Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 1.77 ETH at 1899.5$ per unit. Take profit: 1908.5277 (0.48 %) & Stop Loss: 1894.9861 (0.24 %)
Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 1.77 ETH at 1899.5$ per unit. Take profit: 1908.5277 (0.48 %) & Stop Loss: 1894.9861 (0.24 %)
Position
Entry 1899.5$
Qty 1.7723 ETH
Size 3366.5241$ (margin 100$) (leverage 34)
Risk Setup
TP 1908.5277 (+0.48%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1894.9861 (-0.24%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8042
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.75×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.15×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.27×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 22:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.691911 15m : 0.76053 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 05/08 22:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5459 | r1h: -0.236% · r4h: -0.126% · r1d: 1.77% · r3d: 2.11% · ema21_slope: 0.1087% · dist_ema21: 0.574% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5152 | rs_1h: -0.113% · rs_4h: 0.122% · rs_1d: 1.40% · rs_3d: -0.02% · beta_24h: 1.675 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1735 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.693 · trend: -35.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6837 | ADX: 22.0 (weak) · Chop: 30.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.567% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.058% | 0.2R | -0.305% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.279% | 1.2R | -0.305% | 1.3R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.974% | 4.1R | -0.305% | 1.3R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.000% | 4.2R | -0.305% | 1.3R | 3.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.000% | 4.2R | -0.395% | 1.7R | 2.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -3.62% | +0.25 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.88 | bull_high | +0.96% | -0.03 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | normal | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.88 | bull_low | +0.93% | +0.14 | 05/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_low |
44%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.14% | +0.00 | 05/08 22:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 41b | — | 6.656×ATR | p85 | +0.34×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 3.642×ATR | p54 | +0.923×ATR | p79 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.243×ATR | p35 | -0.129×ATR | p14 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.608×ATR | p0 | +0.51×ATR | p52 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64648.7
-0.00191376
64525
0.691911
64474.7
0.000190085
64487
0.76053
63831
0.0110128
64534
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1927
191
0.7573
0.6825
0.3146
0.1868
0.4192
1
0.2792
0.5942
0.7221
0.3203
0.6311
0.778
0.1366
0.1069
1
0.7196
2.0722
0.65
0.35
1
8
1
0.6264
0.6444
5.5806
0.55
2.4262
6.7308
2.0722
0
0.3915
0.14
0.0545
0.4084
0.429
0.8544
0.778
-2.4086
8.4401
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:24 | 1899.50000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:30 | 1897.00000000 | -0.132% |
| 3 | 22:36 | 1897.40000000 | -0.111% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 21:05:00 | 1907.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 22:00:00 | 1906.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 22:15:00 | 1912.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 1903.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 23:25:00 | 1911.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 1906.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:25:00 | 1913.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 01:30:00 | 1902.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 02:10:00 | 1910.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:20:00 | 1895.7 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 10:30:00 | 1875 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:45:00 | 1865.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:30:00 | 1884.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 1854.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 14:00:00 | 1882.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 18:15:00 | 1927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 20:45:00 | 1923.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 1903.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:15:00 | 1913.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:15:00 | 1896.1 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 1847.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 1873.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 1852.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 12:00:00 | 1881 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 19:00:00 | 1881.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 1860.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 07:00:00 | 1862.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 1854.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 18:00:00 | 1927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 01:00:00 | 1902.7 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899.5 | 1894.9861 | 1908.5277 | 2 | 2424.3 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1894.9861 - 1899.5 = -4.5138999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1899.5 - 1908.5277 = -9.0277000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.0277000000001 / -4.5138999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3366.5241 | 100 | 1.7723 | 34.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -4.5138999999999 = -1.77
Taille de position USD = -1.77 x 1899.5 = -3362.12
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.77 avec un stoploss a 1894.9861
Avec un position size USD de -3362.12$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.77 x -4.5138999999999 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.77 x -9.0277000000001 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.48 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3053 % | 128.49 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899.5 | 1894.9861 | 1908.5277 | 2 | 2424.3 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1894.9861 - 1899.5 = -4.5138999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1899.5 - 1908.5277 = -9.0277000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.0277000000001 / -4.5138999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.058% | 0.2R | -0.305% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.279% | 1.2R | -0.305% | 1.3R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.974% | 4.1R | -0.305% | 1.3R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.000% | 4.2R | -0.305% | 1.3R | 3.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.000% | 4.2R | -0.395% | 1.7R | 2.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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