Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 46.54 HYPE at 56.123$ per unit. Take profit: 56.4668 (0.61 %) & Stop Loss: 55.9511 (0.31 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 46.54 HYPE at 56.123$ per unit. Take profit: 56.4668 (0.61 %) & Stop Loss: 55.9511 (0.31 %)
Position
Entry 56.123$
Qty 46.544 HYPE
Size 2612.1873$ (margin 100$) (leverage 26)
Risk Setup
TP 56.4668 (+0.61%)
TP $ 16$
SL 55.9511 (-0.31%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7696
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 6.81×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.66×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.60×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 22:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.336564 15m : 0.480571 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 05/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 22:00 Score : +1 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5719 | r1h: -0.501% · r4h: -0.238% · r1d: 2.43% · r3d: 7.85% · ema21_slope: 0.0650% · dist_ema21: -0.303% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5580 | rs_1h: -0.379% · rs_4h: 0.010% · rs_1d: 2.07% · rs_3d: 5.72% · beta_24h: 1.544 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1635 | rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.819 · trend: -36.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5356 | ADX: 27.1 (trend) · Chop: 61.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.950% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.467% | 1.5R | -0.192% | 0.6R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.909% | 3.0R | -0.192% | 0.6R | 4.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.909% | 3.0R | -0.192% | 0.6R | 4.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.909% | 3.0R | -1.408% | 4.6R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.909% | 3.0R | -2.689% | 8.8R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
31%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.47 | bear_high | -3.62% | -0.51 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.61 | bull_high | +0.89% | +0.47 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.55 | bull_low | +0.96% | -0.21 | 05/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.16% | -0.07 | 05/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 30b | — | 5.482×ATR | p81 | +0.603×ATR | p56 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 22b | — | 5.208×ATR | p82 | +0.041×ATR | p5 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 3.56×ATR | p78 | -1.205×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 4.417×ATR | p83 | -1.24×ATR | p87 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64648.4
-0.00147626
64553
0.336564
64514.1
0.000601994
64553
0.480571
63831.3
0.0112892
64552
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57.961
190
0.6158
0.5805
0.3099
0.1947
0.4042
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0.4107
0.4981
0.6598
0.4121
0.4887
0.7346
-0.0381
0.0548
0.6667
-1.2024
0.2894
0.5
0.5
1
18
1
0.6105
0.4177
5.6866
0.55
1.0736
2.4551
0.2894
0.778
0.2968
0.5
-0.1318
0.3768
0.4559
0.4767
0.7346
-3.6215
10.0237
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:51 | 56.12300000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:57 | 56.11300000 | -0.018% |
| 3 | 23:04 | 56.03900000 | -0.15% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 19:25:00 | 57.487 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 20:20:00 | 56.738 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:40:00 | 57.258 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 22:15:00 | 56.621 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 22:30:00 | 56.821 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 22:50:00 | 56.629 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 23:55:00 | 56.836 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:20:00 | 57.183 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 01:25:00 | 56.361 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 02:35:00 | 56.035 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 02:00:00 | 55.256 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 03:00:00 | 56.515 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:15:00 | 56.525 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 08:30:00 | 57.862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 11:15:00 | 57.422 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 56.517 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 17:30:00 | 57.961 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 22:15:00 | 56.621 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:15:00 | 57.183 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:30:00 | 56.035 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 06:00:00 | 51.885 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 54.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 01:00:00 | 53.526 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 13:00:00 | 55.792 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 54.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 08:00:00 | 57.862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 56.517 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 17:00:00 | 57.961 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 56.035 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.123 | 55.9511 | 56.4668 | 2 | 78.457 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 55.9511 - 56.123 = -0.1719
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 56.123 - 56.4668 = -0.3438
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3438 / -0.1719 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2612.1873 | 100 | 46.544 | 26.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1719 = -46.54
Taille de position USD = -46.54 x 56.123 = -2611.96
Donc, tu peux acheter -46.54 avec un stoploss a 55.9511
Avec un position size USD de -2611.96$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -46.54 x -0.1719 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -46.54 x -0.3438 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.61 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.61 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1924 % | 62.81 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.123 | 55.9511 | 56.4668 | 2 | 78.457 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 55.9511 - 56.123 = -0.1719
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 56.123 - 56.4668 = -0.3438
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3438 / -0.1719 = 2
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(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.467% | 1.5R | -0.192% | 0.6R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.909% | 3.0R | -0.192% | 0.6R | 4.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.909% | 3.0R | -0.192% | 0.6R | 4.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.909% | 3.0R | -1.408% | 4.6R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.909% | 3.0R | -2.689% | 8.8R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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