Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 2.4 ETH at 1904.2$ per unit. Take profit: 1910.8547 (0.35 %) & Stop Loss: 1900.8726 (0.17 %)
Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 2.4 ETH at 1904.2$ per unit. Take profit: 1910.8547 (0.35 %) & Stop Loss: 1900.8726 (0.17 %)
Position
Entry 1904.2$
Qty 2.4043 ETH
Size 4578.2797$ (margin 100$) (leverage 46)
Risk Setup
TP 1910.8547 (+0.35%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1900.8726 (-0.17%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7830
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.16×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.12×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.78×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 19:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.729763 15m : 0.779443 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 05/08 18:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5338 | r1h: 0.011% · r4h: -0.490% · r1d: 1.78% · r3d: 1.42% · ema21_slope: 0.0956% · dist_ema21: 0.932% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5057 | rs_1h: 0.072% · rs_4h: -0.325% · rs_1d: 1.13% · rs_3d: -0.56% · beta_24h: 1.461 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2428 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.490 · trend: -1.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6727 | ADX: 20.7 (weak) · Chop: 29.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.608% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.383% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.488% | 2.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.488% | 2.8R | -0.551% | 3.2R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.725% | 4.2R | -0.551% | 3.2R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.751% | 4.3R | -0.551% | 3.2R | 1.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -3.54% | +0.13 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | normal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | — | 0.88 | bull_high | +1.12% | +0.03 | 05/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | expansion | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.88 | bull_medium | +1.21% | +0.13 | 05/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_low |
50%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.84 | range_low | +0.26% | -0.04 | 05/08 19:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 40b | — | 6.374×ATR | p73 | +0.486×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 3.521×ATR | p51 | +1.16×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.611×ATR | p2 | +0.392×ATR | p39 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 4.095×ATR | p83 | -0.857×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64676.2
-0.00153461
64577
0.729763
64449.8
0.00197334
64577
0.779443
63729.5
0.014585
64659
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1927
195
0.7727
0.6825
0.3262
0.1922
0.4358
1
0.3087
0.5915
0.7221
0.6945
0.6186
0.8241
0.2394
0.1299
1
1.4456
2.5069
0.65
0.35
1
4
1
0.6156
0.6444
5.5806
0.55
2.4262
6.7307
2.5069
0
0.3574
0.68
0.1297
0.4326
0.4547
0.661
0.8241
-1.6026
7.5073
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 16:30:00 | 1896.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 16:50:00 | 1887.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 17:00:00 | 1898 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 18:20:00 | 1927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 19:35:00 | 1915.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:45:00 | 1923.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 21:05:00 | 1907.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 22:00:00 | 1906.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 22:15:00 | 1912.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 1904 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 05:15:00 | 1876.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:15:00 | 1862.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:30:00 | 1875 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:45:00 | 1865.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:30:00 | 1884.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 1854.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 14:00:00 | 1882.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 18:15:00 | 1927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 20:45:00 | 1923.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 1904 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 1875.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 1847.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 1873.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 1852.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 12:00:00 | 1881 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 19:00:00 | 1881.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 1860.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 07:00:00 | 1862.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 1854.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 18:00:00 | 1927 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1904.2 | 1900.8726 | 1910.8547 | 2 | 2462 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1900.8726 - 1904.2 = -3.3274000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1904.2 - 1910.8547 = -6.6547
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.6547 / -3.3274000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4578.2797 | 100 | 2.4043 | 46.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -3.3274000000001 = -2.4
Taille de position USD = -2.4 x 1904.2 = -4570.08
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.4 avec un stoploss a 1900.8726
Avec un position size USD de -4570.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.4 x -3.3274000000001 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.4 x -6.6547 = 15.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.17 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1904.2 | 1900.8726 | 1910.8547 | 2 | 2462 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1900.8726 - 1904.2 = -3.3274000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1904.2 - 1910.8547 = -6.6547
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.6547 / -3.3274000000001 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.383% | 2.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.488% | 2.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.488% | 2.8R | -0.551% | 3.2R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.725% | 4.2R | -0.551% | 3.2R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.751% | 4.3R | -0.551% | 3.2R | 1.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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