Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 8.27 XMR at 364.78$ per unit. Take profit: 366.7155 (0.53 %) & Stop Loss: 363.8123 (0.27 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 8.27 XMR at 364.78$ per unit. Take profit: 366.7155 (0.53 %) & Stop Loss: 363.8123 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 364.78$
Qty 8.2668 XMR
Size 3015.5553$ (margin 100$) (leverage 30)
Risk Setup
TP 366.7155 (+0.53%)
TP $ 16$
SL 363.8123 (-0.27%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8586
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.03×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.83×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.20×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 22:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.057265 15m : 0.204002 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 05/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5644 | r1h: 0.490% · r4h: 0.226% · r1d: 3.49% · r3d: 0.50% · ema21_slope: 0.1185% · dist_ema21: 2.008% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5609 | rs_1h: 0.612% · rs_4h: 0.474% · rs_1d: 3.13% · rs_3d: -1.62% · beta_24h: 0.300 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2585 | rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.475 · trend: 16.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7730 | ADX: 32.8 (trend) · Chop: 34.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.736% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.132% | 0.5R | -0.450% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.132% | 0.5R | -0.450% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.683% | 2.6R | -0.450% | 1.7R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.683% | 2.6R | -1.330% | 5.0R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.683% | 2.6R | -1.332% | 5.0R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -3.62% | +0.72 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.40 | bull_high | +0.89% | -0.13 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.25 | bull_low | +0.93% | +0.29 | 05/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_low |
44%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.07% | +0.10 | 05/08 22:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 2.523×ATR | p0 | +0.506×ATR | p61 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.374×ATR | p52 | +1.19×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 5.691×ATR | p91 | +0.584×ATR | p53 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.614×ATR | p0 | -0.531×ATR | p36 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64643.3
-0.00210917
64507
-0.057265
64496.1
0.000540514
64531
0.204002
63830.5
0.0106443
64510
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350.25
183
0.5613
0.5388
0.3124
0.2592
0.3558
1
0.5114
0.4461
0.2999
0.7098
0.5901
0.8534
0.2428
0.1014
1
1.5117
1.9306
0.4
0.6
-1
16
1
0.4815
0.3252
5.3157
0.55
1.1627
3.1095
1.9306
0.6985
0.2524
0.8
0.0447
0.5506
0.5745
0.6882
0.8534
-0.9136
5.3178
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:40 | 364.78000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:05 | 363.44000000 | -0.367% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 22:20:00 | 363.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 366.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:40:00 | 366.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:20:00 | 367.17 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:50:00 | 364.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 01:25:00 | 365.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 01:40:00 | 367.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 01:50:00 | 367.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 367.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:35:00 | 364.61 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 351.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:00:00 | 353.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:30:00 | 350.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 12:30:00 | 355.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 16:30:00 | 353.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 21:45:00 | 366.77 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:45:00 | 364.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 01:30:00 | 367.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 367.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:15:00 | 365.1 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 364.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:00:00 | 364.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 364.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 05:00:00 | 361.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 08:00:00 | 366.18 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 18:00:00 | 363.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:00:00 | 351.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 02:00:00 | 357.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:00:00 | 350.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 01:00:00 | 367.37 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 364.78 | 363.8123 | 366.7155 | 2 | 491.32 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 363.8123 - 364.78 = -0.96769999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 364.78 - 366.7155 = -1.9355
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9355 / -0.96769999999998 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3015.5553 | 100 | 8.2668 | 30.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.96769999999998 = -8.27
Taille de position USD = -8.27 x 364.78 = -3016.73
Donc, tu peux acheter -8.27 avec un stoploss a 363.8123
Avec un position size USD de -3016.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8.27 x -0.96769999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8.27 x -1.9355 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.53 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.307 % | 115.72 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 364.78 | 363.8123 | 366.7155 | 2 | 491.32 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 363.8123 - 364.78 = -0.96769999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 364.78 - 366.7155 = -1.9355
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9355 / -0.96769999999998 = 2.0001
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.132% | 0.5R | -0.450% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.132% | 0.5R | -0.450% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.683% | 2.6R | -0.450% | 1.7R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.683% | 2.6R | -1.330% | 5.0R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.683% | 2.6R | -1.332% | 5.0R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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