Long Trade on BCH (BosPullback)
With 3.57 BCH at 213.77$ per unit. Take profit: 219.3753 (2.62 %) & Stop Loss: 211.5279 (1.05 %)
Long Trade on BCH (BosPullback)
With 3.57 BCH at 213.77$ per unit. Take profit: 219.3753 (2.62 %) & Stop Loss: 211.5279 (1.05 %)
Position
Entry 213.77$
Qty 3.568 BCH
Size 762.7392$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 219.3753 (+2.62%)
TP $ 20$
SL 211.5279 (-1.05%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8213
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.89×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.59×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 27.37×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 23:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 05/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 05/08 23:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4925 | r1h: -0.402% · r4h: -0.574% · r1d: -0.03% · r3d: 0.69% · ema21_slope: 0.0470% · dist_ema21: -0.364% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4560 | rs_1h: -0.382% · rs_4h: -0.506% · rs_1d: -0.36% · rs_3d: -1.57% · beta_24h: 1.588 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2618 | rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.221 · trend: 0.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6113 | ADX: 22.9 (weak) · Chop: 48.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.650% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.678% | 0.7R | -0.211% | 0.2R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.809% | 0.8R | -0.211% | 0.2R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.809% | 0.8R | -0.211% | 0.2R | 3.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.809% | 0.8R | -1.408% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.809% | 0.8R | -1.474% | 1.4R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -3.62% | -0.37 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.65 | bull_high | +0.85% | -0.22 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | range_medium |
43%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bull_low | +0.93% | +0.06 | 05/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.59 | range_low | +0.11% | +0.00 | 05/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 27b | — | 4.697×ATR | p72 | +0.013×ATR | p3 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0.977×ATR | p0 | -0.235×ATR | p27 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 2.878×ATR | p51 | -0.419×ATR | p43 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.482×ATR | p21 | +0.432×ATR | p39 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
217.2
142
0.6446
0.6094
0.3698
0.2572
0.4619
1
0.2779
0.5495
0.7235
0.7235
0.6249
0.701
-0.0061
0.0158
0.6667
-0.0008
0.3853
0.7143
0.2857
1
7
1
0.4855
0.4978
3.9463
0.65
1.6717
3.8594
0.3853
0.4505
0.2558
0.7
0.1553
0.5153
0.5443
0.6656
0.701
-2.4715
5.7932
1
0
0
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211.65
217.2
217.2
211.65
212.28
209.92
211.1
0.8221
218.2
215.68
216.94
0.78
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:38 | 213.77000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:43 | 213.77000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 23:49 | 213.82000000 | +0.023% |
| 4 | 23:55 | 213.82000000 | +0.023% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213.77 | 211.5279 | 219.3753 | 2.5 | 216.17 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 211.5279 - 213.77 = -2.2421
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 213.77 - 219.3753 = -5.6053
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.6053 / -2.2421 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 762.7392 | 100 | 3.568 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.2421 = -3.57
Taille de position USD = -3.57 x 213.77 = -763.16
Donc, tu peux acheter -3.57 avec un stoploss a 211.5279
Avec un position size USD de -763.16$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3.57 x -2.2421 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3.57 x -5.6053 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.62 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.05 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1087 % | 105.71 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213.77 | 211.5279 | 219.3753 | 2.5 | 216.17 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 211.5279 - 213.77 = -2.2421
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 213.77 - 219.3753 = -5.6053
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.6053 / -2.2421 = 2.5
Array
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.678% | 0.7R | -0.211% | 0.2R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.809% | 0.8R | -0.211% | 0.2R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.809% | 0.8R | -0.211% | 0.2R | 3.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.809% | 0.8R | -1.408% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.809% | 0.8R | -1.474% | 1.4R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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