Long Trade on ETH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.2 ETH at 1907.7$ per unit. Take profit: 2010.0599 (5.37 %) & Stop Loss: 1866.756 (2.15 %)
05 Aug 2026 at 19:18:25
hyperliquid
ETH
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
05 Aug 2026 19:18
→ 07:15
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1907.7$
Qty 0.1954 ETH
Size 372.7437$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 2010.0599 (+5.37%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1866.756 (-2.15%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.17%
/ -0.64$
MAE -0.73%
MFE +0.57%
0.3R
expires
06 Aug 07:18
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 59770)
#8 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 05/08/2026 19:00
score du 05/08/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7830
Quality Score
0.536
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
982.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
05/08 19:15
05/08 19:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#8 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.15 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#8 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.15 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.26×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.12×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.78×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 19:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 05/08 19:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 05/08 19:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5360
Score SMA
0.5184
Rank
#8
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7830
Rank Norm SMA
0.4883
Calculé le
05/08/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5338 | r1h: 0.011% · r4h: -0.490% · r1d: 1.78% · r3d: 1.42% · ema21_slope: 0.0956% · dist_ema21: 0.932% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5057 | rs_1h: 0.072% · rs_4h: -0.325% · rs_1d: 1.13% · rs_3d: -0.56% · beta_24h: 1.461 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2428 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.490 · trend: -1.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6727 | ADX: 20.7 (weak) · Chop: 29.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.608% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.146%
(40.9440)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.199% | 0.1R | -0.058% | 0.0R | 3.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.304% | 0.1R | -0.058% | 0.0R | 5.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.304% | 0.1R | -0.734% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.540% | 0.3R | -0.734% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.566% | 0.3R | -0.734% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.587% | 0.3R | -0.823% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.4
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -3.54% | +0.13 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | normal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | — | 0.88 | bull_high | +1.12% | +0.03 | 05/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | normal | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.87 | bull_low | +1.16% | +0.14 | 05/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_low |
49%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.36% | -0.05 | 05/08 19:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 40b | — | 6.374×ATR | p73 | +0.486×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 3.521×ATR | p51 | +1.16×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.725×ATR | p8 | +0.301×ATR | p32 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 19b | — | 3.232×ATR | p69 | -0.227×ATR | p22 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7048
- reason: up_bo width=2.35×ATR dur=48b phase=extending
- stop_price: 1866.75604662
- tp_price: 2010.05988345
- atr:
- score: 0.70482897689571
- expires_at: 2026-08-06T11:18:17.038178
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.70482897689571
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0656
- obi_top10 : -0.0656
- micro_price : 1907.93590906
- spread_pct : 0.000524
- mid_price : 1907.935
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0498
- obi_top5_std : 0.0146
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7245
- aggregation_tick : 10
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1881.05
- balance_zone_bottom:
1854.7
- balance_zone_mid:
1867.875
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785801600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785970800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.3549
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
48
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7048
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785945600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1881.05
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8125
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
7
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.3817
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 11.18953381 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
