Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 601.74 LIT at 2.143$ per unit. Take profit: 2.17 (1.24 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1301 (0.62 %)
Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 601.74 LIT at 2.143$ per unit. Take profit: 2.17 (1.24 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1301 (0.62 %)
Position
Entry 2.1434$
Qty 601.744 LIT
Size 1289.7781$ (margin 100$) (leverage 13)
Risk Setup
TP 2.17 (+1.24%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 2.1301 (-0.62%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8003
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.32×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.24×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 05/08 23:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.368826 15m : 0.538608 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 05/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 05/08 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6172 | r1h: 0.174% · r4h: 0.160% · r1d: 3.00% · r3d: 9.98% · ema21_slope: 0.1501% · dist_ema21: 2.238% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6106 | rs_1h: 0.194% · rs_4h: 0.228% · rs_1d: 2.67% · rs_3d: 7.73% · beta_24h: 1.455 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2488 | rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.352 · trend: -11.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6170 | ADX: 22.0 (weak) · Chop: 46.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.500% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.663% | 1.1R | -0.667% | 1.1R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.969% | 3.2R | -0.667% | 1.1R | 3.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.969% | 3.2R | -0.667% | 1.1R | 3.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.686% | 5.9R | -0.667% | 1.1R | 5.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.440% | 8.8R | -0.667% | 1.1R | 8.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -3.62% | -0.50 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.38 | bull_high | +0.85% | +0.32 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near 0.0ATR | near 0.3ATR | 0.48 | bull_low | +0.84% | +0.03 | 05/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.44 | range_low | +0.05% | -0.15 | 05/08 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 31b | — | 3.268×ATR | p36 | +0.383×ATR | p39 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 2.686×ATR | p28 | +0.733×ATR | p67 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.782×ATR | p14 | -0.238×ATR | p21 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 3.762×ATR | p81 | -1.144×ATR | p87 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64630.9
-0.00184036
64512
0.368826
64500.8
-1.31405E-5
64500
0.538608
63847.1
0.0100051
64486
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2.2131
196
0.7931
0.6146
0.3597
0.2248
0.47
1
0.1934
0.6342
0.7712
0.4039
0.645
0.7644
0.1424
0.0942
1
0.3486
1.3483
0.7
0.3
1
3
1
0.5504
0.6475
3.268
0.55
2.124
3.4081
1.3483
0
0.3017
0.4
-0.0541
0.4732
0.4512
0.7226
0.7644
-1.8169
5.8948
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:58 | 2.14340000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:05 | 2.13740000 | -0.28% |
| 3 | 00:10 | 2.14130000 | -0.098% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 21:00:00 | 2.1032 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 22:40:00 | 2.1968 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:15:00 | 2.1725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 23:45:00 | 2.1728 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:25:00 | 2.2131 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:50:00 | 2.1823 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 01:20:00 | 2.2123 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:20:00 | 2.1752 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 02:40:00 | 2.1988 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 03:55:00 | 2.1416 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 12:15:00 | 2.1339 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 2.0765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 14:15:00 | 2.1326 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 15:45:00 | 2.075 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 17:45:00 | 2.1542 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 19:30:00 | 2.1354 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 20:00:00 | 2.1018 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 22:30:00 | 2.1968 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:15:00 | 2.2131 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 03:30:00 | 2.1483 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 17:00:00 | 2.0169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:00:00 | 2.0758 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 1.9648 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 13:00:00 | 2.1292 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 2.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 2.1219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 2.0347 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 2.1566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 15:00:00 | 2.075 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 2.2131 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1434 | 2.1301 | 2.17 | 2 | 4.2479 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1301 - 2.1434 = -0.0133
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1434 - 2.17 = -0.0266
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0266 / -0.0133 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1289.7781 | 100 | 601.744 | 13.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0133 = -601.5
Taille de position USD = -601.5 x 2.1434 = -1289.26
Donc, tu peux acheter -601.5 avec un stoploss a 2.1301
Avec un position size USD de -1289.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -601.5 x -0.0133 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -601.5 x -0.0266 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.24 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.62 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.62 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6532 % | 105.27 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1434 | 2.1301 | 2.17 | 2 | 4.2479 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1301 - 2.1434 = -0.0133
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1434 - 2.17 = -0.0266
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0266 / -0.0133 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.663% | 1.1R | -0.667% | 1.1R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.969% | 3.2R | -0.667% | 1.1R | 3.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.969% | 3.2R | -0.667% | 1.1R | 3.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.686% | 5.9R | -0.667% | 1.1R | 5.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.440% | 8.8R | -0.667% | 1.1R | 8.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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