Short Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1202.13 SUI at 0.685$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6688 (2.42 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6921 (0.98 %)
05 Aug 2026 at 22:07:25
hyperliquid
SUI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
05 Aug 2026 22:07
→ 06:10
· 8 hours
Position
Entry 0.6854$
Qty 1202.1308 SUI
Size 823.9525$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6688 (+2.42%)
TP $ 19.96$
SL 0.6921 (-0.98%)
SL $ 8.05$
RR 2.48
Status
win
PnL
+2.42%
/ +19.96$
MAE -0.46%
MFE +2.56%
2.6R
expires
06 Aug 10:07
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 59913)
#41 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 05/08/2026 22:00
score du 05/08/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3521
Quality Score
0.453
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
05/08 22:00
05/08 22:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#41 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#41 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.01×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.09×ATR |
| 1d | near | -3.17×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 05/08 22:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 05/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 05/08 21:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.74
Snapshot évalué : 05/08 22:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4528
Score SMA
0.4920
Rank
#41
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3521
Rank Norm SMA
0.3506
Calculé le
05/08/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4702 | r1h: -0.534% · r4h: -0.391% · r1d: -0.91% · r3d: 0.09% · ema21_slope: -0.0106% · dist_ema21: -0.549% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4470 | rs_1h: -0.412% · rs_4h: -0.144% · rs_1d: -1.27% · rs_3d: -2.04% · beta_24h: 1.373 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1463 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.922 · trend: -44.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4715 | ADX: 14.1 (weak) · Chop: 56.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.539% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.978%
(0.0067)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.349% | 0.4R | -0.397% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.579% | 0.6R | -0.397% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.579% | 0.6R | -0.464% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.929% | 2.0R | -0.464% | 0.5R | 4.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.562% | 2.6R | -0.464% | 0.5R | 5.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.562% | 2.6R | -0.464% | 0.5R | 5.5× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.88
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -3.2ATR | — | 0.80 | bear_high | -3.62% | -0.66 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 30% | early | near -0.1ATR | near 0.0ATR | 0.73 | bull_high | +0.96% | -0.21 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 31% | mid | near -1.0ATR | near 0.3ATR | 0.74 | bull_low | +0.96% | -0.11 | 05/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -1.9ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.15% | -0.07 | 05/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 33b | — | 3.803×ATR | p50 | -0.105×ATR | p14 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.248×ATR | p0 | -0.055×ATR | p7 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 2.256×ATR | p28 | -0.729×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 3.463×ATR | p66 | -1.781×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8189
- reason: down_bo width=2.03×ATR dur=44b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.69206485
- tp_price: 0.66877288
- atr:
- score: 0.81886058100331
- expires_at: 2026-08-06T14:07:17.989504
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.81886058100331
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0177
- obi_top10 : -0.0138
- micro_price : 0.68609076
- spread_pct : 0.014577
- mid_price : 0.68605
- bid_wall_price : 0.684
- bid_wall_size : 969511.1
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0181
- obi_top5_std : 0.0003
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6811
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.69538
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.688025
- balance_zone_mid:
0.6917025
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785826800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785981600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.0298
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
44
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8189
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785978000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.688025
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8182
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.7217
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
