Short Trade on WLD (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1272.82 WLD at 0.316$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2999 (4.97 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3219 (2 %)
05 Aug 2026 at 18:08:25
hyperliquid
WLD
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
05 Aug 2026 18:08
→ 06:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.3156$
Qty 1272.8233 WLD
Size 401.754$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2999 (+4.97%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.3219 (-2%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.49
Status
win
PnL
+3.32%
/ +13.35$
MAE -1.13%
MFE +4.01%
2.0R
expires
06 Aug 06:08
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 59741)
#43 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 05/08/2026 18:00
score du 05/08/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3808
Quality Score
0.420
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
23.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
05/08 18:00
05/08 18:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#43 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.00 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#43 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.00 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.89×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.61×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.89×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 05/08 18:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 05/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 05/08 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 05/08 18:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4196
Score SMA
0.5113
Rank
#43
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3808
Rank Norm SMA
0.4496
Calculé le
05/08/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4028 | r1h: -0.927% · r4h: -2.292% · r1d: -2.15% · r3d: -0.86% · ema21_slope: -0.0627% · dist_ema21: -1.613% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3641 | rs_1h: -0.748% · rs_4h: -2.211% · rs_1d: -2.95% · rs_3d: -2.61% · beta_24h: 1.863 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1829 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.705 · trend: -27.58% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4746 | ADX: 20.6 (weak) · Chop: 62.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.394% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.996%
(0.0063)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.580% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.754% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.109% | 0.6R | -1.128% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.768% | 0.9R | -1.128% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.005% | 2.0R | -1.128% | 0.6R | 3.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.225% | 2.6R | -1.128% | 0.6R | 4.6× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.43
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -3.54% | -0.97 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.47 | bull_high | +1.20% | -0.13 | 05/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.53 | bull_medium | +1.26% | -0.21 | 05/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.45% | -0.23 | 05/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 49b | — | 15.765×ATR | p94 | -0.013×ATR | p2 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 1.998×ATR | p0 | -0.342×ATR | p36 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.339×ATR | p34 | -0.904×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 4.723×ATR | p89 | -0.979×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8474
- reason: down_bo width=2.74×ATR dur=40b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.32192524
- tp_price: 0.29992691
- atr:
- score: 0.84736562406676
- expires_at: 2026-08-06T10:08:18.268132
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.84736562406676
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0359
- obi_top10 : 0.0868
- micro_price : 0.31588326
- spread_pct : 0.031666
- mid_price : 0.31585
- bid_wall_price : 0.314
- bid_wall_size : 1751101
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.318
- ask_wall_size : 1400864
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0363
- obi_top5_std : 0.0006
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6819
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.327195
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.315825
- balance_zone_mid:
0.32151
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785826800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785967200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.7382
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
40
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8474
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785963600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.315825
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.0446
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
9
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00415236 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
40
inside_close_ratio
0.9
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0446
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:08 | 0.31564000 | +0.013% |
| 2 | 18:14 | 0.31564000 | +0.013% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6819ms
Confidence avant OB :
85%
→
85%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.036
avg 0.036
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.087
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.3159
Micro Price
0.3159
Spread
0.0317%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.3140
Size
1,751,101.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.3180
Size
1,400,864.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3156 | 0.3219 | 0.2999 | 2.49 | 0.3776 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3156
- Stop Loss: 0.3219
- Take Profit: 0.2999
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3219 - 0.3156 = 0.0063
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3156 - 0.2999 = 0.0157
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0157 / 0.0063 = 2.4921
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 401.754 | 100 | 1272.8233 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0063
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0063 = 1269.84
Taille de position USD = 1269.84 x 0.3156 = 400.76
Donc, tu peux acheter 1269.84 avec un stoploss a 0.3219
Avec un position size USD de 400.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1269.84 x 0.0063 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1269.84 x 0.0157 = 19.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.94$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1269.84
- Taille de position USD 400.76
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.94
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4921
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.97 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 13.35 $ | 3.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.128 % | 56.51 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3156 | 0.3219 | 0.2999 | 2.49 | 0.3776 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3156
- Stop Loss: 0.3219
- Take Profit: 0.2999
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3219 - 0.3156 = 0.0063
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3156 - 0.2999 = 0.0157
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0157 / 0.0063 = 2.4921
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.996%
(0.0063)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.580% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.754% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.109% | 0.6R | -1.128% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.768% | 0.9R | -1.128% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.005% | 2.0R | -1.128% | 0.6R | 3.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.225% | 2.6R | -1.128% | 0.6R | 4.6× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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