Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.11 BTC at 64577$ per unit. Take profit: 64719.7946 (0.22 %) & Stop Loss: 64505.6027 (0.11 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.11 BTC at 64577$ per unit. Take profit: 64719.7946 (0.22 %) & Stop Loss: 64505.6027 (0.11 %)
Position
Entry 64577$
Qty 0.112 BTC
Size 7235.7921$ (margin 100$) (leverage 72)
Risk Setup
TP 64719.7946 (+0.22%)
TP $ 16$
SL 64505.6027 (-0.11%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6995
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.04×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.08×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.21×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 05/08 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5217 | r1h: -0.179% · r4h: -0.080% · r1d: 0.80% · r3d: 1.76% · ema21_slope: 0.0426% · dist_ema21: 0.405% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2758 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.468 · trend: 7.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6531 | ADX: 26.6 (trend) · Chop: 46.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.409% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.217% | 2.0R | -0.031% | 0.3R | 7.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.217% | 2.0R | -0.047% | 0.4R | 4.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.217% | 2.0R | -0.235% | 2.1R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.602% | 5.5R | -0.235% | 2.1R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.604% | 5.5R | -0.235% | 2.1R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -1.2ATR | — | — | — | — | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | — | — | — | — | 05/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -1.0ATR | — | — | — | — | 05/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -1.1ATR | — | — | — | — | — | 05/08 19:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 15b | — | 1.426×ATR | p0 | +0.469×ATR | p47 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 4.272×ATR | p65 | +0.707×ATR | p65 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 3.176×ATR | p65 | +0.13×ATR | p14 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 3.737×ATR | p74 | -0.894×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 19:00:00
[1] => 64050
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 00:00:00
[1] => 63287
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 04:00:00
[1] => 64220
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 10:00:00
[1] => 63423
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 23:00:00
[1] => 64500
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 01:00:00
[1] => 63921
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 05:00:00
[1] => 64490
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 07:00:00
[1] => 63971
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 13:00:00
[1] => 63850
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 20:00:00
[1] => 64986
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.50318530144954
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2670321064996
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7791699295223
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 05:15:00
[1] => 64490
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 07:30:00
[1] => 63971
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 08:15:00
[1] => 64250
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 10:15:00
[1] => 64212
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 10:45:00
[1] => 63990
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 12:15:00
[1] => 64540
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 13:30:00
[1] => 63850
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 16:15:00
[1] => 64723
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 20:15:00
[1] => 64986
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 23:00:00
[1] => 64577
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.62936632505463
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.63335243198043
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 16:25:00
[1] => 64723
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 17:20:00
[1] => 64505
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 18:15:00
[1] => 64776
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 19:25:00
[1] => 64900
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 20:05:00
[1] => 64780
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 20:20:00
[1] => 64986
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 21:25:00
[1] => 64621
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 22:00:00
[1] => 64736
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 22:30:00
[1] => 64746
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 23:00:00
[1] => 64577
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.26101998579063
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.26170308314106
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
63850
190
0.6343
0.5666
0.2865
0.1662
0.385
1
0.431
0.4994
0.4331
0.0677
0.5933
0.881
0.1584
0.116
1
0.8851
2.2692
0.6
0.4
-1
9
1
0.6676
0.6584
2.3839
0.5
1.2127
2.5483
2.2692
0.3353
0.3932
0.02
-0.2165
0.3209
0.4412
0.7924
0.881
-1.4124
10.461
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:00 | 64577.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:06 | 64581.00000000 | +0.006% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 16:25:00 | 64723 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 17:20:00 | 64505 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 18:15:00 | 64776 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 19:25:00 | 64900 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 20:05:00 | 64780 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:20:00 | 64986 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 21:25:00 | 64621 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 22:00:00 | 64736 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 22:30:00 | 64746 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 64577 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 05:15:00 | 64490 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:30:00 | 63971 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 08:15:00 | 64250 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:15:00 | 64212 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:45:00 | 63990 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:15:00 | 64540 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 63850 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 16:15:00 | 64723 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 20:15:00 | 64986 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 64577 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 64050 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 63287 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 64220 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 10:00:00 | 63423 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 23:00:00 | 64500 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 63921 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 05:00:00 | 64490 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:00:00 | 63971 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 63850 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:00:00 | 64986 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64577 | 64505.6027 | 64719.7946 | 2 | 76594 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64505.6027 - 64577 = -71.397299999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64577 - 64719.7946 = -142.7946
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -142.7946 / -71.397299999997 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7235.7921 | 100 | 0.112 | 72.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -71.397299999997 = -0.11
Taille de position USD = -0.11 x 64577 = -7103.47
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.11 avec un stoploss a 64505.6027
Avec un position size USD de -7103.47$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.11 x -71.397299999997 = 7.85
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.85$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.11 x -142.7946 = 15.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.71$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.22 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.11 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1347 % | 121.79 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64577 | 64505.6027 | 64719.7946 | 2 | 76594 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64505.6027 - 64577 = -71.397299999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64577 - 64719.7946 = -142.7946
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -142.7946 / -71.397299999997 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64719.7946
[entry_price] => 64577
[stop_loss] => 64498.46297
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 01:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64719.7946
[entry_price] => 64577
[stop_loss] => 64491.32324
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 01:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64719.7946
[entry_price] => 64577
[stop_loss] => 64484.18351
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 01:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64719.7946
[entry_price] => 64577
[stop_loss] => 64469.90405
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 02:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.217% | 2.0R | -0.031% | 0.3R | 7.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.217% | 2.0R | -0.047% | 0.4R | 4.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.217% | 2.0R | -0.235% | 2.1R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.602% | 5.5R | -0.235% | 2.1R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.604% | 5.5R | -0.235% | 2.1R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.