Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 21.18 BCH at 214.48$ per unit. Take profit: 215.2356 (0.35 %) & Stop Loss: 214.1022 (0.18 %)
Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 21.18 BCH at 214.48$ per unit. Take profit: 215.2356 (0.35 %) & Stop Loss: 214.1022 (0.18 %)
Position
Entry 214.48$
Qty 21.1758 BCH
Size 4541.7802$ (margin 100$) (leverage 45)
Risk Setup
TP 215.2356 (+0.35%)
TP $ 16$
SL 214.1022 (-0.18%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7295
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.74×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.89×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 26.83×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 06/08 03:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.486304 15m : 0.497655 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 06/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 06/08 03:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5592 | r1h: 0.098% · r4h: 1.014% · r1d: 1.99% · r3d: 2.54% · ema21_slope: 0.0380% · dist_ema21: 0.487% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5252 | rs_1h: 0.179% · rs_4h: 0.612% · rs_1d: 1.07% · rs_3d: -1.01% · beta_24h: 1.111 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2023 | rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.482 · trend: -24.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5569 | ADX: 20.3 (weak) · Chop: 52.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.621% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.210% | 1.2R | -0.135% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.280% | 1.6R | -1.436% | 8.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.280% | 1.6R | -1.734% | 9.9R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.280% | 1.6R | -1.800% | 10.2R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.280% | 1.6R | -1.800% | 10.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 32% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -3.31% | -0.35 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bull_high | +1.29% | -0.09 | 06/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.51 | bull_low | +1.40% | -0.03 | 06/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
44%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.59 | range_low | +0.50% | +0.06 | 06/08 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 27b | — | 4.51×ATR | p67 | +0.119×ATR | p15 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.817×ATR | p0 | +0.422×ATR | p48 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.376×ATR | p30 | +0.551×ATR | p56 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.152×ATR | p13 | +0.508×ATR | p43 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64714.2
0.000831321
64768
0.486304
64567
0.00447563
64856
0.497655
64020.2
0.0128667
64844
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3190747632732
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
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212.27
194
0.7104
0.6013
0.3982
0.2452
0.5233
0.8883
0.2798
0.5752
0.6795
0.2831
0.5788
0.8143
0.0674
0.0471
1
0.7307
1.2961
0.65
0.35
1
11
1
0.5096
0.48
3.9462
0.65
0.8883
3.5054
1.2961
0.2575
0.2537
0.34
-0.1813
0.4629
0.5709
0.5014
0.8143
-1.7513
7.6794
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:43 | 214.48000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:50 | 214.34000000 | -0.065% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 01:05:00 | 214.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 01:30:00 | 213.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 01:50:00 | 214.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:35:00 | 212.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 04:30:00 | 215.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 05:10:00 | 215.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 06:10:00 | 214.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 07:05:00 | 214.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 07:25:00 | 215.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 07:40:00 | 214.41 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 13:30:00 | 211.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 15:00:00 | 214.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 15:45:00 | 212.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:30:00 | 217.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:45:00 | 214.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 213.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 02:30:00 | 212.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 05:00:00 | 215.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 06:00:00 | 214.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 07:15:00 | 215.49 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 208.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 215.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 211.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 214.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 15:00:00 | 214.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 16:00:00 | 212.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 07:00:00 | 209.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:00:00 | 217.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 212.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 05:00:00 | 215.5 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214.48 | 214.1022 | 215.2356 | 2 | 218.72 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 214.1022 - 214.48 = -0.37779999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 214.48 - 215.2356 = -0.75560000000002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.75560000000002 / -0.37779999999998 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4541.7802 | 100 | 21.1758 | 45.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.37779999999998 = -21.18
Taille de position USD = -21.18 x 214.48 = -4542.69
Donc, tu peux acheter -21.18 avec un stoploss a 214.1022
Avec un position size USD de -4542.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -21.18 x -0.37779999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -21.18 x -0.75560000000002 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.18 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2191 % | 124.42 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214.48 | 214.1022 | 215.2356 | 2 | 218.72 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 214.1022 - 214.48 = -0.37779999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 214.48 - 215.2356 = -0.75560000000002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.75560000000002 / -0.37779999999998 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.210% | 1.2R | -0.135% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.280% | 1.6R | -1.436% | 8.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.280% | 1.6R | -1.734% | 9.9R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.280% | 1.6R | -1.800% | 10.2R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.280% | 1.6R | -1.800% | 10.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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