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Long Trade on SKR

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06 Aug 2026 at 00:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SKR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 9953.22 SKR at 0.00784$ per unit. Take profit: 0.008038 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.007038 (10.25 %)

SKR LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 06 Aug 2026 00:10 → 01:15 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.007842$

Qty 9953.2199 SKR

Size 78.0532$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.008038 (+2.5%)

TP $ 1.95$

SL 0.007038 (-10.25%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.24

Status loss PnL -2.91% / -2.27$ MAE -4.37% MFE +1.85% 0.2R expires 06 Aug 01:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=43 > threshold=10/46

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 60042)
#3 / 46 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5303

Quality Score
0.595
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 00:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#3 / 46 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.25 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 46 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.25 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.00×ATR
4h clear 2.21×ATR
1d clear 1.22×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1)

06/08 00:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

05/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

05/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

05/08 23:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_bound
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational range compression — 0
Tactical bull expansion — +1
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.57
Transition risk : 0.43
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.74
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 00:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.5950
Score SMA
0.6039
Rank
#3 / 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5303
Rank Norm SMA
0.7695
Calculé le
06/08/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7493 r1h: 4.101% · r4h: 5.216% · r1d: -11.98% · r3d: 29.35% · ema21_slope: -0.2041% · dist_ema21: 1.927%
Force Relative 25% 0.7381 rs_1h: 4.204% · rs_4h: 5.431% · rs_1d: -12.50% · rs_3d: 26.74% · beta_24h: 0.499
Volume 20% 0.1708 rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.629 · trend: -40.47%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5338 ADX: 24.4 (weak) · Chop: 59.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.7150 ATR%: 3.855% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -10.253% (0.0008)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.849% 0.2R -4.374% 0.4R 0.4× 12
1.2h ★ +1.849% 0.2R -4.374% 0.4R 0.4× 13
2h +1.849% 0.2R -4.948% 0.5R 0.4× 24
4h +1.849% 0.2R -5.024% 0.5R 0.4× 48
8h +1.849% 0.2R -5.024% 0.5R 0.4× 96
12h +1.849% 0.2R -6.006% 0.6R 0.3× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.52
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — — bear_high -3.62% -0.50 05/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 43% early — — 0.18 bull_high +0.85% +0.96 05/08 20:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 44% mid — — 0.10 bull_low +0.84% -0.77 05/08 23:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 38% mid — — 0.07 range_low +0.05% +0.43 05/08 23:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 1b — 2.702×ATR p10 +0.774×ATR p71
4h ↓ down early 5b — 2.956×ATR p29 +0.236×ATR p23
1h ↑ up mid 2b — 2.143×ATR p34 +0.917×ATR p66
15m ↓ down mid 2b — 0.988×ATR p3 +1.038×ATR p63

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00703824
  2. tp_price: 0.00803805
  3. atr: 0.00032151
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-06T10:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 47
  3. score: 0.7493
  4. delta_2h: 0.2843
  5. extension_atr: -0.9
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5303
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.007842 0.007038 0.008038 0.24 0.0176
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.007842
  • Stop Loss: 0.007038
  • Take Profit: 0.008038

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.007038 - 0.007842 = -0.000804

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.007842 - 0.008038 = -0.000196

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000196 / -0.000804 = 0.2438

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
78.0532 78.0532 9953.2199 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000804

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000804 = -9950.25

Taille de position USD = -9950.25 x 0.007842 = -78.03

Donc, tu peux acheter -9950.25 avec un stoploss a 0.007038

Avec un position size USD de -78.03$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -9950.25 x -0.000804 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -9950.25 x -0.000196 = 1.95

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.95$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -9950.25
  • Taille de position USD -78.03
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 1.95
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2438

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 1.95 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
10.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-2.27 $ -2.91
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.3739 % 42.66 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.007842 0.007038 0.008038 0.24 0.0176
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.007842
  • Stop Loss: 0.007038
  • Take Profit: 0.008038

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.007038 - 0.007842 = -0.000804

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.007842 - 0.008038 = -0.000196

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000196 / -0.000804 = 0.2438

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -10.253% (0.0008)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.849% 0.2R -4.374% 0.4R 0.4× 12
1.2h ★ +1.849% 0.2R -4.374% 0.4R 0.4× 13
2h +1.849% 0.2R -4.948% 0.5R 0.4× 24
4h +1.849% 0.2R -5.024% 0.5R 0.4× 48
8h +1.849% 0.2R -5.024% 0.5R 0.4× 96
12h +1.849% 0.2R -6.006% 0.6R 0.3× 144

computed 1 month ago

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