Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.12 BTC at 64528$ per unit. Take profit: 64656.1375 (0.2 %) & Stop Loss: 64463.9313 (0.099 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.12 BTC at 64528$ per unit. Take profit: 64656.1375 (0.2 %) & Stop Loss: 64463.9313 (0.099 %)
Position
Entry 64528$
Qty 0.1249 BTC
Size 8057.347$ (margin 100$) (leverage 81)
Risk Setup
TP 64656.1375 (+0.2%)
TP $ 16$
SL 64463.9313 (-0.099%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6505
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.81×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.17×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.21×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 21:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 21:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5303 | r1h: -0.008% · r4h: -0.269% · r1d: 1.03% · r3d: 2.09% · ema21_slope: 0.0479% · dist_ema21: 0.237% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1446 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -1.086 · trend: -37.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6512 | ADX: 25.8 (trend) · Chop: 46.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.376% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.157% | 1.6R | -0.160% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.157% | 1.6R | -0.160% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.679% | 6.8R | -0.160% | 1.6R | 4.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.680% | 6.9R | -0.160% | 1.6R | 4.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.680% | 6.9R | -0.535% | 5.4R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -1.2ATR | — | — | — | — | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | — | — | — | — | 05/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.8ATR | — | — | — | — | 05/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near -1.2ATR | — | — | — | — | — | 05/08 21:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 16b | — | 1.59×ATR | p0 | +0.345×ATR | p34 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 4.437×ATR | p77 | +0.534×ATR | p52 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.766×ATR | p16 | -0.115×ATR | p15 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 19b | — | 4.051×ATR | p76 | -0.525×ATR | p53 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 00:00:00
[1] => 63287
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 04:00:00
[1] => 64220
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 10:00:00
[1] => 63423
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 23:00:00
[1] => 64500
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 01:00:00
[1] => 63921
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 05:00:00
[1] => 64490
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 07:00:00
[1] => 63971
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 13:00:00
[1] => 63850
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 20:00:00
[1] => 64986
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 23:00:00
[1] => 64546
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.62474994614225
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.052675611192018
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.681684380132
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 05:15:00
[1] => 64490
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 07:30:00
[1] => 63971
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 08:15:00
[1] => 64250
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 10:15:00
[1] => 64212
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 10:45:00
[1] => 63990
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 12:15:00
[1] => 64540
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 13:30:00
[1] => 63850
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 16:15:00
[1] => 64723
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 20:15:00
[1] => 64986
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 23:00:00
[1] => 64546
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.6601421844705
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0170421095033
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.681684380132
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 20:20:00
[1] => 64986
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 21:25:00
[1] => 64621
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 22:00:00
[1] => 64736
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 22:30:00
[1] => 64746
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 23:00:00
[1] => 64546
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 23:25:00
[1] => 64717
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 23:45:00
[1] => 64557
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 00:15:00
[1] => 64547
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 00:35:00
[1] => 64690
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 01:20:00
[1] => 64528
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.25042510434379
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.25105380609968
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
64986
194
0.7406
0.5651
0.3141
0.1705
0.4317
1
0.2752
0.5887
0.7114
0
0.5311
0.8523
0.0868
0.0993
1
0.4665
2.0269
0.65
0.35
1
5
1
0.659
0.4943
4.1906
0.5
1.6464
3.9249
2.0269
0.0018
0.3887
0
-0.3328
0.2924
0.4214
0.8728
0.8523
-2.0828
12.0198
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:24 | 64528.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:30 | 64490.00000000 | -0.059% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 20:20:00 | 64986 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 21:25:00 | 64621 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 22:00:00 | 64736 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 22:30:00 | 64746 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 64546 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 23:25:00 | 64717 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:45:00 | 64557 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:15:00 | 64547 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:35:00 | 64690 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 01:20:00 | 64528 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 05:15:00 | 64490 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:30:00 | 63971 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 08:15:00 | 64250 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:15:00 | 64212 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:45:00 | 63990 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:15:00 | 64540 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 63850 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 16:15:00 | 64723 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 20:15:00 | 64986 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 64546 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 63287 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 64220 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 10:00:00 | 63423 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 23:00:00 | 64500 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 63921 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 05:00:00 | 64490 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:00:00 | 63971 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 63850 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:00:00 | 64986 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 64546 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64528 | 64463.9313 | 64656.1375 | 2 | 76458 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64463.9313 - 64528 = -64.068700000003
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64528 - 64656.1375 = -128.1375
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -128.1375 / -64.068700000003 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8057.347 | 100 | 0.1249 | 81.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -64.068700000003 = -0.12
Taille de position USD = -0.12 x 64528 = -7743.36
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.12 avec un stoploss a 64463.9313
Avec un position size USD de -7743.36$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.12 x -64.068700000003 = 7.69
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.69$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.12 x -128.1375 = 15.38
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.38$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.099 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1596 % | 160.73 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64528 | 64463.9313 | 64656.1375 | 2 | 76458 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64463.9313 - 64528 = -64.068700000003
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64528 - 64656.1375 = -128.1375
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -128.1375 / -64.068700000003 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64656.1375
[entry_price] => 64528
[stop_loss] => 64457.52443
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 02:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64656.1375
[entry_price] => 64528
[stop_loss] => 64451.11756
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 02:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64656.1375
[entry_price] => 64528
[stop_loss] => 64444.71069
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 02:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64656.1375
[entry_price] => 64528
[stop_loss] => 64431.89695
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 02:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.157% | 1.6R | -0.160% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.157% | 1.6R | -0.160% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.679% | 6.8R | -0.160% | 1.6R | 4.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.680% | 6.9R | -0.160% | 1.6R | 4.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.680% | 6.9R | -0.535% | 5.4R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.