Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 3.83 ZEC at 508.68$ per unit. Take profit: 512.8627 (0.82 %) & Stop Loss: 506.5887 (0.41 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 3.83 ZEC at 508.68$ per unit. Take profit: 512.8627 (0.82 %) & Stop Loss: 506.5887 (0.41 %)
Position
Entry 508.68$
Qty 3.8253 ZEC
Size 1945.8651$ (margin 100$) (leverage 19)
Risk Setup
TP 512.8627 (+0.82%)
TP $ 16$
SL 506.5887 (-0.41%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7833
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 4.19×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 21:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.453507 15m : 0.607822 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5199 | r1h: -0.884% · r4h: -1.949% · r1d: 0.80% · r3d: 4.67% · ema21_slope: 0.0587% · dist_ema21: -1.231% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4471 | rs_1h: -0.876% · rs_4h: -1.681% · rs_1d: -0.23% · rs_3d: 2.58% · beta_24h: 2.127 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2046 | rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.636 · trend: -19.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6708 | ADX: 35.9 (trend) · Chop: 54.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.066% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.258% | 0.6R | -0.547% | 1.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.258% | 0.6R | -0.547% | 1.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.207% | 2.9R | -0.547% | 1.3R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.207% | 2.9R | -1.030% | 2.5R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.207% | 2.9R | -3.747% | 9.1R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -3.62% | -0.66 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | bull_high | +1.03% | +0.34 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.64 | bull_low | +1.10% | -0.12 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.30% | -0.15 | 05/08 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 22b | — | 2.761×ATR | p0 | +0.709×ATR | p61 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 4.29×ATR | p74 | +0.178×ATR | p19 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.909×ATR | p78 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 6.479×ATR | p100 | -2.018×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64679.5
-0.00107595
64610
0.453507
64451.5
0.00245868
64610
0.607822
63819
0.0119386
64581
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513.97
188
0.696
0.6405
0.4117
0.2071
0.5792
0.7159
0.2528
0.5776
0.7912
0.3925
0.6054
0.7364
-0.0162
0.0672
0.6667
-1.2416
0.3412
0.75
0.25
1
12
1
0.5858
0.6422
3.0993
0.65
0.7159
2.2188
0.3412
0.3438
0.3418
0.42
-0.0892
0.4147
0.4111
0.7007
0.7364
-3.399
9.4945
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:04 | 508.68000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:15 | 508.10000000 | -0.114% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 18:30:00 | 518.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 19:10:00 | 522.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 19:35:00 | 515.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:05:00 | 516.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:35:00 | 521.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 21:10:00 | 515.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 21:55:00 | 518.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 514.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:25:00 | 512.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:40:00 | 507.06 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 11:15:00 | 513.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:30:00 | 525.94 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 513.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 15:45:00 | 515.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 17:00:00 | 523.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 19:00:00 | 522.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 19:30:00 | 515.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:30:00 | 521.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 21:00:00 | 515.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:30:00 | 507.06 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 471.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:00:00 | 494.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 01:00:00 | 478.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 489.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 13:00:00 | 484.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 520.76 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 11:00:00 | 513.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:00:00 | 525.94 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 507.06 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 508.68 | 506.5887 | 512.8627 | 2 | 1374.9 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 506.5887 - 508.68 = -2.0913
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 508.68 - 512.8627 = -4.1827
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.1827 / -2.0913 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1945.8651 | 100 | 3.8253 | 19.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.0913 = -3.83
Taille de position USD = -3.83 x 508.68 = -1948.24
Donc, tu peux acheter -3.83 avec un stoploss a 506.5887
Avec un position size USD de -1948.24$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3.83 x -2.0913 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3.83 x -4.1827 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.82 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.41 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5465 % | 132.94 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 508.68 | 506.5887 | 512.8627 | 2 | 1374.9 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 506.5887 - 508.68 = -2.0913
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 508.68 - 512.8627 = -4.1827
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.1827 / -2.0913 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.258% | 0.6R | -0.547% | 1.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.258% | 0.6R | -0.547% | 1.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.207% | 2.9R | -0.547% | 1.3R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.207% | 2.9R | -1.030% | 2.5R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.207% | 2.9R | -3.747% | 9.1R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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