Short Trade on KAITO

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06 Aug 2026 at 03:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 206.05 KAITO at 0.905$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8821 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.9435 (4.29 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 06 Aug 2026 03:10 → 05:05 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.9047$

Qty 206.0471 KAITO

Size 186.4088$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.8821 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.66$

SL 0.9435 (-4.29%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.58

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4.66$ MAE -1.03% MFE +3.09% 0.7R expires 06 Aug 09:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 60169)

#44 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1168

Quality Score

0.389

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

4.9M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 03:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#44 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.29 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#44 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.29 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.28×ATR
4h	clear	0.85×ATR
1d	clear	1.62×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 06/08 03:00 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1)

06/08 03:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 06/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 06/08 02:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

05/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

06/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

06/08 02:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	range	compression	—	0
Tactical	bull	expansion	—	-1
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.57

Transition risk : 0.43

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.74

Snapshot évalué : 06/08 03:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.3888

Score SMA

0.4428

Rank

#44 / 45

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1168

Rank Norm SMA

0.1416

Calculé le

06/08/2026 03:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2712	r1h: -1.027% · r4h: -4.064% · r1d: -5.24% · r3d: -6.71% · ema21_slope: -0.0025% · dist_ema21: -2.516%
Force Relative	25%	0.2051	rs_1h: -0.945% · rs_4h: -4.467% · rs_1d: -6.16% · rs_3d: -10.25% · beta_24h: 0.194
Volume	20%	0.4343	rvol_20: 1.42× · zscore_50: 0.653 · trend: -17.25%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4622	ADX: 14.5 (weak) · Chop: 57.8 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.832% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.289% (0.0388)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.171%	0.0R	-1.031%	0.2R	0.2×	12
2h	+2.687%	0.6R	-1.031%	0.2R	2.6×	24
4h	+3.094%	0.7R	-1.031%	0.2R	3.0×	48
6h ★	+3.094%	0.7R	-1.031%	0.2R	3.0×	72
8h	+3.094%	0.7R	-1.429%	0.3R	2.2×	96
12h	+3.197%	0.8R	-2.133%	0.5R	1.5×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 3.24

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 35%	early	—	—	0.40	bear_high	-3.31%	+0.35	05/08 20:00
4h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 37%	late	—	—	0.00	bull_high	+1.30%	-0.81	06/08 00:00
1h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	weak	fading	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 33%	mid	near -0.3ATR	—	-0.13	bull_low	+1.27%	-0.34	06/08 02:00
15m	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 52%	late	—	—	—	range_low	+0.45%	-0.38	06/08 02:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	8b	—	3.549×ATR	p35	-0.509×ATR	p43
4h	↓ down	late	27b	—	7.427×ATR	p97	-0.451×ATR	p46
1h	↓ down	mid	3b	—	2.917×ATR	p57	-1.207×ATR	p85
15m	↓ down	late	14b	—	7.265×ATR	p100	-1.088×ATR	p82

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.94351607
tp_price: 0.88207275
atr: 0.01553043
expires_at: 2026-08-06T13:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 47
total: 47
score: 0.2712
delta_2h: -0.1254
extension_atr: -1.26
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1168
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	03:10	0.90469000	-0.001%
2	04:10	0.90908000	+0.484%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.9047	0.9435	0.8821	0.58	0.283

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.9047
Stop Loss: 0.9435
Take Profit: 0.8821

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.9435 - 0.9047 = 0.0388
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.9047 - 0.8821 = 0.0226
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0226 / 0.0388 = 0.5825

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
186.4088	100	206.0471	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0388

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0388 = 206.19

Taille de position USD = 206.19 x 0.9047 = 186.54

Donc, tu peux acheter 206.19 avec un stoploss a 0.9435

Avec un position size USD de 186.54$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 206.19 x 0.0388 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 206.19 x 0.0226 = 4.66

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.66$

Résumé

Taille de position 206.19
Taille de position USD 186.54
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.66
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5825

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.66 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.29 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
4.66 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.0313 %	24.05 %	6

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.9047	0.9435	0.8821	0.58	0.283

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.9047
Stop Loss: 0.9435
Take Profit: 0.8821

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.9435 - 0.9047 = 0.0388
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.9047 - 0.8821 = 0.0226
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0226 / 0.0388 = 0.5825

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.289% (0.0388)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.171%	0.0R	-1.031%	0.2R	0.2×	12
2h	+2.687%	0.6R	-1.031%	0.2R	2.6×	24
4h	+3.094%	0.7R	-1.031%	0.2R	3.0×	48
6h ★	+3.094%	0.7R	-1.031%	0.2R	3.0×	72
8h	+3.094%	0.7R	-1.429%	0.3R	2.2×	96
12h	+3.197%	0.8R	-2.133%	0.5R	1.5×	144

computed 1 month ago

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