Long Trade on PENDLE (CatchTheWave)
With 1614.24 PENDLE at 1.396$ per unit. Take profit: 1.4059 (0.71 %) & Stop Loss: 1.391 (0.36 %)
Long Trade on PENDLE (CatchTheWave)
With 1614.24 PENDLE at 1.396$ per unit. Take profit: 1.4059 (0.71 %) & Stop Loss: 1.391 (0.36 %)
Position
Entry 1.396$
Qty 1614.2441 PENDLE
Size 2253.4847$ (margin 100$) (leverage 23)
Risk Setup
TP 1.4059 (+0.71%)
TP $ 15.98$
SL 1.391 (-0.36%)
SL $ 8.07$
RR 1.98
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2358
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.41×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.71×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.397179 15m : 0.599689 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 05/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 18:00 Score : -1 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4860 | r1h: -1.335% · r4h: -0.690% · r1d: 3.48% · r3d: 0.35% · ema21_slope: 0.1154% · dist_ema21: 0.615% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4609 | rs_1h: -1.156% · rs_4h: -0.609% · rs_1d: 2.68% · rs_3d: -1.41% · beta_24h: 3.214 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 5.87× · zscore_50: 4.561 · trend: 311.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7718 | ADX: 32.6 (trend) · Chop: 36.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.325% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.072% | 0.2R | -0.609% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.193% | 0.5R | -0.609% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.193% | 0.5R | -1.469% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.193% | 0.5R | -1.469% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.193% | 0.5R | -3.188% | 8.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.64 | bull_high | +1.12% | -0.01 | 05/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bull_medium | +1.20% | +0.05 | 05/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.63 | range_low | +0.49% | -0.05 | 05/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.127×ATR | p4 | +0.533×ATR | p54 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.452×ATR | p33 | -0.032×ATR | p2 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 4.735×ATR | p86 | -0.178×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64664.4
-6.84215E-5
64660
0.397179
64436
0.00445363
64723
0.599689
63730.7
0.0155844
64724
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1.4425
196
0.7249
0.6272
0.2914
0.2198
0.35
1
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0.609
0.6636
0.8826
0.6192
0.5236
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0.0674
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0.5129
1.1496
0.5
0.5
1
3
1
0.5604
0.542
4.7703
0.55
1.6777
5.7645
1.1496
0
0.3432
0.92
0.1959
0.4957
0.4286
0.7723
0.5236
-3.2577
3.5803
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:44 | 1.39600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:50 | 1.39510000 | -0.064% |
| 3 | 18:56 | 1.39240000 | -0.258% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 18:30:00 | 1.3968 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 18:45:00 | 1.4108 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 19:10:00 | 1.403 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 19:45:00 | 1.4425 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 20:15:00 | 1.4342 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 21:05:00 | 1.3925 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 21:40:00 | 1.4004 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 22:00:00 | 1.396 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 22:20:00 | 1.4028 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 22:40:00 | 1.3951 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 03:00:00 | 1.3928 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 04:45:00 | 1.3662 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:30:00 | 1.4076 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:15:00 | 1.3821 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:15:00 | 1.3922 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 1.3561 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 16:00:00 | 1.3735 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 17:45:00 | 1.4157 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 19:45:00 | 1.4425 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 21:00:00 | 1.3925 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 22:00:00 | 1.3964 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 1.3359 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:00:00 | 1.3886 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 1.3687 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 1.3414 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 15:00:00 | 1.3562 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 1.3365 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 1.4076 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 1.3561 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 19:00:00 | 1.4425 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.396 | 1.391 | 1.4059 | 1.98 | 2.31 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.391 - 1.396 = -0.0049999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.396 - 1.4059 = -0.0099
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0099 / -0.0049999999999999 = 1.98
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2253.4847 | 100 | 1614.2441 | 23.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0049999999999999 = -1600
Taille de position USD = -1600 x 1.396 = -2233.6
Donc, tu peux acheter -1600 avec un stoploss a 1.391
Avec un position size USD de -2233.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1600 x -0.0049999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1600 x -0.0099 = 15.84
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.84$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.71 % | 15.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 8.07 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.07 $ | -0.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6089 % | 169.99 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.396 | 1.391 | 1.4059 | 1.98 | 2.31 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.391 - 1.396 = -0.0049999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.396 - 1.4059 = -0.0099
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0099 / -0.0049999999999999 = 1.98
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.072% | 0.2R | -0.609% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.193% | 0.5R | -0.609% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.193% | 0.5R | -1.469% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.193% | 0.5R | -1.469% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.193% | 0.5R | -3.188% | 8.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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