Short Trade on NEAR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 266.19 NEAR at 1.682$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6073 (4.46 %) & Stop Loss: 1.7125 (1.79 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 06:09:03
hyperliquid
NEAR
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 06:09
→ 18:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.6824$
Qty 266.1859 NEAR
Size 447.8312$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 1.6073 (+4.46%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 1.7125 (-1.79%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.08%
/ +4.82$
MAE -1.17%
MFE +1.79%
1.0R
expires
06 Aug 18:08
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60292)
#23 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 06:00
score du 06/08/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3579
Quality Score
0.519
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 06:00
06/08 06:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#23 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#23 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.65×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.60×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.00×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 06/08 06:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 06/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 06/08 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.49
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 06:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5190
Score SMA
0.4864
Rank
#23
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3579
Rank Norm SMA
0.3290
Calculé le
06/08/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3725 | r1h: -1.609% · r4h: -2.527% · r1d: -1.84% · r3d: -2.51% · ema21_slope: -0.0015% · dist_ema21: -1.613% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3284 | rs_1h: -1.170% · rs_4h: -2.161% · rs_1d: -2.63% · rs_3d: -5.40% · beta_24h: 1.834 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6921 | rvol_20: 2.57× · zscore_50: 1.224 · trend: 9.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5783 | ADX: 16.0 (weak) · Chop: 45.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.863% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.789%
(0.0301)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.357% | 0.2R | -0.713% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.357% | 0.2R | -0.713% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.357% | 0.2R | -1.171% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.611% | 0.9R | -1.171% | 0.7R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.789% | 1.0R | -1.171% | 0.7R | 1.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.614% | 2.0R | -1.171% | 0.7R | 3.1× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.35
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bear_high | -3.31% | -0.85 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.63 | bull_high | +1.21% | -0.32 | 06/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.58 | bull_low | +0.91% | -0.12 | 06/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | expansion | bear_medium_confirmed |
57%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.08% | -0.26 | 06/08 05:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 22b | — | 4.426×ATR | p50 | +0.048×ATR | p5 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 2.662×ATR | p25 | -0.476×ATR | p49 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 3.369×ATR | p81 | -1.789×ATR | p96 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 21b | — | 6.686×ATR | p100 | -2.127×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8721
- reason: down_bo width=2.64×ATR dur=31b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.71245418
- tp_price: 1.60726455
- atr:
- score: 0.87213994404809
- expires_at: 2026-08-06T22:08:55.822948
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.87213994404809
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0813
- obi_top10 : 0.0811
- micro_price : 1.68461514
- spread_pct : 0.005936
- mid_price : 1.68465
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 1.69
- ask_wall_size : 813618.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0813
- obi_top5_std : 0.0001
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7061
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.7293
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.69285
- balance_zone_mid:
1.711075
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785902400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786010400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6429
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
31
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8721
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786006800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.69285
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9355
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.7577
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
9
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.01379181 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
31
inside_close_ratio
0.9355
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.7577
Signaux confirmants (35)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:09 | 1.68240000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:15 | 1.68240000 | 0% |
| 3 | 06:20 | 1.68810000 | +0.339% |
| 4 | 06:26 | 1.68810000 | +0.339% |
| 5 | 06:33 | 1.68810000 | +0.339% |
| 6 | 06:51 | 1.68510000 | +0.16% |
| 7 | 06:57 | 1.68510000 | +0.16% |
| 8 | 07:04 | 1.68510000 | +0.16% |
| 9 | 07:10 | 1.67640000 | -0.357% |
| 10 | 07:15 | 1.67640000 | -0.357% |
| 11 | 07:21 | 1.68540000 | +0.178% |
| 12 | 07:27 | 1.68540000 | +0.178% |
| 13 | 07:33 | 1.68540000 | +0.178% |
| 14 | 07:39 | 1.69220000 | +0.583% |
| 15 | 07:45 | 1.69220000 | +0.583% |
| 16 | 07:50 | 1.69130000 | +0.529% |
| 17 | 07:56 | 1.69130000 | +0.529% |
| 18 | 08:03 | 1.69130000 | +0.529% |
| 19 | 08:09 | 1.68860000 | +0.369% |
| 20 | 08:14 | 1.68860000 | +0.369% |
| 21 | 08:21 | 1.68780000 | +0.321% |
| 22 | 08:26 | 1.68780000 | +0.321% |
| 23 | 08:33 | 1.68780000 | +0.321% |
| 24 | 08:38 | 1.68740000 | +0.297% |
| 25 | 08:44 | 1.68740000 | +0.297% |
| 26 | 11:09 | 1.68480000 | +0.143% |
| 27 | 11:14 | 1.68480000 | +0.143% |
| 28 | 11:21 | 1.68630000 | +0.232% |
| 29 | 11:26 | 1.68630000 | +0.232% |
| 30 | 11:33 | 1.68630000 | +0.232% |
| 31 | 11:38 | 1.68050000 | -0.113% |
| 32 | 11:44 | 1.68050000 | -0.113% |
| 33 | 11:50 | 1.67980000 | -0.155% |
| 34 | 11:56 | 1.67980000 | -0.155% |
| 35 | 12:04 | 1.67980000 | -0.155% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7061ms
Confidence avant OB :
87%
→
87%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.081
avg 0.081
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.081
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.6847
Micro Price
1.6846
Spread
0.0059%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
1.6900
Size
813,618.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6824 | 1.7125 | 1.6073 | 2.5 | 2.3347 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.6824
- Stop Loss: 1.7125
- Take Profit: 1.6073
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7125 - 1.6824 = 0.0301
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6824 - 1.6073 = 0.0751
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0751 / 0.0301 = 2.495
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 447.8312 | 100 | 266.1859 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0301
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0301 = 265.78
Taille de position USD = 265.78 x 1.6824 = 447.15
Donc, tu peux acheter 265.78 avec un stoploss a 1.7125
Avec un position size USD de 447.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 265.78 x 0.0301 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 265.78 x 0.0751 = 19.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.96$
Résumé
- Taille de position 265.78
- Taille de position USD 447.15
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.96
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.495
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.46 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.79 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.82 $ | 1.08 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1709 % | 65.45 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6824 | 1.7125 | 1.6073 | 2.5 | 2.3347 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.6824
- Stop Loss: 1.7125
- Take Profit: 1.6073
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7125 - 1.6824 = 0.0301
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6824 - 1.6073 = 0.0751
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0751 / 0.0301 = 2.495
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.789%
(0.0301)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.357% | 0.2R | -0.713% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.357% | 0.2R | -0.713% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.357% | 0.2R | -1.171% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.611% | 0.9R | -1.171% | 0.7R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.789% | 1.0R | -1.171% | 0.7R | 1.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.614% | 2.0R | -1.171% | 0.7R | 3.1× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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