Long Trade on LIT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 122.75 LIT at 2.178$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3405 (7.48 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1124 (2.99 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 05:17:01
hyperliquid
LIT
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 05:17
→ 17:15
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 2.1776$
Qty 122.752 LIT
Size 267.3047$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 2.3405 (+7.48%)
TP $ 20$
SL 2.1124 (-2.99%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+5.28%
/ +14.12$
MAE -0.96%
MFE +7.06%
2.4R
expires
06 Aug 17:16
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60267)
#9 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 05:00
score du 06/08/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8822
Quality Score
0.564
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
10.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 05:02
06/08 05:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#9 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#9 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.24×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.32×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 06/08 05:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 06/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 06/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.49
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 05:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5635
Score SMA
0.5518
Rank
#9
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8822
Rank Norm SMA
0.7100
Calculé le
06/08/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6319 | r1h: 0.189% · r4h: 1.283% · r1d: 2.49% · r3d: 7.46% · ema21_slope: 0.1665% · dist_ema21: 1.275% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5731 | rs_1h: 0.088% · rs_4h: 1.057% · rs_1d: 1.31% · rs_3d: 3.73% · beta_24h: 1.535 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2454 | rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: -0.263 · trend: -33.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5439 | ADX: 20.5 (weak) · Chop: 53.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.381% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.994%
(0.0652)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -0.955% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.245% | 0.4R | -0.955% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.057% | 0.7R | -0.955% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.111% | 1.7R | -0.955% | 0.3R | 5.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +7.058% | 2.4R | -0.955% | 0.3R | 7.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +11.641% | 3.9R | -0.955% | 0.3R | 12.2× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.98
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -3.31% | -0.61 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.37 | bull_high | +1.22% | +0.51 | 06/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.48 | bull_low | +1.28% | +0.15 | 06/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.46 | range_low | +0.46% | +0.10 | 06/08 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 31b | — | 3.348×ATR | p36 | +0.224×ATR | p22 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 2.911×ATR | p41 | +0.54×ATR | p56 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.442×ATR | p2 | +0.226×ATR | p20 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.765×ATR | p17 | +0.51×ATR | p50 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.5742
- reason: up_bo width=2.66×ATR dur=44b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 2.11242793
- tp_price: 2.34053017
- atr:
- score: 0.67420227112117
- expires_at: 2026-08-06T21:16:53.986805
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.67420227112117
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.2038
- obi_top10 : -0.245
- micro_price : 2.1781462
- spread_pct : 0.09187
- mid_price : 2.178
- bid_wall_price : 2.14
- bid_wall_size : 17872
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 2.2
- ask_wall_size : 21187.6
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.1755
- obi_top5_std : 0.0263
- pressure_side : ask
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6840
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
2.1542
- balance_zone_bottom:
2.0765
- balance_zone_mid:
2.11535
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785852000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786006800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6591
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
44
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.6742
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785992400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
2.1542
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6136
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
4
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.8008
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.02922067 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.6136
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
0.8008
Signaux confirmants (9)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:17 | 2.17760000 | 0% |
| 2 | 05:22 | 2.17770000 | +0.005% |
| 3 | 05:28 | 2.17770000 | +0.005% |
| 4 | 05:35 | 2.17770000 | +0.005% |
| 5 | 05:40 | 2.17600000 | -0.073% |
| 6 | 05:47 | 2.17600000 | -0.073% |
| 7 | 05:52 | 2.17670000 | -0.041% |
| 8 | 05:58 | 2.17670000 | -0.041% |
| 9 | 06:05 | 2.17670000 | -0.041% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↓ ask
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6840ms
Confidence avant OB :
67%
→
57%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.204
avg -0.176
± 0.026
OBI Top 10
-0.245
Microstructure
Mid Price
2.1780
Micro Price
2.1781
Spread
0.0919%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
2.1400
Size
17,872.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
2.2000
Size
21,187.60
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1776 | 2.1124 | 2.3405 | 2.5 | 4.2336 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1776
- Stop Loss: 2.1124
- Take Profit: 2.3405
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1124 - 2.1776 = -0.0652
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1776 - 2.3405 = -0.1629
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1629 / -0.0652 = 2.4985
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 267.3047 | 100 | 122.752 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0652
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0652 = -122.7
Taille de position USD = -122.7 x 2.1776 = -267.19
Donc, tu peux acheter -122.7 avec un stoploss a 2.1124
Avec un position size USD de -267.19$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -122.7 x -0.0652 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -122.7 x -0.1629 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -122.7
- Taille de position USD -267.19
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4985
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.48 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.99 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 14.12 $ | 5.28 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9552 % | 31.9 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1776 | 2.1124 | 2.3405 | 2.5 | 4.2336 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.1776
- Stop Loss: 2.1124
- Take Profit: 2.3405
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1124 - 2.1776 = -0.0652
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1776 - 2.3405 = -0.1629
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1629 / -0.0652 = 2.4985
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.994%
(0.0652)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -0.955% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.245% | 0.4R | -0.955% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.057% | 0.7R | -0.955% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.111% | 1.7R | -0.955% | 0.3R | 5.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +7.058% | 2.4R | -0.955% | 0.3R | 7.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +11.641% | 3.9R | -0.955% | 0.3R | 12.2× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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