Short Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 3230.65 XPL at 0.0737$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07184 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07616 (3.35 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 03:10:04
hyperliquid
XPL
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 03:10
→ 04:15
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.07369$
Qty 3230.6524 XPL
Size 238.0571$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07184 (+2.51%)
TP $ 5.98$
SL 0.07616 (-3.35%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.75
Status
win
PnL
+0.18%
/ +0.42$
MAE -0.37%
MFE +0.38%
0.1R
expires
06 Aug 04:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=16 <= threshold=35/45
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60171)
#38 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 03:00
score du 06/08/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6184
Quality Score
0.459
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 03:02
06/08 03:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#38 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#38 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.29×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.66×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.03×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 06/08 03:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 06/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 06/08 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.74
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 03:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4588
Score SMA
0.5359
Rank
#38
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6184
Rank Norm SMA
0.6351
Calculé le
06/08/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3329 | r1h: -0.524% · r4h: -2.606% · r1d: -6.90% · r3d: -1.37% · ema21_slope: -0.2311% · dist_ema21: -2.627% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2802 | rs_1h: -0.443% · rs_4h: -3.009% · rs_1d: -7.82% · rs_3d: -4.91% · beta_24h: 2.095 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3263 | rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.128 · trend: 51.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8242 | ADX: 38.9 (trend) · Chop: 30.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.433% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.352%
(0.0025)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.216% | 0.1R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.376% | 0.1R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 1.0× | 13 |
| 2h | +2.285% | 0.7R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 6.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.285% | 0.7R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 6.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.285% | 0.7R | -1.778% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.285% | 0.7R | -3.000% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.56
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -3.31% | -0.92 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | near -1.7ATR | — | 0.40 | bull_high | +1.30% | -0.46 | 06/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.54 | bull_low | +1.27% | -0.62 | 06/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | weak | grind | compression | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.45% | -0.24 | 06/08 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 33b | — | 7.259×ATR | p90 | -0.589×ATR | p45 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 3.389×ATR | p57 | -1.069×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.964×ATR | p28 | -0.745×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.464×ATR | p8 | -0.349×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.07616328
- tp_price: 0.07184483
- atr: 0.00099051
- expires_at: 2026-08-06T13:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 45
- total: 47
- score: 0.3329
- delta_2h: -0.0282
- extension_atr: -1.72
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.6184
- confidence: 0.957
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07369 | 0.07616 | 0.07184 | 0.75 | 0.0809 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07369
- Stop Loss: 0.07616
- Take Profit: 0.07184
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07616 - 0.07369 = 0.00247
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07369 - 0.07184 = 0.00185
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00185 / 0.00247 = 0.749
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 238.0571 | 100 | 3230.6524 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00247
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00247 = 3238.87
Taille de position USD = 3238.87 x 0.07369 = 238.67
Donc, tu peux acheter 3238.87 avec un stoploss a 0.07616
Avec un position size USD de 238.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3238.87 x 0.00247 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3238.87 x 0.00185 = 5.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position 3238.87
- Taille de position USD 238.67
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.749
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 5.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.35 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.42 $ | 0.18 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3745 % | 11.17 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07369 | 0.07616 | 0.07184 | 0.75 | 0.0809 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07369
- Stop Loss: 0.07616
- Take Profit: 0.07184
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07616 - 0.07369 = 0.00247
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07369 - 0.07184 = 0.00185
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00185 / 0.00247 = 0.749
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.352%
(0.0025)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.216% | 0.1R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.376% | 0.1R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 1.0× | 13 |
| 2h | +2.285% | 0.7R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 6.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.285% | 0.7R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 6.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.285% | 0.7R | -1.778% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.285% | 0.7R | -3.000% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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