Short Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 633.19 SUI at 0.677$ per unit. Take profit: 0.645 (4.67 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6892 (1.86 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 07:37:22
hyperliquid
SUI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 07:37
→ 19:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.6766$
Qty 633.1904 SUI
Size 428.3976$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.645 (+4.67%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.6892 (-1.86%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.51
Status
win
PnL
+0.77%
/ +3.29$
MAE -0.63%
MFE +0.88%
0.5R
expires
06 Aug 19:37
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60325)
#10 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 07:00
score du 06/08/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5286
Quality Score
0.554
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 07:30
06/08 07:30
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#10 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#10 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.91×ATR |
| 1d | near | -3.24×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 06/08 07:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 06/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 06/08 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5538
Score SMA
0.4999
Rank
#10
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5286
Rank Norm SMA
0.4283
Calculé le
06/08/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3773 | r1h: -0.682% · r4h: -1.909% · r1d: -2.64% · r3d: -1.88% · ema21_slope: -0.0646% · dist_ema21: -1.934% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3593 | rs_1h: -0.580% · rs_4h: -1.544% · rs_1d: -3.51% · rs_3d: -4.86% · beta_24h: 1.742 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7426 | rvol_20: 2.40× · zscore_50: 1.456 · trend: 56.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6817 | ADX: 21.8 (weak) · Chop: 29.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.695% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.862%
(0.0126)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.325% | 0.2R | -0.040% | 0.0R | 8.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.884% | 0.5R | -0.090% | 0.1R | 9.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.884% | 0.5R | -0.090% | 0.1R | 9.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.884% | 0.5R | -0.633% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.884% | 0.5R | -0.633% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.101% | 0.6R | -0.633% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.75
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -3.2ATR | — | 0.80 | bear_high | -3.31% | -0.71 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 31% | late | near -1.9ATR | — | 0.72 | bull_high | +0.77% | -0.41 | 06/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.74 | range_low | +0.73% | -0.22 | 06/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_low |
50%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.71 | range_low | -0.04% | -0.12 | 06/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 33b | — | 3.854×ATR | p50 | -0.244×ATR | p29 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 2.889×ATR | p41 | -1.37×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 3.211×ATR | p69 | -1.564×ATR | p96 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 3.061×ATR | p47 | -0.143×ATR | p12 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7949
- reason: down_bo width=2.85×ATR dur=33b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.68920443
- tp_price: 0.64498393
- atr:
- score: 0.79485749690211
- expires_at: 2026-08-06T23:37:15.175511
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79485749690211
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0647
- obi_top10 : -0.0547
- micro_price : 0.67681619
- spread_pct : 0.014775
- mid_price : 0.67685
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.678
- ask_wall_size : 1054206.36
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0593
- obi_top5_std : 0.0044
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7042
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.69533
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.682155
- balance_zone_mid:
0.6887425
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785898800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786014000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8522
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
33
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7949
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786006800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.682155
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9091
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.2091
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
2
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00461929 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
33
inside_close_ratio
0.9091
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2091
Signaux confirmants (40)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:37 | 0.67657000 | -0.004% |
| 2 | 07:43 | 0.67657000 | -0.004% |
| 3 | 07:49 | 0.67664000 | +0.006% |
| 4 | 07:55 | 0.67664000 | +0.006% |
| 5 | 08:02 | 0.67664000 | +0.006% |
| 6 | 08:19 | 0.67519000 | -0.208% |
| 7 | 08:25 | 0.67519000 | -0.208% |
| 8 | 08:31 | 0.67519000 | -0.208% |
| 9 | 08:37 | 0.67608000 | -0.077% |
| 10 | 08:43 | 0.67608000 | -0.077% |
| 11 | 08:49 | 0.67602000 | -0.086% |
| 12 | 08:55 | 0.67602000 | -0.086% |
| 13 | 09:02 | 0.67602000 | -0.086% |
| 14 | 09:19 | 0.67219000 | -0.652% |
| 15 | 09:25 | 0.67219000 | -0.652% |
| 16 | 09:31 | 0.67219000 | -0.652% |
| 17 | 09:49 | 0.67445000 | -0.318% |
| 18 | 09:55 | 0.67445000 | -0.318% |
| 19 | 10:02 | 0.67445000 | -0.318% |
| 20 | 10:37 | 0.67293000 | -0.542% |
| 21 | 10:43 | 0.67293000 | -0.542% |
| 22 | 10:49 | 0.67564000 | -0.142% |
| 23 | 10:55 | 0.67564000 | -0.142% |
| 24 | 11:02 | 0.67564000 | -0.142% |
| 25 | 11:37 | 0.67599000 | -0.09% |
| 26 | 11:43 | 0.67599000 | -0.09% |
| 27 | 11:49 | 0.67564000 | -0.142% |
| 28 | 11:55 | 0.67564000 | -0.142% |
| 29 | 12:02 | 0.67564000 | -0.142% |
| 30 | 12:37 | 0.67537000 | -0.182% |
| 31 | 12:43 | 0.67537000 | -0.182% |
| 32 | 12:49 | 0.67758000 | +0.145% |
| 33 | 12:55 | 0.67758000 | +0.145% |
| 34 | 13:02 | 0.67758000 | +0.145% |
| 35 | 13:07 | 0.68035000 | +0.554% |
| 36 | 13:13 | 0.68035000 | +0.554% |
| 37 | 13:19 | 0.68011000 | +0.519% |
| 38 | 13:25 | 0.68011000 | +0.519% |
| 39 | 13:31 | 0.68011000 | +0.519% |
| 40 | 13:37 | 0.67968000 | +0.455% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7042ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.065
avg -0.059
± 0.004
OBI Top 10
-0.055
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.6769
Micro Price
0.6768
Spread
0.0148%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.6780
Size
1,054,206.36
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6766 | 0.6892 | 0.645 | 2.51 | 0.6885 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6766
- Stop Loss: 0.6892
- Take Profit: 0.645
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6892 - 0.6766 = 0.0126
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6766 - 0.645 = 0.0316
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0316 / 0.0126 = 2.5079
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 428.3976 | 100 | 633.1904 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0126
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0126 = 634.92
Taille de position USD = 634.92 x 0.6766 = 429.59
Donc, tu peux acheter 634.92 avec un stoploss a 0.6892
Avec un position size USD de 429.59$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 634.92 x 0.0126 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 634.92 x 0.0316 = 20.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$
Résumé
- Taille de position 634.92
- Taille de position USD 429.59
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.06
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5079
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.67 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.86 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.29 $ | 0.77 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6326 % | 33.97 % | 16 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6766 | 0.6892 | 0.645 | 2.51 | 0.6885 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6766
- Stop Loss: 0.6892
- Take Profit: 0.645
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6892 - 0.6766 = 0.0126
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6766 - 0.645 = 0.0316
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0316 / 0.0126 = 2.5079
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.862%
(0.0126)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.325% | 0.2R | -0.040% | 0.0R | 8.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.884% | 0.5R | -0.090% | 0.1R | 9.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.884% | 0.5R | -0.090% | 0.1R | 9.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.884% | 0.5R | -0.633% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.884% | 0.5R | -0.633% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.101% | 0.6R | -0.633% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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