Short Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 14804.4 DOGE at 0.0696$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06828 (1.94 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07017 (0.78 %)
05 Aug 2026 at 22:07:10
hyperliquid
DOGE
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
05 Aug 2026 22:07
→ 09:30
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.06963$
Qty 14804.3969 DOGE
Size 1030.8154$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06828 (+1.94%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.07017 (-0.78%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.94%
/ +19.99$
MAE -0.73%
MFE +2.04%
2.6R
expires
06 Aug 10:07
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 59912)
#37 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 05/08/2026 22:00
score du 05/08/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4714
Quality Score
0.456
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
05/08 22:00
05/08 22:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#37 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#37 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.05×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.14×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 05/08 22:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 05/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 05/08 21:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.74
Snapshot évalué : 05/08 22:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4559
Score SMA
0.4821
Rank
#37
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4714
Rank Norm SMA
0.2765
Calculé le
05/08/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4738 | r1h: -0.431% · r4h: -0.485% · r1d: -0.68% · r3d: -0.40% · ema21_slope: 0.0075% · dist_ema21: -0.366% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4481 | rs_1h: -0.309% · rs_4h: -0.238% · rs_1d: -1.05% · rs_3d: -2.52% · beta_24h: 1.189 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1510 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.863 · trend: -43.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4767 | ADX: 9.4 (weak) · Chop: 50.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.469% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.776%
(0.0005)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.131% | 0.2R | -0.294% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.254% | 0.3R | -0.294% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.254% | 0.3R | -0.727% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.106% | 1.4R | -0.727% | 0.9R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.039% | 2.6R | -0.727% | 0.9R | 2.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.039% | 2.6R | -0.727% | 0.9R | 2.8× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.35
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -3.62% | -0.43 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near -0.1ATR | near -0.6ATR | 0.82 | bull_high | +0.96% | -0.27 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 32% | mid | — | — | 0.68 | bull_low | +0.96% | -0.06 | 05/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near -1.7ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.15% | -0.06 | 05/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 33b | — | 4.233×ATR | p50 | -0.119×ATR | p16 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 1.512×ATR | p0 | +0.019×ATR | p2 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.361×ATR | p49 | -0.661×ATR | p72 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 2.546×ATR | p58 | -1.465×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7152
- reason: down_bo width=2.73×ATR dur=40b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 0.07016938
- tp_price: 0.06827804
- atr:
- score: 0.81523503585172
- expires_at: 2026-08-06T14:07:03.309625
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.81523503585172
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2143
- obi_top10 : 0.1829
- micro_price : 0.0696463
- spread_pct : 0.01436
- mid_price : 0.069645
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0699
- ask_wall_size : 30986701
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2167
- obi_top5_std : 0.0034
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6954
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.070572
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.069703
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0701375
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785841200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785981600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.7256
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
40
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8152
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785978000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.069703
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.2321
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
13
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00031883 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
40
inside_close_ratio
0.9
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2321
Signaux confirmants (25)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:07 | 0.06962900 | -0.001% |
| 2 | 22:13 | 0.06962900 | -0.001% |
| 3 | 22:19 | 0.06968200 | +0.075% |
| 4 | 22:25 | 0.06968200 | +0.075% |
| 5 | 22:31 | 0.06968200 | +0.075% |
| 6 | 22:37 | 0.06963600 | +0.009% |
| 7 | 22:43 | 0.06963600 | +0.009% |
| 8 | 22:49 | 0.06969400 | +0.092% |
| 9 | 22:55 | 0.06969400 | +0.092% |
| 10 | 23:01 | 0.06969400 | +0.092% |
| 11 | 23:07 | 0.06960900 | -0.03% |
| 12 | 23:13 | 0.06960900 | -0.03% |
| 13 | 23:19 | 0.06963600 | +0.009% |
| 14 | 23:24 | 0.06963600 | +0.009% |
| 15 | 23:31 | 0.06963600 | +0.009% |
| 16 | 23:37 | 0.06959800 | -0.046% |
| 17 | 23:42 | 0.06959800 | -0.046% |
| 18 | 23:48 | 0.06959000 | -0.057% |
| 19 | 23:54 | 0.06959000 | -0.057% |
| 20 | 00:01 | 0.06959000 | -0.057% |
| 21 | 00:07 | 0.06948700 | -0.205% |
| 22 | 00:12 | 0.06948700 | -0.205% |
| 23 | 00:19 | 0.06965300 | +0.033% |
| 24 | 00:24 | 0.06965300 | +0.033% |
| 25 | 00:31 | 0.06965300 | +0.033% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6954ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
72%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.214
avg 0.217
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
0.183
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0696
Micro Price
0.0696
Spread
0.0144%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0699
Size
30,986,701.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06963 | 0.07017 | 0.06828 | 2.5 | 0.08103 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06963
- Stop Loss: 0.07017
- Take Profit: 0.06828
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07017 - 0.06963 = 0.00054
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06963 - 0.06828 = 0.00135
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00135 / 0.00054 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1030.8154 | 100 | 14804.3969 | 10.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00054
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00054 = 14814.81
Taille de position USD = 14814.81 x 0.06963 = 1031.56
Donc, tu peux acheter 14814.81 avec un stoploss a 0.07017
Avec un position size USD de 1031.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 14814.81 x 0.00054 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 14814.81 x 0.00135 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 14814.81
- Taille de position USD 1031.56
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.94 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.78 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 19.99 $ | 1.94 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7267 % | 93.71 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06963 | 0.07017 | 0.06828 | 2.5 | 0.08103 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06963
- Stop Loss: 0.07017
- Take Profit: 0.06828
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07017 - 0.06963 = 0.00054
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06963 - 0.06828 = 0.00135
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00135 / 0.00054 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.776%
(0.0005)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.131% | 0.2R | -0.294% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.254% | 0.3R | -0.294% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.254% | 0.3R | -0.727% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.106% | 1.4R | -0.727% | 0.9R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.039% | 2.6R | -0.727% | 0.9R | 2.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.039% | 2.6R | -0.727% | 0.9R | 2.8× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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