Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 14.86 BCH at 214.38$ per unit. Take profit: 215.4564 (0.5 %) & Stop Loss: 213.8418 (0.25 %)
Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 14.86 BCH at 214.38$ per unit. Take profit: 215.4564 (0.5 %) & Stop Loss: 213.8418 (0.25 %)
Position
Entry 214.38$
Qty 14.8647 BCH
Size 3186.7032$ (margin 100$) (leverage 32)
Risk Setup
TP 215.4564 (+0.5%)
TP $ 16$
SL 213.8418 (-0.25%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7109
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.71×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.35×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 25.97×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.55102 15m : 0.56922 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 05/08 17:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5012 | r1h: -0.863% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.54% · r3d: 0.32% · ema21_slope: 0.0600% · dist_ema21: 0.475% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4579 | rs_1h: -0.684% · rs_4h: 0.080% · rs_1d: -0.26% · rs_3d: -1.44% · beta_24h: 1.122 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 3.12× · zscore_50: 3.736 · trend: 128.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7107 | ADX: 25.3 (trend) · Chop: 38.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.672% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.271% | 1.1R | -0.289% | 1.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.271% | 1.1R | -0.397% | 1.6R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.271% | 1.1R | -0.476% | 1.9R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.522% | 2.1R | -0.984% | 3.9R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.522% | 2.1R | -1.390% | 5.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 32% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -3.54% | -0.42 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | weak | grind | normal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.65 | bull_high | +1.20% | -0.11 | 05/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.51 | bull_medium | +1.26% | +0.05 | 05/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | range_low |
44%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.45% | +0.04 | 05/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 26b | — | 4.335×ATR | p61 | +0.176×ATR | p22 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.321×ATR | p13 | +0.97×ATR | p82 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.704×ATR | p10 | +0.081×ATR | p12 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.327×ATR | p59 | -1.023×ATR | p81 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64654.8
-0.000229208
64640
0.55102
64433.6
0.00320322
64640
0.56922
63729.1
0.0142928
64640
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[features] => Array
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.353591160221
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0674542682927
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.467987804878
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.056006720806499
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
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217.2
197
0.7359
0.5919
0.3633
0.2644
0.4442
1
0.3126
0.5756
0.6978
0.8053
0.6435
0.7437
0.1327
0.0685
1
0.3136
0.8109
0.65
0.35
1
2
1
0.4711
0.4978
3.9462
0.6
1.6717
3.8594
0.8109
0.4505
0.2458
0.74
0.2419
0.5533
0.4975
0.7626
0.7437
-2.0919
6.0694
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:07 | 214.38000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:32 | 214.27000000 | -0.051% |
| 3 | 18:43 | 214.25000000 | -0.061% |
| 4 | 18:49 | 214.07000000 | -0.145% |
| 5 | 18:55 | 214.03000000 | -0.163% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 15:15:00 | 213.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 15:55:00 | 212.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 17:05:00 | 214.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 18:05:00 | 215 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 18:30:00 | 214.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 19:05:00 | 215.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 19:35:00 | 215.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:05:00 | 215.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:40:00 | 217.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 22:00:00 | 214.26 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 05:15:00 | 212.28 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:15:00 | 209.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 09:00:00 | 210.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:30:00 | 214.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 12:15:00 | 214.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 211.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 15:00:00 | 214.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 15:45:00 | 212.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:30:00 | 217.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 22:00:00 | 214.26 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 06:00:00 | 213 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 22:00:00 | 214.77 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 208.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 215.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 211.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 214.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 15:00:00 | 214.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 16:00:00 | 212.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 07:00:00 | 209.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:00:00 | 217.2 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214.38 | 213.8418 | 215.4564 | 2 | 233.14 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 213.8418 - 214.38 = -0.53819999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 214.38 - 215.4564 = -1.0764
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.0764 / -0.53819999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3186.7032 | 100 | 14.8647 | 32.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.53819999999999 = -14.86
Taille de position USD = -14.86 x 214.38 = -3185.69
Donc, tu peux acheter -14.86 avec un stoploss a 213.8418
Avec un position size USD de -3185.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -14.86 x -0.53819999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -14.86 x -1.0764 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2892 % | 115.22 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214.38 | 213.8418 | 215.4564 | 2 | 233.14 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 213.8418 - 214.38 = -0.53819999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 214.38 - 215.4564 = -1.0764
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.0764 / -0.53819999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.271% | 1.1R | -0.289% | 1.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.271% | 1.1R | -0.397% | 1.6R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.271% | 1.1R | -0.476% | 1.9R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.522% | 2.1R | -0.984% | 3.9R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.522% | 2.1R | -1.390% | 5.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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