Short Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 7408.85 DOGE at 0.069$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06627 (3.91 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07005 (1.57 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 06:07:15
hyperliquid
DOGE
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 06:07
→ 18:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.06897$
Qty 7408.848 DOGE
Size 511.0105$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06627 (+3.91%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.07005 (-1.57%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.12%
/ -0.63$
MAE -0.56%
MFE +1.10%
0.7R
expires
06 Aug 18:07
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60277)
#19 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 06:00
score du 06/08/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2802
Quality Score
0.541
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 06:00
06/08 06:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#19 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#19 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.08×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.50×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 06/08 06:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 06/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 06/08 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.49
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 06:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5410
Score SMA
0.4860
Rank
#19
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2802
Rank Norm SMA
0.3195
Calculé le
06/08/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4197 | r1h: -1.308% · r4h: -1.353% · r1d: -1.10% · r3d: -0.95% · ema21_slope: -0.0250% · dist_ema21: -1.160% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3877 | rs_1h: -0.869% · rs_4h: -0.988% · rs_1d: -1.88% · rs_3d: -3.84% · beta_24h: 1.622 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6597 | rvol_20: 2.60× · zscore_50: 1.026 · trend: -8.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5750 | ADX: 11.2 (weak) · Chop: 40.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.524% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.566%
(0.0011)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.281% | 0.2R | -0.141% | 0.1R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.281% | 0.2R | -0.378% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.102% | 0.7R | -0.378% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.102% | 0.7R | -0.558% | 0.4R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.102% | 0.7R | -0.558% | 0.4R | 2.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.102% | 0.7R | -0.921% | 0.6R | 1.2× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.66
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late_trend | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -3.31% | -0.47 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | near -0.5ATR | near -0.2ATR | 0.82 | bull_high | +1.21% | -0.29 | 06/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.69 | bull_low | +0.91% | -0.15 | 06/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_low_confirmed |
34%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.08% | -0.06 | 06/08 05:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 33b | — | 4.216×ATR | p50 | -0.173×ATR | p21 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 18b | — | 1.155×ATR | p0 | -0.16×ATR | p20 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 3.069×ATR | p69 | -2.051×ATR | p98 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 5.165×ATR | p95 | -2.722×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7413
- reason: down_bo width=2.17×ATR dur=45b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.07005279
- tp_price: 0.06627353
- atr:
- score: 0.7413007957707
- expires_at: 2026-08-06T22:07:08.008487
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.7413007957707
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2358
- obi_top10 : 0.0227
- micro_price : 0.06893293
- spread_pct : 0.014507
- mid_price : 0.068935
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0691
- ask_wall_size : 35418541
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0498
- obi_top5_std : 0.1598
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6897
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.070393
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.0696435
- balance_zone_mid:
0.07001825
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785852000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786010400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1701
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
45
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7413
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786006800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.0696435
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8889
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.9413
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
