Long Trade on ETH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.19 ETH at 1909.8$ per unit. Take profit: 2015.8379 (5.55 %) & Stop Loss: 1867.3848 (2.22 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 01:36:23
hyperliquid
ETH
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 01:36
→ 13:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1909.8$
Qty 0.1886 ETH
Size 360.2107$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 2015.8379 (+5.55%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1867.3848 (-2.22%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.24%
/ +0.85$
MAE -0.93%
MFE +0.48%
0.2R
expires
06 Aug 13:36
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60044)
#10 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 01:00
score du 06/08/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7616
Quality Score
0.529
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
860.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 01:30
06/08 01:30
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#10 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.22 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#10 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.22 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.67×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.65×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.27×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 06/08 01:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 06/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 06/08 01:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5285
Score SMA
0.5260
Rank
#10
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7616
Rank Norm SMA
0.5691
Calculé le
06/08/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5651 | r1h: 0.353% · r4h: -0.278% · r1d: 2.05% · r3d: 2.75% · ema21_slope: 0.1027% · dist_ema21: 0.453% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5154 | rs_1h: 0.170% · rs_4h: -0.295% · rs_1d: 1.30% · rs_3d: -0.21% · beta_24h: 1.752 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1686 | rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.778 · trend: -34.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6428 | ADX: 20.1 (weak) · Chop: 41.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.570% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.221%
(42.4152)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.215% | 0.1R | -0.042% | 0.0R | 5.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.241% | 0.1R | -0.042% | 0.0R | 5.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.456% | 0.2R | -0.204% | 0.1R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.456% | 0.2R | -0.932% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.477% | 0.2R | -0.932% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.477% | 0.2R | -0.932% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.28
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -3.62% | +0.25 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.88 | bull_high | +0.84% | -0.08 | 06/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.88 | bull_low | +1.43% | +0.11 | 06/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.83 | range_low | +0.54% | -0.03 | 06/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 41b | — | 6.656×ATR | p85 | +0.34×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 17b | — | 3.201×ATR | p49 | +0.394×ATR | p41 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.935×ATR | p19 | +0.763×ATR | p67 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.602×ATR | p0 | +0.709×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7569
- reason: up_bo width=2.31×ATR dur=50b phase=extending
- stop_price: 1867.38482637
- tp_price: 2015.83793408
- atr:
- score: 0.75691046005415
- expires_at: 2026-08-06T17:36:15.752114
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.75691046005415
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0065
- obi_top10 : 0.0065
- micro_price : 1911.65895155
- spread_pct : 0.000523
- mid_price : 1911.655
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0242
- obi_top5_std : 0.0227
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7095
- aggregation_tick : 10
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1881.05
- balance_zone_bottom:
1855.9
- balance_zone_mid:
1868.475
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785816000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785992400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.307
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
50
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7569
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785945600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1881.05
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.72
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
13
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.6372
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 10.90173631 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
50
inside_close_ratio
0.72
bars_since_breakout
13
distance_to_edge_atr
2.6372
Signaux confirmants (29)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:36 | 1909.80000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:42 | 1909.80000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 03:48 | 1907.70000000 | -0.11% |
| 4 | 03:54 | 1907.70000000 | -0.11% |
| 5 | 04:00 | 1907.70000000 | -0.11% |
| 6 | 05:18 | 1907.00000000 | -0.147% |
| 7 | 05:24 | 1907.00000000 | -0.147% |
| 8 | 05:30 | 1907.00000000 | -0.147% |
| 9 | 05:36 | 1907.10000000 | -0.141% |
| 10 | 05:42 | 1907.10000000 | -0.141% |
| 11 | 05:48 | 1905.80000000 | -0.209% |
| 12 | 05:54 | 1905.80000000 | -0.209% |
| 13 | 06:00 | 1905.80000000 | -0.209% |
| 14 | 06:06 | 1904.00000000 | -0.304% |
| 15 | 06:12 | 1904.00000000 | -0.304% |
| 16 | 06:18 | 1902.40000000 | -0.387% |
| 17 | 06:24 | 1902.40000000 | -0.387% |
| 18 | 06:30 | 1902.40000000 | -0.387% |
| 19 | 06:36 | 1904.60000000 | -0.272% |
| 20 | 06:42 | 1904.60000000 | -0.272% |
| 21 | 06:48 | 1903.50000000 | -0.33% |
| 22 | 06:54 | 1903.50000000 | -0.33% |
| 23 | 07:00 | 1903.50000000 | -0.33% |
| 24 | 07:07 | 1898.00000000 | -0.618% |
| 25 | 07:12 | 1898.00000000 | -0.618% |
| 26 | 07:18 | 1901.50000000 | -0.435% |
| 27 | 07:24 | 1901.50000000 | -0.435% |
| 28 | 07:30 | 1901.50000000 | -0.435% |
| 29 | 07:36 | 1907.10000000 | -0.141% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7095ms
Confidence avant OB :
76%
→
76%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.007
avg -0.024
± 0.023
OBI Top 10
0.007
Microstructure
Mid Price
1,911.6550
Micro Price
1,911.6590
Spread
0.0005%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1909.8 | 1867.3848 | 2015.8379 | 2.5 | 2406.5 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1909.8
- Stop Loss: 1867.3848
- Take Profit: 2015.8379
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1867.3848 - 1909.8 = -42.4152
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1909.8 - 2015.8379 = -106.0379
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -106.0379 / -42.4152 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 360.2107 | 100 | 0.1886 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -42.4152
Taille de position = 8 / -42.4152 = -0.19
Taille de position USD = -0.19 x 1909.8 = -362.86
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.19 avec un stoploss a 1867.3848
Avec un position size USD de -362.86$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.19 x -42.4152 = 8.06
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.06$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.19 x -106.0379 = 20.15
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.15$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.19
- Taille de position USD -362.86
- Perte potentielle 8.06
- Gain potentiel 20.15
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.55 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.22 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.85 $ | 0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.932 % | 41.96 % | 27 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1909.8 | 1867.3848 | 2015.8379 | 2.5 | 2406.5 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1909.8
- Stop Loss: 1867.3848
- Take Profit: 2015.8379
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1867.3848 - 1909.8 = -42.4152
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1909.8 - 2015.8379 = -106.0379
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -106.0379 / -42.4152 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.221%
(42.4152)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.215% | 0.1R | -0.042% | 0.0R | 5.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.241% | 0.1R | -0.042% | 0.0R | 5.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.456% | 0.2R | -0.204% | 0.1R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.456% | 0.2R | -0.932% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.477% | 0.2R | -0.932% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.477% | 0.2R | -0.932% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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