06 Aug 2026 at 03:31:44 hyperliquid

Long Trade on CRV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 1636.32 CRV at 0.21$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2223 (5.81 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2052 (2.33 %)

CRV LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 06 Aug 2026 03:31 → 15:30 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.2101$

Qty 1636.3198 CRV

Size 343.7417$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2223 (+5.81%)

TP $ 19.96$

SL 0.2052 (-2.33%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 2.49

Status win PnL +2.16% / +7.43$ MAE -0.91% MFE +5.36% 2.3R expires 06 Aug 15:31 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 60144)
#2 / 45 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4443

Quality Score
0.610
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
80 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 03:30

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#2 / 45 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.33 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 45 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.33 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.36×ATR
4h near -0.55×ATR
1d clear 22.55×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1)

06/08 03:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

05/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

06/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1)

06/08 03:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.6097
Score SMA
0.4950
Rank
#2 / 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4443
Rank Norm SMA
0.3619
Calculé le
06/08/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6347 r1h: 1.027% · r4h: 2.529% · r1d: 1.69% · r3d: 4.54% · ema21_slope: 0.0328% · dist_ema21: 2.016%
Force Relative 25% 0.6084 rs_1h: 1.108% · rs_4h: 2.126% · rs_1d: 0.77% · rs_3d: 0.99% · beta_24h: 1.302
Volume 20% 0.3818 rvol_20: 1.15× · zscore_50: -0.027 · trend: 9.71%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6054 ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 40.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.655% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.332% (0.0049)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.838% 0.4R -0.481% 0.2R 1.7× 12
2h +0.838% 0.4R -0.743% 0.3R 1.1× 24
4h +0.838% 0.4R -0.914% 0.4R 0.9× 48
8h +1.990% 0.9R -0.914% 0.4R 2.2× 96
12h ★ +5.359% 2.3R -0.914% 0.4R 5.9× 144
24h +5.359% 2.3R -0.914% 0.4R 5.9× 288

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.7
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 34% early 0.68 bear_high -3.31% -0.55 05/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 45% late near -0.6ATR 0.52 bull_high +1.29% +0.18 06/08 00:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_medium_confirmed
61%
noisy_chop 47% late 0.52 bull_low +1.40% +0.15 06/08 03:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading volatile_reversal bull_low_confirmed
39%
choppy 55% late range_low +0.50% +0.22 06/08 03:00
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 23b 2.44×ATR p0 +0.217×ATR p28
4h ↑ up late 9b 2.993×ATR p30 +1.665×ATR p98
1h ↑ up late 4b 4.494×ATR p86 +2.095×ATR p99
15m ↑ up late 6b 5.131×ATR p95 +2.334×ATR p98

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.7959
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.43×ATR dur=61b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.20518098
  5. tp_price: 0.22229256
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.79591987470456
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-06T19:31:36.666511
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.79591987470456
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.044
  14. obi_top10 : 0.023
  15. micro_price : 0.21079241
  16. spread_pct : 0.094922
  17. mid_price : 0.2108
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.207
  19. bid_wall_size : 626625
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.213
  22. ask_wall_size : 552296.4
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.0394
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0093
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6974
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.20704
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.203605
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.2053225
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1785783600
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1785999600
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.4272
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    61
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: stretched
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7959
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1785992400
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.20704
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8197
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    2
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    2.141
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    6
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    8
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00141523
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
61
inside_close_ratio
0.8197
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
2.141

Signaux confirmants (36)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 03:31 0.21007000 -0.014%
2 03:49 0.21088000 +0.371%
3 03:55 0.21088000 +0.371%
4 04:02 0.21088000 +0.371%
5 04:19 0.21026000 +0.076%
6 04:25 0.21026000 +0.076%
7 04:31 0.21026000 +0.076%
8 04:37 0.21035000 +0.119%
9 04:43 0.21035000 +0.119%
10 04:49 0.21010000 0%
11 04:55 0.21010000 0%
12 05:02 0.21010000 0%
13 05:07 0.21020000 +0.048%
14 05:13 0.21020000 +0.048%
15 05:19 0.20875000 -0.643%
16 05:25 0.20875000 -0.643%
17 05:31 0.20875000 -0.643%
18 05:37 0.20939000 -0.338%
19 05:43 0.20939000 -0.338%
20 05:49 0.20948000 -0.295%
21 05:55 0.20948000 -0.295%
22 06:02 0.20948000 -0.295%
23 06:07 0.20917000 -0.443%
24 06:13 0.20917000 -0.443%
25 06:19 0.21058000 +0.228%
26 06:25 0.21058000 +0.228%
27 06:32 0.21058000 +0.228%
28 06:37 0.20900000 -0.524%
29 06:43 0.20900000 -0.524%
30 06:49 0.20858000 -0.723%
31 06:55 0.20858000 -0.723%
32 07:02 0.20858000 -0.723%
33 09:08 0.20951000 -0.281%
34 09:13 0.20951000 -0.281%
35 09:19 0.20950000 -0.286%
36 09:25 0.20950000 -0.286%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6974ms Confidence avant OB : 80%80%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.044
avg 0.039 ± 0.009
OBI Top 10 0.023

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.2108
Micro Price
0.2108
Spread
0.0949%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.2070
Size
626,625.00

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.2130
Size
552,296.40

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2101 0.2052 0.2223 2.49 0.3121
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2101
  • Stop Loss: 0.2052
  • Take Profit: 0.2223

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2052 - 0.2101 = -0.0049

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2101 - 0.2223 = -0.0122

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0122 / -0.0049 = 2.4898

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
343.7417 100 1636.3198 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0049

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0049 = -1632.65

Taille de position USD = -1632.65 x 0.2101 = -343.02

Donc, tu peux acheter -1632.65 avec un stoploss a 0.2052

Avec un position size USD de -343.02$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1632.65 x -0.0049 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1632.65 x -0.0122 = 19.92

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.92$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1632.65
  • Taille de position USD -343.02
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.92
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4898

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.81 % 19.96 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.33 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
7.43 $ 2.16
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9139 % 39.19 % 14
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2101 0.2052 0.2223 2.49 0.3121
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2101
  • Stop Loss: 0.2052
  • Take Profit: 0.2223

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2052 - 0.2101 = -0.0049

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2101 - 0.2223 = -0.0122

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0122 / -0.0049 = 2.4898

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.332% (0.0049)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.838% 0.4R -0.481% 0.2R 1.7× 12
2h +0.838% 0.4R -0.743% 0.3R 1.1× 24
4h +0.838% 0.4R -0.914% 0.4R 0.9× 48
8h +1.990% 0.9R -0.914% 0.4R 2.2× 96
12h ★ +5.359% 2.3R -0.914% 0.4R 5.9× 144
24h +5.359% 2.3R -0.914% 0.4R 5.9× 288

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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