48
inside_close_ratio
0.8125
bars_since_breakout
7
distance_to_edge_atr
2.3817
Signaux confirmants (54)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:18 | 1907.70000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:24 | 1907.70000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 19:30 | 1907.70000000 | 0% |
| 4 | 19:36 | 1908.80000000 | +0.058% |
| 5 | 19:42 | 1908.80000000 | +0.058% |
| 6 | 19:48 | 1909.30000000 | +0.084% |
| 7 | 19:54 | 1909.30000000 | +0.084% |
| 8 | 20:00 | 1909.30000000 | +0.084% |
| 9 | 20:06 | 1907.70000000 | 0% |
| 10 | 20:12 | 1907.70000000 | 0% |
| 11 | 20:18 | 1910.00000000 | +0.121% |
| 12 | 20:24 | 1910.00000000 | +0.121% |
| 13 | 20:30 | 1910.00000000 | +0.121% |
| 14 | 20:48 | 1909.00000000 | +0.068% |
| 15 | 20:54 | 1909.00000000 | +0.068% |
| 16 | 21:00 | 1909.00000000 | +0.068% |
| 17 | 21:18 | 1908.60000000 | +0.047% |
| 18 | 21:24 | 1908.60000000 | +0.047% |
| 19 | 21:30 | 1908.60000000 | +0.047% |
| 20 | 21:36 | 1906.10000000 | -0.084% |
| 21 | 21:42 | 1906.10000000 | -0.084% |
| 22 | 21:48 | 1905.70000000 | -0.105% |
| 23 | 21:54 | 1905.70000000 | -0.105% |
| 24 | 22:00 | 1905.70000000 | -0.105% |
| 25 | 22:06 | 1906.10000000 | -0.084% |
| 26 | 22:12 | 1906.10000000 | -0.084% |
| 27 | 22:18 | 1903.40000000 | -0.225% |
| 28 | 22:24 | 1903.40000000 | -0.225% |
| 29 | 22:30 | 1903.40000000 | -0.225% |
| 30 | 22:36 | 1898.80000000 | -0.467% |
| 31 | 22:42 | 1898.80000000 | -0.467% |
| 32 | 22:48 | 1899.10000000 | -0.451% |
| 33 | 22:54 | 1899.10000000 | -0.451% |
| 34 | 23:00 | 1899.10000000 | -0.451% |
| 35 | 23:06 | 1897.00000000 | -0.561% |
| 36 | 23:12 | 1897.00000000 | -0.561% |
| 37 | 23:18 | 1897.10000000 | -0.556% |
| 38 | 23:24 | 1897.10000000 | -0.556% |
| 39 | 23:30 | 1897.10000000 | -0.556% |
| 40 | 23:36 | 1895.10000000 | -0.66% |
| 41 | 23:42 | 1895.10000000 | -0.66% |
| 42 | 23:48 | 1896.60000000 | -0.582% |
| 43 | 23:54 | 1896.60000000 | -0.582% |
| 44 | 00:00 | 1896.60000000 | -0.582% |
| 45 | 00:06 | 1895.10000000 | -0.66% |
| 46 | 00:12 | 1895.10000000 | -0.66% |
| 47 | 00:18 | 1899.30000000 | -0.44% |
| 48 | 00:24 | 1899.30000000 | -0.44% |
| 49 | 00:30 | 1899.30000000 | -0.44% |
| 50 | 00:36 | 1905.90000000 | -0.094% |
| 51 | 00:42 | 1905.90000000 | -0.094% |
| 52 | 00:48 | 1904.90000000 | -0.147% |
| 53 | 00:54 | 1904.90000000 | -0.147% |
| 54 | 01:00 | 1904.90000000 | -0.147% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7245ms
Confidence avant OB :
70%
→
70%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.066
avg -0.050
± 0.015
OBI Top 10
-0.066
Microstructure
Mid Price
1,907.9350
Micro Price
1,907.9359
Spread
0.0005%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1907.7 | 1866.756 | 2010.0599 | 2.5 | 2469.3 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1907.7
- Stop Loss: 1866.756
- Take Profit: 2010.0599
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1866.756 - 1907.7 = -40.944
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1907.7 - 2010.0599 = -102.3599
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -102.3599 / -40.944 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 372.7437 | 100 | 0.1954 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -40.944
Taille de position = 8 / -40.944 = -0.2
Taille de position USD = -0.2 x 1907.7 = -381.54
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.2 avec un stoploss a 1866.756
Avec un position size USD de -381.54$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.2 x -40.944 = 8.19
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.19$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.2 x -102.3599 = 20.47
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.47$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.2
- Taille de position USD -381.54
- Perte potentielle 8.19
- Gain potentiel 20.47
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.37 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.15 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.64 $ | -0.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7339 % | 34.2 % | 22 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1907.7 | 1866.756 | 2010.0599 | 2.5 | 2469.3 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1907.7
- Stop Loss: 1866.756
- Take Profit: 2010.0599
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1866.756 - 1907.7 = -40.944
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1907.7 - 2010.0599 = -102.3599
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -102.3599 / -40.944 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.146%
(40.9440)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.199% | 0.1R | -0.058% | 0.0R | 3.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.304% | 0.1R | -0.058% | 0.0R | 5.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.304% | 0.1R | -0.734% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.540% | 0.3R | -0.734% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.566% | 0.3R | -0.734% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.587% | 0.3R | -0.823% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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