13
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
12
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00034538 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
45
inside_close_ratio
0.8889
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.9413
Signaux confirmants (55)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:07 | 0.06897300 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 06:13 | 0.06897300 | +0.004% |
| 3 | 06:19 | 0.06881200 | -0.229% |
| 4 | 06:25 | 0.06881200 | -0.229% |
| 5 | 06:31 | 0.06881200 | -0.229% |
| 6 | 06:37 | 0.06903800 | +0.099% |
| 7 | 06:43 | 0.06903800 | +0.099% |
| 8 | 06:49 | 0.06903000 | +0.087% |
| 9 | 06:55 | 0.06903000 | +0.087% |
| 10 | 07:02 | 0.06903000 | +0.087% |
| 11 | 07:08 | 0.06890900 | -0.088% |
| 12 | 07:13 | 0.06890900 | -0.088% |
| 13 | 07:19 | 0.06902900 | +0.086% |
| 14 | 07:25 | 0.06902900 | +0.086% |
| 15 | 07:31 | 0.06902900 | +0.086% |
| 16 | 07:37 | 0.06918000 | +0.304% |
| 17 | 07:43 | 0.06918000 | +0.304% |
| 18 | 07:49 | 0.06922300 | +0.367% |
| 19 | 07:55 | 0.06922300 | +0.367% |
| 20 | 08:01 | 0.06922300 | +0.367% |
| 21 | 08:07 | 0.06905600 | +0.125% |
| 22 | 08:13 | 0.06905600 | +0.125% |
| 23 | 08:19 | 0.06898800 | +0.026% |
| 24 | 08:25 | 0.06898800 | +0.026% |
| 25 | 08:31 | 0.06898800 | +0.026% |
| 26 | 08:37 | 0.06902300 | +0.077% |
| 27 | 08:43 | 0.06902300 | +0.077% |
| 28 | 08:49 | 0.06900900 | +0.057% |
| 29 | 08:55 | 0.06900900 | +0.057% |
| 30 | 09:01 | 0.06900900 | +0.057% |
| 31 | 09:07 | 0.06869900 | -0.393% |
| 32 | 09:13 | 0.06869900 | -0.393% |
| 33 | 09:49 | 0.06878600 | -0.267% |
| 34 | 09:55 | 0.06878600 | -0.267% |
| 35 | 10:01 | 0.06878600 | -0.267% |
| 36 | 10:07 | 0.06877300 | -0.286% |
| 37 | 10:13 | 0.06877300 | -0.286% |
| 38 | 10:19 | 0.06880500 | -0.239% |
| 39 | 10:25 | 0.06880500 | -0.239% |
| 40 | 10:31 | 0.06880500 | -0.239% |
| 41 | 10:37 | 0.06890000 | -0.101% |
| 42 | 10:43 | 0.06890000 | -0.101% |
| 43 | 10:49 | 0.06913600 | +0.241% |
| 44 | 10:55 | 0.06913600 | +0.241% |
| 45 | 11:01 | 0.06913600 | +0.241% |
| 46 | 11:07 | 0.06906900 | +0.144% |
| 47 | 11:13 | 0.06906900 | +0.144% |
| 48 | 11:19 | 0.06911100 | +0.204% |
| 49 | 11:25 | 0.06911100 | +0.204% |
| 50 | 11:31 | 0.06911100 | +0.204% |
| 51 | 11:37 | 0.06911100 | +0.204% |
| 52 | 11:43 | 0.06911100 | +0.204% |
| 53 | 11:49 | 0.06907600 | +0.154% |
| 54 | 11:55 | 0.06907600 | +0.154% |
| 55 | 12:01 | 0.06907600 | +0.154% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6897ms
Confidence avant OB :
74%
→
74%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.236
avg -0.050
± 0.160
OBI Top 10
0.023
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0689
Micro Price
0.0689
Spread
0.0145%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0691
Size
35,418,541.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06897 | 0.07005 | 0.06627 | 2.5 | 0.08003 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06897
- Stop Loss: 0.07005
- Take Profit: 0.06627
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07005 - 0.06897 = 0.00108
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06897 - 0.06627 = 0.0027
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0027 / 0.00108 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 511.0105 | 100 | 7408.848 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00108
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00108 = 7407.41
Taille de position USD = 7407.41 x 0.06897 = 510.89
Donc, tu peux acheter 7407.41 avec un stoploss a 0.07005
Avec un position size USD de 510.89$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7407.41 x 0.00108 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7407.41 x 0.0027 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 7407.41
- Taille de position USD 510.89
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.91 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.57 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.63 $ | -0.12 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5582 % | 35.65 % | 27 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06897 | 0.07005 | 0.06627 | 2.5 | 0.08003 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06897
- Stop Loss: 0.07005
- Take Profit: 0.06627
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07005 - 0.06897 = 0.00108
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06897 - 0.06627 = 0.0027
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0027 / 0.00108 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.566%
(0.0011)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.281% | 0.2R | -0.141% | 0.1R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.281% | 0.2R | -0.378% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.102% | 0.7R | -0.378% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.102% | 0.7R | -0.558% | 0.4R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.102% | 0.7R | -0.558% | 0.4R | 2.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.102% | 0.7R | -0.921% | 0.6R | 1.2× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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