Short Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 149.31 VVV at 11.645$ per unit. Take profit: 11.5378 (0.92 %) & Stop Loss: 11.6986 (0.46 %)
Short Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 149.31 VVV at 11.645$ per unit. Take profit: 11.5378 (0.92 %) & Stop Loss: 11.6986 (0.46 %)
Position
Entry 11.645$
Qty 149.3093 VVV
Size 1738.7065$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 11.5378 (+0.92%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 11.6986 (-0.46%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4292
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 3.31×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.44×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 05/08 20:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.196407 15m : 0.191304 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 05/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 05/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4626 | r1h: 0.443% · r4h: 1.430% · r1d: -0.63% · r3d: -2.53% · ema21_slope: -0.1758% · dist_ema21: 0.776% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4982 | rs_1h: 0.400% · rs_4h: 1.695% · rs_1d: -1.50% · rs_3d: -4.21% · beta_24h: 0.870 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1968 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.499 · trend: -27.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6329 | ADX: 31.2 (trend) · Chop: 53.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.397% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.567% | 1.2R | -0.447% | 1.0R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.520% | 3.3R | -0.447% | 1.0R | 3.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.898% | 4.1R | -0.447% | 1.0R | 4.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.898% | 4.1R | -0.447% | 1.0R | 4.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.551% | 5.5R | -0.447% | 1.0R | 5.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -3.54% | +0.37 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.49 | bull_high | +1.02% | -0.38 | 05/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | bull_medium | +1.13% | -0.12 | 05/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
43%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.33% | +0.34 | 05/08 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 3.623×ATR | p43 | -0.704×ATR | p68 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 3.475×ATR | p46 | -0.175×ATR | p19 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +0.904×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 3.979×ATR | p82 | +1.109×ATR | p81 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64667.1
-0.000837342
64613
0.196407
64459.3
0.00204251
64591
0.191304
63801.1
0.0120978
64573
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11.472
187
0.3882
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0.3549
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0.455
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0.2783
0.6718
0.3577
0.68
0.5983
0.3571
0.0122
-0.0474
0.3333
1.0646
-0.0328
0.55
0.45
-1
13
1
0.5348
0.4409
8.0272
0.6
0.3076
2.4692
-0.0328
0.5323
0.2499
0.48
0.288
0.517
0.503
0.6854
0.3571
-6.1655
3.4246
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 17:40:00 | 11.338 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 18:00:00 | 11.225 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 18:50:00 | 11.164 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 19:55:00 | 11.441 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 21:15:00 | 11.385 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 22:30:00 | 11.536 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:15:00 | 11.478 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 23:30:00 | 11.647 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:05:00 | 11.534 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:15:00 | 11.66 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 08:00:00 | 11.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 11:45:00 | 11.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:45:00 | 11.472 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 11.121 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 15:45:00 | 11.149 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 16:00:00 | 11.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 18:45:00 | 11.164 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 19:45:00 | 11.441 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 21:15:00 | 11.281 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:15:00 | 11.66 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 20:00:00 | 11.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:00:00 | 11.876 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 12:00:00 | 11.537 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 11.998 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 11.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 12.625 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 10:00:00 | 11.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 15:00:00 | 12.287 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 11:00:00 | 11.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 11.651 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.645 | 11.6986 | 11.5378 | 2 | 25.159 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.6986 - 11.645 = 0.053600000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.645 - 11.5378 = 0.1072
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1072 / 0.053600000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1738.7065 | 100 | 149.3093 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.053600000000001 = 149.25
Taille de position USD = 149.25 x 11.645 = 1738.02
Donc, tu peux acheter 149.25 avec un stoploss a 11.6986
Avec un position size USD de 1738.02$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 149.25 x 0.053600000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 149.25 x 0.1072 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.92 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 0.92 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4465 % | 97 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.645 | 11.6986 | 11.5378 | 2 | 25.159 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.6986 - 11.645 = 0.053600000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.645 - 11.5378 = 0.1072
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1072 / 0.053600000000001 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.567% | 1.2R | -0.447% | 1.0R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.520% | 3.3R | -0.447% | 1.0R | 3.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.898% | 4.1R | -0.447% | 1.0R | 4.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.898% | 4.1R | -0.447% | 1.0R | 4.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.551% | 5.5R | -0.447% | 1.0R | 5.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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