Long Trade on LIT

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05 Aug 2026 at 19:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 97 LIT at 2.18$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2343 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0973 (3.78 %)

LIT LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 05 Aug 2026 19:10 → 01:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 2.1798$

Qty 96.9999 LIT

Size 211.4405$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 2.2343 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.29$

SL 2.0973 (-3.78%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.66

Status loss PnL -0.68% / -1.44$ MAE -2.33% MFE +1.53% 0.4R expires 06 Aug 01:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 59810)

#1 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 05/08/2026 19:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5969

Quality Score

0.691

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

2 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

15.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
05/08 19:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#1 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+5 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.78 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#1 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+5 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.78 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.30×ATR
4h	near	-0.03×ATR
1d	clear	—

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
4h	↑ up	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2	ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 19:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : range_low

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1)

05/08 19:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 05/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 18:00 Score : +4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

04/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

05/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

05/08 18:00

Score : +4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	range	compression	—	0
Tactical	bull	expansion	—	+1
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.50

Transition risk : 0.50

Score contribution (this trade) +1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.70

Snapshot évalué : 05/08 19:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.6905

Score SMA

0.5521

Rank

#1 / 44

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5969

Rank Norm SMA

0.6327

Calculé le

05/08/2026 19:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7232	r1h: 1.767% · r4h: 2.889% · r1d: 5.49% · r3d: 6.99% · ema21_slope: 0.0793% · dist_ema21: 3.021%
Force Relative	25%	0.7421	rs_1h: 1.829% · rs_4h: 3.054% · rs_1d: 4.84% · rs_3d: 5.01% · beta_24h: 2.892
Volume	20%	0.5358	rvol_20: 2.01× · zscore_50: 0.408 · trend: -0.29%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5391	ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 50.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.604% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.785% (0.0825)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.642%	0.2R	-0.335%	0.1R	1.9×	12
2h	+1.528%	0.4R	-0.335%	0.1R	4.6×	24
4h	+1.528%	0.4R	-1.124%	0.3R	1.4×	48
6h ★	+1.528%	0.4R	-2.326%	0.6R	0.7×	72
8h	+1.528%	0.4R	-2.326%	0.6R	0.7×	96
12h	+1.528%	0.4R	-2.326%	0.6R	0.7×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 4.07

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 36%	early	—	—	—	bear_high	-3.54%	-0.67	04/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	normal	range_high	41%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	—	near 0.0ATR	0.38	bull_high	+1.12%	+0.34	05/08 16:00
1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 43%	late	—	near -0.3ATR	0.47	bull_medium	+1.21%	+0.18	05/08 18:00
15m	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	normal	bull_medium	61%	noisy_chop 46%	late	—	—	0.44	range_low	+0.38%	+0.19	05/08 18:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	30b	—	3.391×ATR	p36	+0.195×ATR	p20
4h	↑ up	mid	10b	—	2.563×ATR	p28	+0.821×ATR	p74
1h	↑ up	late	2b	—	2.155×ATR	p33	+1.282×ATR	p92
15m	↑ up	late	11b	—	5.346×ATR	p97	+1.789×ATR	p98

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 2.09732572
tp_price: 2.234295
atr: 0.03298971
expires_at: 2026-08-06T05:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 2
total: 45
score: 0.7232
delta_2h: 0.198
extension_atr: 1.64
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5969
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	19:10	2.17980000	0%
2	20:10	2.17600000	-0.174%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
2.1798	2.0973	2.2343	0.66	4.7905

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 2.1798
Stop Loss: 2.0973
Take Profit: 2.2343

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.0973 - 2.1798 = -0.0825
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 2.1798 - 2.2343 = -0.0545
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0545 / -0.0825 = 0.6606

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
211.4405	100	96.9999	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.0825

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0825 = -96.97

Taille de position USD = -96.97 x 2.1798 = -211.38

Donc, tu peux acheter -96.97 avec un stoploss a 2.0973

Avec un position size USD de -211.38$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -96.97 x -0.0825 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -96.97 x -0.0545 = 5.28

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.28$

Résumé

Taille de position -96.97
Taille de position USD -211.38
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 5.28
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6606

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	5.29 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.78 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.44 $	-0.68

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.3259 %	61.45 %	18

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
2.1798	2.0973	2.2343	0.66	4.7905

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 2.1798
Stop Loss: 2.0973
Take Profit: 2.2343

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.0973 - 2.1798 = -0.0825
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 2.1798 - 2.2343 = -0.0545
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0545 / -0.0825 = 0.6606

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.785% (0.0825)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.642%	0.2R	-0.335%	0.1R	1.9×	12
2h	+1.528%	0.4R	-0.335%	0.1R	4.6×	24
4h	+1.528%	0.4R	-1.124%	0.3R	1.4×	48
6h ★	+1.528%	0.4R	-2.326%	0.6R	0.7×	72
8h	+1.528%	0.4R	-2.326%	0.6R	0.7×	96
12h	+1.528%	0.4R	-2.326%	0.6R	0.7×	144

computed 1 month ago

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