Short Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 691.29 ETHFI at 0.358$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3495 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.37 (3.24 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 05:10:07
hyperliquid
ETHFI
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 05:10
→ 11:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.3584$
Qty 691.2874 ETHFI
Size 247.7712$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3495 (+2.48%)
TP $ 6.15$
SL 0.37 (-3.24%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.77
Status
loss
PnL
-0.76%
/ -1.88$
MAE -0.88%
MFE +1.57%
0.5R
expires
06 Aug 11:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60252)
#42 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 05:00
score du 06/08/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0760
Quality Score
0.416
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 05:01
06/08 05:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#42 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.24 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#42 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.24 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 4.09×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.38×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 06/08 05:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 06/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 06/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.49
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 05:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4157
Score SMA
0.4397
Rank
#42
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0760
Rank Norm SMA
0.0927
Calculé le
06/08/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3429 | r1h: -1.538% · r4h: -0.979% · r1d: -1.60% · r3d: -10.28% · ema21_slope: -0.0319% · dist_ema21: -1.950% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2552 | rs_1h: -1.638% · rs_4h: -1.205% · rs_1d: -2.78% · rs_3d: -14.01% · beta_24h: 0.917 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3313 | rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: -0.183 · trend: -38.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5518 | ADX: 16.3 (weak) · Chop: 48.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.353% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.237%
(0.0116)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.574% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.574% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.574% | 0.5R | -0.416% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.574% | 0.5R | -0.882% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.574% | 0.5R | -1.007% | 0.3R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.712% | 0.8R | -1.007% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.82
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.62 | bear_high | -3.31% | -0.97 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.40 | bull_high | +1.22% | -0.84 | 06/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.41 | bull_low | +1.28% | -0.25 | 06/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_medium_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -1.5ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.44% | -0.23 | 06/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 15b | — | 4.265×ATR | p53 | -0.912×ATR | p81 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.333×ATR | p0 | -0.417×ATR | p48 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 2.111×ATR | p32 | -1.256×ATR | p88 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 4.551×ATR | p76 | -1.573×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.36999261
- tp_price: 0.3494595
- atr: 0.00462904
- expires_at: 2026-08-06T15:10:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 44
- total: 47
- score: 0.3429
- delta_2h: -0.1272
- extension_atr: -1.28
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.076
- confidence: 0.935
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3584 | 0.37 | 0.3495 | 0.77 | 0.5817 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3584
- Stop Loss: 0.37
- Take Profit: 0.3495
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.37 - 0.3584 = 0.0116
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3584 - 0.3495 = 0.0089
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0089 / 0.0116 = 0.7672
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 247.7712 | 100 | 691.2874 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0116
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0116 = 689.66
Taille de position USD = 689.66 x 0.3584 = 247.17
Donc, tu peux acheter 689.66 avec un stoploss a 0.37
Avec un position size USD de 247.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 689.66 x 0.0116 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 689.66 x 0.0089 = 6.14
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.14$
Résumé
- Taille de position 689.66
- Taille de position USD 247.17
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.14
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7672
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.48 % | 6.15 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.24 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.88 $ | -0.76 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8817 % | 27.24 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3584 | 0.37 | 0.3495 | 0.77 | 0.5817 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3584
- Stop Loss: 0.37
- Take Profit: 0.3495
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.37 - 0.3584 = 0.0116
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3584 - 0.3495 = 0.0089
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0089 / 0.0116 = 0.7672
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.237%
(0.0116)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.574% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.574% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.574% | 0.5R | -0.416% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.574% | 0.5R | -0.882% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.574% | 0.5R | -1.007% | 0.3R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.712% | 0.8R | -1.007% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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