11
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00362349 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.8182
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.7217
Signaux confirmants (50)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:07 | 0.68541000 | +0.001% |
| 2 | 22:13 | 0.68541000 | +0.001% |
| 3 | 22:19 | 0.68641000 | +0.147% |
| 4 | 22:25 | 0.68641000 | +0.147% |
| 5 | 22:31 | 0.68641000 | +0.147% |
| 6 | 22:37 | 0.68540000 | 0% |
| 7 | 22:43 | 0.68540000 | 0% |
| 8 | 22:49 | 0.68568000 | +0.041% |
| 9 | 22:55 | 0.68568000 | +0.041% |
| 10 | 23:01 | 0.68568000 | +0.041% |
| 11 | 23:07 | 0.68428000 | -0.163% |
| 12 | 23:13 | 0.68428000 | -0.163% |
| 13 | 23:19 | 0.68424000 | -0.169% |
| 14 | 23:25 | 0.68424000 | -0.169% |
| 15 | 23:31 | 0.68424000 | -0.169% |
| 16 | 23:37 | 0.68143000 | -0.579% |
| 17 | 23:43 | 0.68143000 | -0.579% |
| 18 | 23:49 | 0.68280000 | -0.379% |
| 19 | 23:55 | 0.68280000 | -0.379% |
| 20 | 00:01 | 0.68280000 | -0.379% |
| 21 | 00:07 | 0.68173000 | -0.535% |
| 22 | 00:13 | 0.68173000 | -0.535% |
| 23 | 00:19 | 0.68228000 | -0.455% |
| 24 | 00:25 | 0.68228000 | -0.455% |
| 25 | 00:31 | 0.68228000 | -0.455% |
| 26 | 00:37 | 0.68587000 | +0.069% |
| 27 | 00:43 | 0.68587000 | +0.069% |
| 28 | 00:49 | 0.68461000 | -0.115% |
| 29 | 00:55 | 0.68461000 | -0.115% |
| 30 | 01:01 | 0.68461000 | -0.115% |
| 31 | 01:06 | 0.68667000 | +0.185% |
| 32 | 01:12 | 0.68667000 | +0.185% |
| 33 | 01:19 | 0.68752000 | +0.309% |
| 34 | 01:25 | 0.68752000 | +0.309% |
| 35 | 01:31 | 0.68752000 | +0.309% |
| 36 | 01:37 | 0.68709000 | +0.247% |
| 37 | 01:43 | 0.68709000 | +0.247% |
| 38 | 01:49 | 0.68737000 | +0.287% |
| 39 | 01:55 | 0.68737000 | +0.287% |
| 40 | 02:01 | 0.68737000 | +0.287% |
| 41 | 02:07 | 0.68760000 | +0.321% |
| 42 | 02:13 | 0.68760000 | +0.321% |
| 43 | 02:19 | 0.68543000 | +0.004% |
| 44 | 02:25 | 0.68543000 | +0.004% |
| 45 | 02:31 | 0.68543000 | +0.004% |
| 46 | 02:37 | 0.68588000 | +0.07% |
| 47 | 02:43 | 0.68588000 | +0.07% |
| 48 | 02:49 | 0.68599000 | +0.086% |
| 49 | 02:55 | 0.68599000 | +0.086% |
| 50 | 03:01 | 0.68599000 | +0.086% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6811ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.018
avg 0.018
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
-0.014
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.6861
Micro Price
0.6861
Spread
0.0146%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.6840
Size
969,511.10
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6854 | 0.6921 | 0.6688 | 2.48 | 0.7184 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6854
- Stop Loss: 0.6921
- Take Profit: 0.6688
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6921 - 0.6854 = 0.0067
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6854 - 0.6688 = 0.0166
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0166 / 0.0067 = 2.4776
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 823.9525 | 100 | 1202.1308 | 8.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0067
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0067 = 1194.03
Taille de position USD = 1194.03 x 0.6854 = 818.39
Donc, tu peux acheter 1194.03 avec un stoploss a 0.6921
Avec un position size USD de 818.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1194.03 x 0.0067 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1194.03 x 0.0166 = 19.82
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.82$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1194.03
- Taille de position USD 818.39
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.82
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4776
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.42 % | 19.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.98 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 19.96 $ | 2.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.464 % | 47.47 % | 21 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6854 | 0.6921 | 0.6688 | 2.48 | 0.7184 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6854
- Stop Loss: 0.6921
- Take Profit: 0.6688
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6921 - 0.6854 = 0.0067
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6854 - 0.6688 = 0.0166
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0166 / 0.0067 = 2.4776
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.978%
(0.0067)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.349% | 0.4R | -0.397% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.579% | 0.6R | -0.397% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.579% | 0.6R | -0.464% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.929% | 2.0R | -0.464% | 0.5R | 4.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.562% | 2.6R | -0.464% | 0.5R | 5.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.562% | 2.6R | -0.464% | 0.5R | 5.5× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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