
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.007516 - 0.008545 = -0.001029
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.008545 - 0.008759 = -0.000214
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000214 / -0.001029 = 0.208
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66.4593 | 66.4593 | 7777.5617 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.001029
Taille de position = 8 / -0.001029 = -7774.54
Taille de position USD = -7774.54 x 0.008545 = -66.43
Donc, tu peux acheter -7774.54 avec un stoploss a 0.007516
Avec un position size USD de -66.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7774.54 x -0.001029 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7774.54 x -0.000214 = 1.66
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.66$
Résumé
- Taille de position -7774.54
- Taille de position USD -66.43
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 1.66
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.208
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 1.66 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.04 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.93 $ | -1.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.0076 % | 24.98 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.008545 | 0.007516 | 0.008759 | 0.21 | 0.01946 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.008545
- Stop Loss: 0.007516
- Take Profit: 0.008759
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.007516 - 0.008545 = -0.001029
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.008545 - 0.008759 = -0.000214
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000214 / -0.001029 = 0.208
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -12.042%
(0.0010)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.819% | 0.1R | -2.528% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.819% | 0.1R | -3.008% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.819% | 0.1R | -3.008% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 25 |
| 4h | +1.451% | 0.1R | -3.008% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.451% | 0.1R | -6.495% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.451% | 0.1R | -10.708% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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