Long Trade on ETH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.2 ETH at 1907.1$ per unit. Take profit: 2006.1601 (5.19 %) & Stop Loss: 1867.476 (2.08 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 07:42:21
hyperliquid
ETH
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 07:42
→ 19:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1907.1$
Qty 0.2019 ETH
Size 385.0389$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 2006.1601 (+5.19%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1867.476 (-2.08%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.42%
/ -1.64$
MAE -0.79%
MFE +0.62%
0.3R
expires
06 Aug 19:42
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60317)
#16 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 07:00
score du 06/08/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7579
Quality Score
0.507
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
913.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 07:30
06/08 07:30
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#16 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#16 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.06×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.91×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.08×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 06/08 07:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 06/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 06/08 07:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5069
Score SMA
0.5388
Rank
#16
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7579
Rank Norm SMA
0.6917
Calculé le
06/08/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5306 | r1h: -0.189% · r4h: -0.486% · r1d: 1.93% · r3d: 3.13% · ema21_slope: 0.0517% · dist_ema21: 0.067% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5084 | rs_1h: -0.087% · rs_4h: -0.122% · rs_1d: 1.06% · rs_3d: 0.15% · beta_24h: 1.695 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2776 | rvol_20: 0.71× · zscore_50: -0.404 · trend: 3.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4340 | ADX: 21.7 (weak) · Chop: 68.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.534% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.078%
(39.6240)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.058% | 0.0R | -0.351% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.058% | 0.0R | -0.792% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.619% | 0.3R | -0.792% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.619% | 0.3R | -0.792% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.619% | 0.3R | -0.792% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.666% | 0.3R | -0.792% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.49
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -3.31% | +0.23 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.88 | bull_high | +0.96% | -0.02 | 06/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.88 | range_low | +0.73% | +0.12 | 06/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.84 | range_low | -0.04% | -0.00 | 06/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 41b | — | 6.53×ATR | p85 | +0.36×ATR | p40 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 18b | — | 3.368×ATR | p51 | +0.464×ATR | p46 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.725×ATR | p8 | -0.514×ATR | p49 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.154×ATR | p32 | -0.017×ATR | p2 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8284
- reason: up_bo width=2.46×ATR dur=53b phase=extending|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 1867.47595187
- tp_price: 2006.16012032
- atr:
- score: 0.75836037828485
- expires_at: 2026-08-06T23:42:13.838802
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.75836037828485
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2054
- obi_top10 : 0.2054
- micro_price : 1907.60517238
- spread_pct : 0.000524
- mid_price : 1907.605
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2089
- obi_top5_std : 0.0044
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7143
- aggregation_tick : 10
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1881.1
- balance_zone_bottom:
1855.9
- balance_zone_mid:
1868.5
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785826800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786014000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.4608
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
53
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7584
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785945600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1881.1
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6226
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
19
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.5389
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 10.24048128 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
53
inside_close_ratio
0.6226
bars_since_breakout
19
distance_to_edge_atr
2.5389
Signaux confirmants (15)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:42 | 1907.10000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:48 | 1908.10000000 | +0.052% |
| 3 | 07:54 | 1908.10000000 | +0.052% |
| 4 | 08:00 | 1908.10000000 | +0.052% |
| 5 | 08:06 | 1904.10000000 | -0.157% |
| 6 | 08:12 | 1904.10000000 | -0.157% |
| 7 | 08:18 | 1901.00000000 | -0.32% |
| 8 | 08:24 | 1901.00000000 | -0.32% |
| 9 | 08:30 | 1901.00000000 | -0.32% |
| 10 | 08:36 | 1903.30000000 | -0.199% |
| 11 | 08:42 | 1903.30000000 | -0.199% |
| 12 | 08:48 | 1902.90000000 | -0.22% |
| 13 | 08:54 | 1902.90000000 | -0.22% |
| 14 | 09:00 | 1902.90000000 | -0.22% |
| 15 | 09:06 | 1897.70000000 | -0.493% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7143ms
Confidence avant OB :
76%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.205
avg 0.209
± 0.004
OBI Top 10
0.205
Microstructure
Mid Price
1,907.6050
Micro Price
1,907.6052
Spread
0.0005%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1907.1 | 1867.476 | 2006.1601 | 2.5 | 2403 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1907.1
- Stop Loss: 1867.476
- Take Profit: 2006.1601
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1867.476 - 1907.1 = -39.624
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1907.1 - 2006.1601 = -99.0601
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -99.0601 / -39.624 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 385.0389 | 100 | 0.2019 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -39.624
Taille de position = 8 / -39.624 = -0.2
Taille de position USD = -0.2 x 1907.1 = -381.42
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.2 avec un stoploss a 1867.476
Avec un position size USD de -381.42$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.2 x -39.624 = 7.92
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.92$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.2 x -99.0601 = 19.81
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.81$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.2
- Taille de position USD -381.42
- Perte potentielle 7.92
- Gain potentiel 19.81
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.19 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.08 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.64 $ | -0.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7918 % | 38.11 % | 33 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1907.1 | 1867.476 | 2006.1601 | 2.5 | 2403 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1907.1
- Stop Loss: 1867.476
- Take Profit: 2006.1601
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1867.476 - 1907.1 = -39.624
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1907.1 - 2006.1601 = -99.0601
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -99.0601 / -39.624 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.078%
(39.6240)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.058% | 0.0R | -0.351% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.058% | 0.0R | -0.792% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.619% | 0.3R | -0.792% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.619% | 0.3R | -0.792% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.619% | 0.3R | -0.792% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.666% | 0.3R | -0.792% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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