Long Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 0.85 ZEC at 522.75$ per unit. Take profit: 546.2542 (4.5 %) & Stop Loss: 513.3483 (1.8 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 0.85 ZEC at 522.75$ per unit. Take profit: 546.2542 (4.5 %) & Stop Loss: 513.3483 (1.8 %)
Position
Entry 522.75$
Qty 0.8509 ZEC
Size 444.8135$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 546.2542 (+4.5%)
TP $ 20$
SL 513.3483 (-1.8%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9156
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 3.06×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 10:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | transition | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6674 | r1h: -0.756% · r4h: 0.416% · r1d: 6.55% · r3d: 9.80% · ema21_slope: 0.2147% · dist_ema21: 1.369% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6247 | rs_1h: -0.546% · rs_4h: 0.371% · rs_1d: 5.77% · rs_3d: 8.12% · beta_24h: 2.172 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5636 | rvol_20: 1.53× · zscore_50: 1.283 · trend: 35.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7911 | ADX: 42.6 (trend) · Chop: 46.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.092% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.184% | 0.1R | -1.286% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.184% | 0.1R | -1.333% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.232% | 0.1R | -1.333% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.232% | 0.1R | -1.333% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.232% | 0.1R | -3.223% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.45 | bear_high | -4.32% | -0.16 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.67 | range_high | +0.48% | +0.71 | 05/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.63 | range_medium | +0.66% | +0.27 | 05/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.61 | range_low | +0.10% | -0.02 | 05/08 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 21b | — | 2.389×ATR | p0 | +1.054×ATR | p81 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 4.962×ATR | p85 | +1.269×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.786×ATR | p21 | -0.143×ATR | p12 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 1.046×ATR | p0 | -0.811×ATR | p70 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
513.97
148
0.8045
0.6055
0.4412
0.2216
0.6208
0.7159
0.5194
0.541
0.7912
0.5822
0.6849
0.9509
0.1519
0.1386
1
1.6069
3.5975
0.75
0.25
1
2
1
0.5568
0.6422
3.0993
0.55
0.7159
2.2188
3.5975
0.3438
0.2684
0.74
-0.0927
0.4562
0.5328
0.9122
0.9509
-0.6242
12.0865
1
1
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513.97
525.94
525.94
513.97
511.27
501.71
506.49
0.8131
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 522.75 | 513.3483 | 546.2542 | 2.5 | 1527.8 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 513.3483 - 522.75 = -9.4017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 522.75 - 546.2542 = -23.5042
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -23.5042 / -9.4017 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 444.8135 | 100 | 0.8509 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -9.4017 = -0.85
Taille de position USD = -0.85 x 522.75 = -444.34
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.85 avec un stoploss a 513.3483
Avec un position size USD de -444.34$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.85 x -9.4017 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.85 x -23.5042 = 19.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.5 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.8 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.80 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.0411 % | 113.49 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 522.75 | 513.3483 | 546.2542 | 2.5 | 1527.8 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 513.3483 - 522.75 = -9.4017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 522.75 - 546.2542 = -23.5042
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -23.5042 / -9.4017 = 2.5
Array
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.184% | 0.1R | -1.286% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.184% | 0.1R | -1.333% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.232% | 0.1R | -1.333% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.232% | 0.1R | -1.333% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.232% | 0.1R | -3.223% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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