Short Trade on SOL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 11.46 SOL at 73.214$ per unit. Take profit: 71.4685 (2.38 %) & Stop Loss: 73.9122 (0.95 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 06:06:39
hyperliquid
SOL
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 06:06
→ 18:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 73.214$
Qty 11.4582 SOL
Size 838.9021$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 71.4685 (+2.38%)
TP $ 20$
SL 73.9122 (-0.95%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.54%
/ +4.51$
MAE -0.53%
MFE +0.96%
1.0R
expires
06 Aug 18:06
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60272)
#37 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 06:00
score du 06/08/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5160
Quality Score
0.447
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
108.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 06:00
06/08 06:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#37 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#37 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.65×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.72×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.86×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 06/08 06:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 06/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 06/08 05:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.49
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 06:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4467
Score SMA
0.4990
Rank
#37
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5160
Rank Norm SMA
0.4592
Calculé le
06/08/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4462 | r1h: -0.895% · r4h: -1.229% · r1d: -0.94% · r3d: 0.80% · ema21_slope: -0.0227% · dist_ema21: -0.808% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4241 | rs_1h: -0.456% · rs_4h: -0.864% · rs_1d: -1.72% · rs_3d: -2.09% · beta_24h: 1.503 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1963 | rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: -0.608 · trend: -34.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4503 | ADX: 9.6 (weak) · Chop: 54.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.523% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.954%
(0.6982)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.115% | 0.1R | -0.261% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.115% | 0.1R | -0.418% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.523% | 0.6R | -0.418% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.523% | 0.6R | -0.533% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.956% | 1.0R | -0.533% | 0.6R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.247% | 1.3R | -0.701% | 0.7R | 1.8× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.01
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.87 | bear_high | -3.31% | -0.25 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.82 | bull_high | +1.21% | -0.18 | 06/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | normal | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.85 | bull_low | +0.91% | -0.13 | 06/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | range_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near 0.3ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.08% | -0.03 | 06/08 05:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 33b | — | 4.175×ATR | p56 | +0.08×ATR | p10 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 18b | — | 2.205×ATR | p7 | -0.055×ATR | p10 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 2.662×ATR | p53 | -1.481×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 3.996×ATR | p68 | -2.074×ATR | p99 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8441
- reason: down_bo width=2.78×ATR dur=45b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 73.91218875
- tp_price: 71.46852811
- atr:
- score: 0.84412426596629
- expires_at: 2026-08-06T22:06:32.017630
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.84412426596629
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0221
- obi_top10 : -0.0221
- micro_price : 73.18204691
- spread_pct : 0.001366
- mid_price : 73.1825
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0198
- obi_top5_std : 0.0089
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6937
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
74.3945
- balance_zone_bottom:
73.355
- balance_zone_mid:
73.87475
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785852000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786010400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.7765
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
45
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8441
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786006800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
73.355
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8889
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3766
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
9
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.37438755 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
45
inside_close_ratio
0.8889
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3766
Signaux confirmants (30)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:06 | 73.21400000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:12 | 73.21400000 | 0% |
| 3 | 06:18 | 73.16900000 | -0.061% |
| 4 | 06:24 | 73.16900000 | -0.061% |
| 5 | 06:30 | 73.16900000 | -0.061% |
| 6 | 06:48 | 73.28500000 | +0.097% |
| 7 | 06:54 | 73.28500000 | +0.097% |
| 8 | 07:00 | 73.28500000 | +0.097% |
| 9 | 07:07 | 73.16600000 | -0.066% |
| 10 | 07:12 | 73.16600000 | -0.066% |
| 11 | 07:18 | 73.34700000 | +0.182% |
| 12 | 07:24 | 73.34700000 | +0.182% |
| 13 | 07:30 | 73.34700000 | +0.182% |
| 14 | 09:06 | 73.04900000 | -0.225% |
| 15 | 09:12 | 73.04900000 | -0.225% |
| 16 | 09:18 | 72.94400000 | -0.369% |
| 17 | 09:24 | 72.94400000 | -0.369% |
| 18 | 09:30 | 72.94400000 | -0.369% |
| 19 | 09:36 | 72.86700000 | -0.474% |
| 20 | 09:42 | 72.86700000 | -0.474% |
| 21 | 09:48 | 73.24900000 | +0.048% |
| 22 | 09:54 | 73.24900000 | +0.048% |
| 23 | 10:00 | 73.24900000 | +0.048% |
| 24 | 10:06 | 73.20200000 | -0.016% |
| 25 | 10:12 | 73.20200000 | -0.016% |
| 26 | 10:18 | 73.17600000 | -0.052% |
| 27 | 10:24 | 73.17600000 | -0.052% |
| 28 | 10:30 | 73.17600000 | -0.052% |
| 29 | 10:36 | 73.23700000 | +0.031% |
| 30 | 10:42 | 73.23700000 | +0.031% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6937ms
Confidence avant OB :
84%
→
84%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.022
avg -0.020
± 0.009
OBI Top 10
-0.022
Microstructure
Mid Price
73.1825
Micro Price
73.1820
Spread
0.0014%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73.214 | 73.9122 | 71.4685 | 2.5 | 97.331 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 73.214
- Stop Loss: 73.9122
- Take Profit: 71.4685
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 73.9122 - 73.214 = 0.6982
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 73.214 - 71.4685 = 1.7455
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.7455 / 0.6982 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 838.9021 | 100 | 11.4582 | 8.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.6982
Taille de position = 8 / 0.6982 = 11.46
Taille de position USD = 11.46 x 73.214 = 839.03
Donc, tu peux acheter 11.46 avec un stoploss a 73.9122
Avec un position size USD de 839.03$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 11.46 x 0.6982 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 11.46 x 1.7455 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 11.46
- Taille de position USD 839.03
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.38 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.95 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.51 $ | 0.54 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5327 % | 55.86 % | 23 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73.214 | 73.9122 | 71.4685 | 2.5 | 97.331 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 73.214
- Stop Loss: 73.9122
- Take Profit: 71.4685
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 73.9122 - 73.214 = 0.6982
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 73.214 - 71.4685 = 1.7455
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.7455 / 0.6982 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.954%
(0.6982)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.115% | 0.1R | -0.261% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.115% | 0.1R | -0.418% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.523% | 0.6R | -0.418% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.523% | 0.6R | -0.533% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.956% | 1.0R | -0.533% | 0.6R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.247% | 1.3R | -0.701% | 0.7R | 1.8× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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