Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 15.85 BCH at 212.86$ per unit. Take profit: 213.8694 (0.47 %) & Stop Loss: 212.3553 (0.24 %)
Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 15.85 BCH at 212.86$ per unit. Take profit: 213.8694 (0.47 %) & Stop Loss: 212.3553 (0.24 %)
Position
Entry 212.86$
Qty 15.8514 BCH
Size 3374.1374$ (margin 100$) (leverage 34)
Risk Setup
TP 213.8694 (+0.47%)
TP $ 16$
SL 212.3553 (-0.24%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8360
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.90×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.28×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 27.37×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 22:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.402664 15m : 0.549508 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 05/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 05/08 22:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5158 | r1h: -0.009% · r4h: -0.545% · r1d: 0.53% · r3d: 0.87% · ema21_slope: 0.0537% · dist_ema21: -0.083% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4901 | rs_1h: 0.113% · rs_4h: -0.297% · rs_1d: 0.16% · rs_3d: -1.25% · beta_24h: 1.573 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2298 | rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -0.820 · trend: 13.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6236 | ADX: 24.4 (weak) · Chop: 48.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.635% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.404% | 1.7R | -0.277% | 1.2R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.034% | 4.4R | -0.277% | 1.2R | 3.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.240% | 5.2R | -0.277% | 1.2R | 4.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.240% | 5.2R | -0.686% | 2.9R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.240% | 5.2R | -1.052% | 4.4R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -3.62% | -0.37 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bull_high | +0.89% | -0.18 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_medium |
43%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.51 | bull_low | +0.93% | +0.07 | 05/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.11% | -0.09 | 05/08 22:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 27b | — | 4.697×ATR | p72 | +0.013×ATR | p3 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.425×ATR | p0 | +0.126×ATR | p15 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.896×ATR | p49 | -0.51×ATR | p51 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.068×ATR | p3 | -0.05×ATR | p4 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64661.2
-0.00212297
64524
0.402664
64474.7
0.000190085
64487
0.549508
63831
0.0110128
64534
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.7357274401473
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.032808398950128
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7997750281215
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[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
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[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.079741076035469
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[1] => 213.76
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217.2
193
0.6337
0.5919
0.3494
0.2539
0.4275
1
0.263
0.5496
0.6978
0.4539
0.6164
0.6713
0.0071
0.0247
0.6667
-0.3139
0.1659
0.65
0.35
1
6
1
0.4922
0.4978
3.9462
0.6
1.6717
3.8594
0.1659
0.4505
0.273
0.4
0.0208
0.49
0.5047
0.7457
0.6713
-3.058
6.2457
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:26 | 212.86000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:32 | 212.81000000 | -0.023% |
| 3 | 22:43 | 212.72000000 | -0.066% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 20:40:00 | 217.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 22:55:00 | 213.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 23:30:00 | 214.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 23:50:00 | 214.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:10:00 | 213.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 01:00:00 | 213.47 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 01:05:00 | 214.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 01:30:00 | 213.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 01:50:00 | 214.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:25:00 | 212.77 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 09:00:00 | 210.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:30:00 | 214.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 12:15:00 | 214.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 211.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 15:00:00 | 214.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 15:45:00 | 212.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:30:00 | 217.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:45:00 | 214.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 213.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 02:15:00 | 213.19 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 22:00:00 | 214.77 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 208.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 215.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 211.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 214.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 15:00:00 | 214.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 16:00:00 | 212.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 07:00:00 | 209.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:00:00 | 217.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 213.36 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 212.86 | 212.3553 | 213.8694 | 2 | 220.48 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 212.3553 - 212.86 = -0.50470000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 212.86 - 213.8694 = -1.0094
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.0094 / -0.50470000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3374.1374 | 100 | 15.8514 | 34.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.50470000000001 = -15.85
Taille de position USD = -15.85 x 212.86 = -3373.83
Donc, tu peux acheter -15.85 avec un stoploss a 212.3553
Avec un position size USD de -3373.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -15.85 x -0.50470000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -15.85 x -1.0094 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.47 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2772 % | 116.91 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 212.86 | 212.3553 | 213.8694 | 2 | 220.48 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 212.3553 - 212.86 = -0.50470000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 212.86 - 213.8694 = -1.0094
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.0094 / -0.50470000000001 = 2
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[result] => loss
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[result] => win
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.404% | 1.7R | -0.277% | 1.2R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.034% | 4.4R | -0.277% | 1.2R | 3.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.240% | 5.2R | -0.277% | 1.2R | 4.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.240% | 5.2R | -0.686% | 2.9R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.240% | 5.2R | -1.052% | 4.4R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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