Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 263765.25 PENGU at 0.00614$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006202 (0.99 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006111 (0.49 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 263765.25 PENGU at 0.00614$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006202 (0.99 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006111 (0.49 %)
Position
Entry 0.006141$
Qty 263765.2489 PENGU
Size 1619.7824$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 0.006202 (+0.99%)
TP $ 16.09$
SL 0.006111 (-0.49%)
SL $ 7.91$
RR 2.03
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8969
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.28×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.43×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.70×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 06/08 06:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.510544 15m : 0.510881 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 06/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 06/08 05:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4546 | r1h: -1.916% · r4h: -1.837% · r1d: 1.59% · r3d: 1.00% · ema21_slope: 0.1057% · dist_ema21: -0.716% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4021 | rs_1h: -1.477% · rs_4h: -1.472% · rs_1d: 0.81% · rs_3d: -1.89% · beta_24h: 1.872 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5951 | rvol_20: 1.44× · zscore_50: 1.147 · trend: 76.07% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6845 | ADX: 31.8 (trend) · Chop: 48.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.117% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.293% | 0.6R | -0.831% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.293% | 0.6R | -0.831% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.293% | 0.6R | -0.993% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.059% | 2.2R | -0.993% | 2.0R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.059% | 2.2R | -3.615% | 7.4R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.74 | bear_high | -3.31% | +0.36 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | weak | fading | normal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.68 | bull_high | +1.21% | -0.11 | 06/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.55 | bull_low | +0.91% | +0.15 | 06/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.58 | range_low | +0.08% | -0.06 | 06/08 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 33b | — | 2.178×ATR | p0 | +0.36×ATR | p35 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.975×ATR | p0 | +0.451×ATR | p48 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.324×ATR | p35 | -0.698×ATR | p65 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 4.814×ATR | p79 | -1.419×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64724.9
-0.00173029
64613
0.510544
64587.4
0.000394898
64613
0.510881
64047
0.00871093
64605
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0.006328
196
0.5514
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0.3558
0.2192
0.4675
0.8027
0.3584
0.488
0.6752
0.88
0.588
0.5437
0.048
0.0432
0.3333
-0.7159
-0.1828
0.55
0.45
1
10
1
0.5616
0.4334
3.9442
0.6
0.8027
2.7872
-0.1828
0.6347
0.3541
0.8
0.3767
0.4686
0.4403
0.8732
0.5437
-3.458
4.1202
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:10 | 0.00614100 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:16 | 0.00613000 | -0.179% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 04:30:00 | 0.006246 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 04:50:00 | 0.006191 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 05:15:00 | 0.006249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 05:50:00 | 0.006216 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 07:10:00 | 0.006252 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 07:35:00 | 0.006328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 08:20:00 | 0.006292 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 08:35:00 | 0.006247 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 08:55:00 | 0.006294 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 10:05:00 | 0.006131 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 15:30:00 | 0.006189 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 17:30:00 | 0.006207 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 18:30:00 | 0.006127 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:30:00 | 0.006208 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 21:30:00 | 0.006136 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:15:00 | 0.006372 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:15:00 | 0.006149 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 04:00:00 | 0.006156 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 07:30:00 | 0.006328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 10:00:00 | 0.006131 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 14:00:00 | 0.006219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 0.006087 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:00:00 | 0.006231 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 16:00:00 | 0.00603 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 21:00:00 | 0.00618 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 0.005994 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 0.005991 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 0.006372 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 07:00:00 | 0.006328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 10:00:00 | 0.006132 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006141 | 0.006111 | 0.006202 | 2.03 | 0.006808 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006111 - 0.006141 = -3.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006141 - 0.006202 = -6.1E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.1E-5 / -3.0E-5 = 2.0333
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1619.7824 | 100 | 263765.2489 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -3.0E-5 = -266666.67
Taille de position USD = -266666.67 x 0.006141 = -1637.6
Donc, tu peux acheter -266666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.006111
Avec un position size USD de -1637.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -266666.67 x -3.0E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -266666.67 x -6.1E-5 = 16.27
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.27$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.99 % | 16.09 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.49 % | 7.91 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.91 $ | -0.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5862 % | 120 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006141 | 0.006111 | 0.006202 | 2.03 | 0.006808 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006111 - 0.006141 = -3.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006141 - 0.006202 = -6.1E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.1E-5 / -3.0E-5 = 2.0333
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.293% | 0.6R | -0.831% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.293% | 0.6R | -0.831% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.293% | 0.6R | -0.993% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.059% | 2.2R | -0.993% | 2.0R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.059% | 2.2R | -3.615% | 7.4R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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